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Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (3)
07/01/2011
Growth in Turkey is fueled by surging credit growth and capital inflows. At the same time manufacturing competitiveness is falling.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkish Trade Deficit WidensWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
The yuan and China's competitiveness in international trade in 2012-2013
06/21/2011
Even with a gradual appreciation of the yuan China continues to maintain its competitive position in international trade with productivity gains offfsetting the small appreciation and a smaller increase in prices of Chinese products. This could mean the U.S. and Eurozone countries will continue to run trade deficits with China in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2012
No Appreciation for the Rising YuanWall Street Journal 06/21/2011
China's Stimulus plans in 2012-2013 and the housing bubble
06/09/2011
Linked Articles
China’s stimulus policy means trouble down the road - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/31/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Cramped housing space for average Shanghai residents as the property bubble puts homes out of reach
06/09/2011
China's government policy makers put a priority on controlling property prices in 2012-2013 and preserving gains made so far even if this means lowering growth. Hyper building in the last decade has not reduced the need for more housing space.
Linked Articles
In Shanghai, High Prices Keep Lid on Real-Estate Stimulus
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Austerity measures and economic contraction in Portugal 2010-2013- the terms of the 2011 EU-IMF loan agreement with Portugal
05/05/2011
The forecasts of higher unemployment reaching 17% and economic contraction of 7% for 2011-2013 are widely diverging from the original estimates in 2011 by EU and IMF officials. This increases the urgency for reappraisal of the terms of the original agreement including borrowing rates, giving more time to achieve deficit targets, and other action to put Portugal back on the road to growth in 2014.
Linked Articles
Portugal to Seek New Bailout Terms
Wall Street Journal 03/04/2013
Government Sees Deep Recession Ahead for PortugalNew York Times 05/05/2011
U.S. House Speaker Boehner's Republican proposal in "fiscal cliff" deficit negotiations and the Feldstein proposal for 2% cap on deductions
05/04/2011
Linked Articles
Plan to Limit Tax Breaks Gets a Push From Boehner
Wall Street Journal 12/05/2012
Raise Taxes, but Not Tax RatesNew York Times 05/04/2011
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Turkey (2)
04/25/2011
A sea of liquidity is undermining the economy in Turkey and Brazil.
Linked Articles
Free-Spending Turkey Hopes to Avoid a Fall
New York Times 04/25/2011
Turkish Leader Rides Spending Toward WinWall Street Journal 06/11/2011
The Republican "cut, cap and balance" pledge and the Paul Ryan budget deficit reduction proposal
04/05/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Hopefuls Betting Voters Want Deep Cuts
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
House GOP Budget Seeks Balance by 2015Wall Street Journal 04/05/2011
Apple's low tax rate of 9.4% on global profits
03/24/2011
Companies ranging from Apple and Google to GE pay low tax rates. The New York Times reports that corporate share of U.S. tax receipts dropped from 30% in the 1950's to 6.6% in 2009. This has a serious impact on states and local governments and the federal government as they cut essential services and education to balance their budgets or lower deficits.
Linked Articles
Apple's Tax Strategy Aims at Low-Tax States and Nations
New York Times 04/28/2012
G.E.'s Strategies Let It Avoid Taxes AltogetherNew York Times 03/24/2011
Rapid structural shift in job openings, mismatch of skills, and the lack of a strong jobs training effort in the U.S. to reduce unemployment
03/15/2011
The lack of adequate funding and focus on jobs training in the U.S. to fill job vacancies and lower unemployment. This is becoming increasingly important with the large number of people unemployed for long periods.
Linked Articles
U.S. Faces Uphill Battle in Retraining the Jobless
Wall Street Journal 07/31/2012
Many Workers Seen Lacking Skills for New JobsWall Street Journal 03/15/2011
Bill Gates calls for targeted investment in education
02/28/2011
The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation will invest $290 million in a program to be launched at selected school districts. The programs are designed around improving teacher effectiveness and new personnel systems.
Linked Articles
Bill Gates Seeks Formula for Better Teachers
Wall Street Journal 03/22/2011
Bill Gates - How teacher development could revolutionize our schoolsWashington Post 02/28/2011
The Elop memo in 2011 and the sale of Nokia's mobile phone business to Microsoft in 2013- the startling change of fortunes for Nokia
02/09/2011
Nokia was a pioneer in the development of mobile phones in an earlier era when fixed lines were the norm. It dominated the mobile phone business in the period before 2009 for 2 decades before the coming of smartphones. The change in Nokia's market came quickly and suddenly with the advent of the iPhone and Nokia was unprepared for this development. This is a classic case of obsolesence and disruptions caused by innovation and new technologies. Other companies from the previous era before cloud computing and the internet, H-P, Oracle, IBM, and Microsoft, face the continuing challenge to adapt or lose to new competitors.
Linked Articles
Microsoft in $7 Billion Deal for Nokia Cellphone Business
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2013
Full Text: Nokia CEO Stephen Elop’s ‘Burning Platform’ MemoWall Street Journal 02/09/2011
Problems facing Brazil's economy in 2012-2013 and the approach of finance minster Mantega and president Roussef
12/30/2010
Linked Articles
Brazil Flexes Strong Arm to Reverse Slowdown
Wall Street Journal 05/31/2012
Brazil's President Exits With a Protracted Victory LapWall Street Journal 12/30/2010
Increasing domestic consumption in Saudi Arabia will diminish reserve supplies and put pressure on oil prices in 2012-2013
06/23/2011
Saudi domestic consumption increasing at 10% a year will diminsh the Saudi role as a reserve supplier. Estimates are for zero reserve supplies by 2020 and oil imports by 2038, so large is the effect of growing use of oil at home. The Arab Spring means subsidies and social spending will increase, supporting continuing use of oil at current levels for a rapidly growing population.
Linked Articles
The End of the Saudi Oil Reserve Margin
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Rising Saudi Thirst for Oil Drives Plans to Go NuclearWall Street Journal 06/23/2011
Decline in gold prices in 2013 with lower investor demand and decline in purchases by central banks of emerging market countries
06/14/2011
Demand from central banks is expected to decline by 34% in 2013, according to Reuters Thomson GFMS. Lower inflation and better returns in equity and bond markets is reducing demand from private investors.
Linked Articles
Gold Fades From Investment Picture
Wall Street Journal 10/29/2013
Investors Going for the Gold in China May Want to ReconsiderWall Street Journal 06/14/2011
Bill Gross and Mohammed El-Erian of PIMCO bond funds
06/09/2011
Linked Articles
Mohamed El-Erian Is the Bond Market's New Leading Man
New York Times 07/28/2012
Pimco's Bill Gross on Scoping Out SubprimeBusinessWeek 06/09/2011
Brazil's uneven economic development with growth focussed on export based mining and agriculture
05/21/2011
As the commodities boom fades Brazil's growth slows to 1% in 2012 after the rapid growth in the years under president Lula. Stiglitz and Sen pointed to this kind of uneven development with the neglect of education, healthcare and other public services. This is true also of economic development in China focussed on export industries, with the added cost of environmental degradation. Street protests in June 2013 in many Brazilian cities from Porto Alegre and Curitiba to Rio and Sao Paulo showed popular discontnet with the situation under president Rouseff.
Linked Articles
Brazil's north-east: Catching up in a hurry
Economist 05/21/2011
Anger Spills Onto Brazil's StreetsWall Street Journal 06/18/2013
California Governor Jerry Brown's effort to fix budget problems and the political culture in the state
05/04/2011
Linked Articles
Brown Proposes $8.3 Billion in Cuts for California
New York Times 05/14/2012
Jerry Brown's Last Stand in CaliforniaNew York Times 05/04/2011
Governor Jerry Brown of California- A rare sight and a remarkable achievement of a budget surplus preserving spending priorities for education and healthcare
05/04/2011
Linked Articles
State’s Rare Sight: A Budget Surplus
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2013
Jerry Brown's Last Stand in CaliforniaNew York Times 05/04/2011
Republicans, John Taylor, and a U.S. budget that is at about 20% of GDP
04/22/2011
John Taylor makes the arguments for a budget that is around 20% of GDP, which it was in 2007- before the financial crisis of 2008.
Linked Articles
GOP Hopefuls Betting Voters Want Deep Cuts
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
Obama's Permanent Spending BingeWall Street Journal 04/22/2011
The real estate bubble in Canada in 2012-2013
03/29/2011
Linked Articles
Canada Tightens Mortgage-Financing Rules
Wall Street Journal 06/22/2012
Housing Booms North of the BorderWall Street Journal 03/29/2011
The mismatch in skills that will make it harder to bring down the unemployment rate in the U.S. in 2012-2013
03/15/2011
Labor Department and other information points to a serious skills crisis in the U.S. that will make it harder to tackle unemployment.The lack of emphasis on jobs training by the Obama administration is also making the situation harder to tackle.
Linked Articles
On Jobs, No Time for a Celebratory Beveridge
Wall Street Journal 04/11/2012
Many Workers Seen Lacking Skills for New JobsWall Street Journal 03/15/2011
Bill Gates and U.S. Fed chairman Bernanke call for investment in education
03/02/2011
The message to lawmakers at a time of spending cuts: don't shortchange education, because it is critical to America's future.
Linked Articles
Bill Gates Seeks Formula for Better Teachers
Wall Street Journal 03/22/2011
Bernanke to budget-cutting state and local governments: Don't shortchange educationWashington Post 03/02/2011
Statistical problems with China's government statistics which understate the housing bubble and overstate the rate of growth in 2011-2013
02/17/2011
Problems with data from China's Bureau of Statistics which do not accurately reflect the economic conditions in China.
Linked Articles
Chinese Data Said to Be Manipulated, Understating Slowdown
New York Times 06/22/2012
China Scraps Property Data, Clouding ViewWall Street Journal 02/17/2011
Chinua Achebe and Nigeria- correcting past missteps, building a better African democracy and economy
01/15/2011
Linked Articles
Chinua Achebe, Famed Nigerian Writer, Dies
Wall Street Journal 03/22/2013
Nigeria's Promise, Africa's HopeNew York Times 01/15/2011
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