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Aging Chinese Face a Bleak Picture

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Needed changes in China under the Jinping-Keqiang administration- China's pension system and version of Social Security

02/18/2013

A patchwork of local programs run by 2500 county and city governments, more like what existed in the U.S. before FDR's New Deal, is how an expert on pensions in China describes the situation in 2013. Urban pensions have existed since 1951, rural pensions were introduced in 2009. The National Social Security Fund is only partly funded with $140 billion. Local governments taking on large levels of debt, shifting funds to risky investments, and benefitting well connected groups, is a risk for pension funds at the local level. By 2030 the number of rural people depending on the pension program is likely to double, says Frazier, creating a new challenge. A challenge made more acute by the one child policy and retirement for men at 60 and women at 55 years of age, reducing productive workers to support rising population of elderly.

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