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Angola and Portugal: Role reversal
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Angolan investments are increasing in Portugal's economy. Privatization of Portuguese companies- required by the IMF as part of the bailout deal- is leading to investments by Angolan companies connected to the ruling party of Jose Eduardo dos Santos. Angola's Banco BIC is buying Portugal's Banco Portugues de Negocios (BPN) for $58 million, a fraction of the original asking price of $260 million. The IMF made the privatization of BPN a condition for Portugal to have the recent bailout loans. Angola's state oil company Sonangol has a 12% share in Portugal's largest listed bank Millenium BCP. There is a reverse migration of Portuguese to Angola. Portugal's foreign ministry says it showed 45,000 Portuguese citizens in Angola in 2007-2008. The figure in 2008-2009 had jumped to 92,000 as professionals lefto Portugal for Angola. Portuguese building companies are doing more work in Angola, and Portugal's banks are the basis of Luanda's financial system.
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The terms of the loan deal and the problems negotiators faced in coming up with a deal that will give Portugal the breathing space to it needs. The economy is expected to contract 2% in 2011, and 2% in 2012. As a result the defict as a percentage of GDP target of 3% was set for the third year in the three year program, instead of earlier as originally planned. The IMF loan interest rate was set at 3.25% for the first 2 years. Portugal's weakness in competitiveness and in its educational system means Portugal badly needs this breathing space.
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