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The rapid structural shift in employment to new industries and fields may create high unemployment even as millions of vacancies go unfilled.
04/30/2009
The Labor Departments JOLT statistics for job openings shows over 3 million job vacancies. The reason for this is the mismatch in qualifications and the speed with which industries are downsizing, and the shift to new industries and fields away from banking, retail, construction and autos. This makes new initiatives in retraining and government cost sharing to enable companies to hire and retrain super critical. Germany has some initiatives lkke this.
Linked Articles
Stuck at Unemployed: When A Layoff Becomes a Lifestyle
Washington Post 06/06/2009
Help Wanted: Why That Sign's BadBusinessWeek 04/30/2009
Laffer says inflation and high interest rates are a sure thing with the $1 trillion increase in the monetary base since Sept 2008.
04/23/2009
This is the largest increase in the monetary base in the last 50 years by afactor of 10, and is unlike anything ever experienced before. He sees inflation and rising interest rates as a result surpassing anything seen in the 1970's. Bernanke he says faces a Hobson's choice between contracting the monetary base and putting the economy back in recession and letting things go the way they are resulting in steep inflation. He sees the Fed having the option of increasing the reserve requirements at banks, to restrain the increase in the monetary base.
Linked Articles
Economist 04/23/2009
Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest RatesWall Street Journal 06/11/2009
The gap between the admirable comments and clarity of Obama's Georgetown sppech and the growing foreclosures, dramatic drops in business and consumer lending.
04/14/2009
Failure to stem foreclosures and to ramp up business and consumer lending, by taking over insolvent banks and offering loans at attractive rates, is hurting the economy and will lead to further job losses.
Linked Articles
Lending By Bailout Recipients Falls Again
Washington Post 04/16/2009
Text of Obama Economic SpeechBusinessWeek 04/14/2009
Geithner's Paulsonlike plan for toxic assets and doubts whether it can work.
03/23/2009
Krugman and Eavis have doubts about the new Geithner plan as it looks so much like his predecessor Paulson's failed efforts to do much about toxic assets. Krugman sees things only getting worse as 600,000 jobs are being lost every month, as Geithner, Congress and the public fail to push for the tough solutions including government taking over failed banks to deal with tosic assets without having to sort out pricing in advance.
Linked Articles
Geithner's Gamble Needs Speculators
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2009
Financial Policy DespairNew York Times 03/23/2009
"So am I", the President responds to special interests gearing up to thwart his plans to revamp the economy.
03/01/2009
My message to them, is this: "So am I", with that remark in his radio address Obama says he knows special interests are gearing up for a fight to prevent needed change in education oppportunities that otherwise would close the door on the middle class, on health care coverage that otherwise will leave in addition to the 46 million not covered an additional number of that magnitude uncovered as unemployment rises and insurance premiums become unaffordable, and on energy that leaves energy policy to oil and gas companies that have done little to promote conservation or new technologies to reduce demand amid mushrooming global demand.
Linked Articles
Obama Calls His Budget Needed Change
New York Times 03/01/2009
Liberal Groups Are Flexing New Muscle in Lobby WarsNew York Times 03/01/2009
For a Nobel prize winning economist a sick feeling in the stomach in February 2009.
02/13/2009
Is the US going the way of a train wreck as Japan did from the mid 1990's to 2003 with every set of actions falling short of the task of cleaning up the banking system and economic recovery? Krugman and Japanese experts who tackled the Japanese banking crisis sense something like this is happening in the US.
Linked Articles
New York Times 02/13/2009
In Japan’s Stagnant Decade, Cautionary Tales for AmericaNew York Times 02/13/2009
The Economist's view of nationalization as an option.
02/03/2009
The Economist says that as in the case of Northern Rock and RBS, because of the scale of the problem and it only getting worse over time, nationalization is the best option. And it says its no use exacerbating the problem by pretending otherwise.
Linked Articles
Economist 02/03/2009
Financial Policy DespairNew York Times 03/23/2009
How the automakers overcapacity by about a third of the 94 million capacity worldwide will play out similiarly over time in other industries.
12/31/2008
The automakers with their huge overcapacity face a rapidly developing crisis, as they will be forced to close plants quickly. A similiar situation is likely to develop gradually in other industries that have overcapacity from falling sales and a reluctant consumer, who is now focussed on saving.
Linked Articles
Automakers' Overcapacity Problem
BusinessWeek 12/31/2008
The Doomsayers Who Got It RightWall Street Journal 01/02/2009
The shortsigtedness of Detroit automakers union and management.
12/05/2008
Both the automakers unions and management lacked the vision and courage to break totally with the status quo. The unions in hanging onto higher medical benefits and the management onto their higher compensation, and the management failing to shift to higher fuel efficiency standards comparable to competitors in Europe as mandated by the EU. In the process they stand to lose the higher medical benefits, and the higher compensation under government oversight as condition for loans, and along with that the jobs of unions and of management as well as the huge downsizing occurs in 2009.
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/05/2008
Toyota delays new Prius plantDetroit News 12/16/2008
Another misstep by automakers management was the failure to win public support as they missed the changes coming over the country.
11/18/2008
The falling clout of the Detroit automakers as the nation changed and things changed but the automakers dug in their heels into the status quo.
Linked Articles
Clout Has Plunged for Automakers and Union, Too
New York Times 11/18/2008
Bridge Loan to NowhereWall Street Journal 12/06/2008
Krugman adds his voice to that of many experts who like Gordon Brown's plan and leadership in the global financial crisis.
10/11/2008
Gordon Brown is winning the support of many experts and governments in the remarkable leadership he has shown in this global financial crisis and his plan and execution.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/13/2008
Rescue Plan Comes Around to Views of the AcademicsWall Street Journal 10/11/2008
What appropriate lessons emerging economies can draw from the global financial crisi of 2008.
10/03/2008
Lessons that emergig economies can draw from the global financial crisis of 2008 may be the wrong ones if there is a return to more state control over the economy which has resulted in wasted decades of development in many countries.
Linked Articles
Economist 10/09/2008
Development Doesn't Require Big GovernmentWall Street Journal 10/03/2008
Theodore Roosevelt's speech in Osawatomie, Kansas in 1910 and Obama's speech in 2011- the difference
09/10/2008
Timothy Egan for the New York Times covers the direction T.R. set for America, and the contrast today with the timidity of the politics of the day. Jackie Calmes shows the extensive ties of both 08' presidential candidates to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and to lobbyists.
Linked Articles
The Rough Rider and the Professor
New York Times 12/08/2011
For ’08 Rivals, a Skein of Ties to Loan GiantsNew York Times 09/10/2008
What the U.S. and other eurozone countries can learn from Germany in reducing unemployment (1)
04/30/2009
The Harz labor market reforms under the Schroeder administration helped Germany reduce unemployment after over a decade of high unemployment folowing reunification.
Linked Articles
Germany reaps rewards of entitlement cuts - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/20/2011
Learning Labor Market Lessons from GermanyBusinessWeek 04/30/2009
In the two areas that government can make aserious difference, foreclosure prevention and bank lending it is failing.
04/15/2009
The government has only indirect influence over the other important variables in the equation for economic recovery, consumption and employment. Through foreclosure prevention and bank lending it can influence consumption and employment. Obama's program while admirable may simply fall short of what is required. Through asimple takeover of insolvent banks the administrationcan implement its own programs for goreclosure prevention and aggressive bank lending at attractive rates, but this has to be done early before business go into permanent retrenchment mode and consumers simply revert to a frugal lifestyle of an earlier generation.
Linked Articles
Lending By Bailout Recipients Falls Again
Washington Post 04/16/2009
Banks Ramp Up ForeclosuresWall Street Journal 04/15/2009
The crisis in Eastern Europe and other developing countries and the G20 policy mandate to the IMF to support social help and stimulus spending
03/28/2009
The G-20 mandate that the IMF be the conduit for funds to help emerging countries, with the policy direction that an additional $850 billion be used not only to fix finances, but also emphasize social goals, and help people in these countries cope with the crisis. This is of great help to countries in difficulty, and assurance that the social fabric in these countries will not be torn apart as has happened before, and that people will get the necessary assistance.
Linked Articles
Steven Pearlstein - A Rare Triumph of Substance at the Summit
Washington Post 04/03/2009
Eastern Europe and the Financial CrisisWall Street Journal 03/28/2009
Child hunger in India and India's Food Security legislation in August 2013
03/13/2009
Food expert Rieff cites figures showing child malnutrition at over 40% in India for children under the age of 5 in 2009. A World Food Program report says 230 million people in India are hungry each year. India's Food Security legilation has to be seen in this context. Rieff says India is in danger of losing its demographic dividend as a result of child malnutrition. All developing countries can learn from each other and their programs to reduce child malnutrition, improve health care and vaccinations, and introduce healthy food and sanitary practices. Programs are in place in Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, India, and China.
Linked Articles
As Indian Growth Soars, Child Hunger Persists
New York Times 03/13/2009
India's Lower House Passes Food Bill to Help PoorWall Street Journal 08/26/2013
The idea of one Europe and financial crisis in Eastern Europe.
02/26/2009
How leaders of Germany, France and Britain respond to calls for help from Eastern European countries will determine the future of the European community and the European Union. Will a differentiated approach develop that provides help to the newer members of the EU. Will the Swedish example with the Baltics lead to a supportive role by Germany?
Linked Articles
The bill that could break up Europe
Economist 02/26/2009
Growing Economic Crisis Threatens the Idea of One EuropeNew York Times 03/02/2009
Robert Khuzami and the S.E.C.'s ambivalent enforcement mindset 2010-2012
02/10/2009
The lack of corrective acton that changes the leadership and culture at financial companies in the U.S. following the 2008 financial crisis. Where the action by enforcement agencies has required admitting wrongdoing as part of the settlement, the changes in leadership and culture have put the companies on a new path to renewal. Barclays under one of the respected names in British finance, David Walker, is a recent example.
Linked Articles
Top Enforcer at the S.E.C. Steps Down
New York Times 02/10/2009
SEC's Top Cop Oversaw Deutsche CDOsWall Street Journal 04/24/2010
Are the old faces that got the USA and Europe into this financial crisis, now the new faces trying to fix it?
01/15/2009
Schapiro and Khuzami, the new faces at the SEC as chief and enforcement director, are the old faces at FINRA which took ahands off view of self regulation of the financial industry and the old faces at Deuteche BAnk as inhouse lawyer. Sir James Crosby, the head of HBOS bank in the UK which needed $17 billion f government money in 2008, was made Deputy chairman of the Financial Services Authority in 2006, Britain's main regulator. He reisgned hours before a stormy session in the House of Commons which embarrassed Prime Minister Brown after some revelations about Crosby,s role in the mess.
Linked Articles
Obama's Pick to Head SEC Has Record Of Being a Regulator With a Light Touch
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2009
British Regulator Quits as Accusations Mount in Banking CrisisNew York Times 02/12/2009
Detroit News and Free press columnists Tom Walsh and Daniel Howes say its time Detroit gets things right.
12/20/2008
The jobs of suppliers, dealers, bondholders, managers, board members, union officials are all on the line say Walsh and Howes if they can't get their act together and move quickly. There just isn't the time to kick the proverbial can down the road says Howes, and their is bailout fatigue say Walsh and Howes so dates coming up February 17 for debt restructuring and March 31 must be met quickly with action that is convincing. It will be a tough act and its not clear that old management and union officials can measure up to the task ahead from what has been seen over the years according to the columnists.
Linked Articles
Commentary: Forging new path will be rough road for Detroit automakers
Detroit News 12/20/2008
Long Days Journey to Deal for AutomakersDetroit Free Press 12/21/2008
A rescue plan would involve dbtholders, unions, and management all taking a haircut.
11/21/2008
How the automakers failed to convince Congress and end up in a three way battle in Congress between the Democrats, Republicans and the midwestern Congressmen with things like automakers private jets drawing scrutiny over how this industry was diffeerent in the way it did things including the higher medical benefits of union workers that burdened the companies.
Linked Articles
Detroit’s Bid for Aid Fails For Now
New York Times 11/21/2008
Terms of a Rescue PlanBusinessWeek 12/11/2008
Gas tax that would be used for public transportation and bringing US policy in line with Europe on gas prices.
11/16/2008
How lower gas prices would not lead to a backshifting from necessary energy conservation and fuel efficency goals that are beneficial to the USA economy and to the global economy.
Linked Articles
How High Gas Prices Can Save the Car Industry
New York Times 11/16/2008
Clout Has Plunged for Automakers and Union, TooNew York Times 11/18/2008
With 1 in 6 mortgages or 16%, 12 millon mortgages "under water," the Feldstein Plan makes sense.
10/04/2008
Martin Feldstein, headed Council of Economic Advisers under President Reagan. His plan is to go to the root of the problem, which is the estimated 40% of mortgages expected to be worth less than market value of the home by Deutsche Bank estimates as the crisis peaks.
Linked Articles
Housing Pain Gauge: Nearly 1 in 6 Owners 'Under Water'
Wall Street Journal 10/08/2008
The Problem Is Still Falling House PricesWall Street Journal 10/04/2008
New York Times editorial asks Congress to "Show us Hope" as 12 million households or 1 in 6 mortgages go under water.
10/02/2008
NYT laments the lack of anything to give hope to homeowners in the $700 billion bailout plan. So do Feldstein and Hubbard both Republican Presidential advisors of reagan and Bush.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/02/2008
Housing Pain Gauge: Nearly 1 in 6 Owners 'Under Water'Wall Street Journal 10/08/2008
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