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What a difference a year makes for the government bonds of Italy and Spain
10/02/2012
ECB chief, Mario Draghi made the famous statement on July 23, 2012, that he would "do whatever it takes" to bring down the yields on the government bonds of Italy and Spain. These bond yields had reached 7.5%, worsening the debt position of the two countries. A year later in August 2013 the bond yields were down, the gap with German bond yields narrowed, and the first signs of recovery in the eurozone made investment in the bonds of Italy and Spain attractive. Emerging market debt faced the opposite of what they faced in July 2013, as the currencies of India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Turkey, Brazil and other developing countries depreciated significantly. As the U.S. Federal Reserve begins its pull back from its monetary easing policy capital flows and foreign investment to to emerging markets reversed causing grief in countries which depended on these inflows to finance deficits in the current account.
Linked Articles
How ECB Chief Outflanked German Foe in Fight for Euro
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2012
Europe Bonds May Offer More ValueWall Street Journal 08/23/2013
The Obama admnistration and the conflict in Syria
08/28/2012
A brief history shows the Alawite community constitutes about 13% of the population in Syria and live mainly in the coastal region near the Mediterranean. Under the French Alawites generally supported the colonial regime and the community was used by the French colonial regime to act as a buffer as they ruled a predominantly Sunni population. The Alawites joined the military and Hafez Assad, an Alawite general, seized control in 1971. His son now rules Syria. The Obama administration has largely missed the struggle of the people for freedom from dictatorships in Syria and Egypt under Mubarak.. With Turkey and Egypt supporting the young people in Syria, the U.S. investment is minor in military and other support compared to the cost of letting the war continue with unintended consequences for the entire region.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/13/2012
Assad Draws Shock Troops From Elite Sect in SyriaWall Street Journal 08/28/2012
The Obama administration's lack of active support for the democracy movement in Syria follows its slow response in Libya (3)
08/06/2012
Linked Articles
Syrian rebels feel abandoned, betrayed by U.S. - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/08/2012
McCain, Lieberman and Graham: The risks of inaction in Syria - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/06/2012
The Obama's administration's lack of active support for the democracy movement in Syria follows its slow response in Libya (1)
06/28/2012
Linked Articles
Syrian rebels feel abandoned, betrayed by U.S. - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/08/2012
Turkey Steps Up to the Assad ChallengeWall Street Journal 06/28/2012
How JP Morgan Chase let its London trading desk operate without risk management controls leading to large losses
05/18/2012
CEO Dimon is described as distracted by other issues. Ina Drew, the seasoned head of the Chief Investment that manages a $300 billionplus portfolio after the merger of other failed banks into JP Morgan Chase in 2008-2009, contracts Lyme disease in 2010 and is no longer the hands on person when she returns in 2011. Ms. Duersten, in charge of the North American trading desk at the New York office leaves in 2011 after 16 years at Chase. The controls over the London trading desk from New York are slipping away and Mr. Iksil and Mr. Macris of the London trading desk take massive trading positions to expose Chase to large losses. CEO Dimon learns about the Chase trading positions and the London Whale (Mr Iksil) from the Wall Street Journal on April 6, 2012, for the first time, astounding the business community and the financial world.
Linked Articles
Discord at JPMorgan Investment Office Blamed in Huge Loss
New York Times 05/19/2012
Inside J.P. Morgan's BlunderWall Street Journal 05/18/2012
Increasing U.S. dependence on Saudi Arabian oil supplies after sanctions on Iran
04/13/2012
U.S oil imports from Saudi Arabia in the first half 2012 compared to 2011 increased by 20%.
Linked Articles
U.S. Reliance on Saudi Oil Is Growing Again
New York Times 08/16/2012
Pressure on Oil Supply EasesWall Street Journal 04/13/2012
Greece's long delayed bond swap with European banks of March 9, 2012
03/09/2012
The bond swap of new bonds with long maturities reflecting a writedown of 53.5% for the old bonds with short maturities was finally achieved on March 9, 2012. By this time Greece's economy was shrinking badly and the new bonds were trading at levels that reflected the need for further writedowns only days after the deal. Prof. Cochrane at the University of Chicago and Prof. John Taylor at Stanford say French and German banks exaggerated the effects of contagion from the beginning to delay writedowns for as long as possible. The effects on the eurozone of the delays in tackling the problem early and decisively are negative or slowing growth and is likely to hurt the banks operating in that environment, raising questions about the wisdom of that strategy.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 03/09/2012
Greece Passes Key Debt TestWall Street Journal 03/09/2012
John Cochrane on how to build a truly open competitive system of healthcare the day after Obama healthcare
03/05/2012
Cochrane points to regulations and laws that support high prices of medical carein the U.S., by reducing competition and restricting supply of doctors and suppliers of medical care. He says the mandate most likely would not even be necessary under such a system because the costs of healthcare in the U.S. would be so much lower.
Linked Articles
What to Do on the Day After ObamaCare
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Why an MRI costs $1,080 in America and $280 in France - The Washington PostWashington Post 03/05/2012
Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang, as the leaders of China after 2012, and the future direction of the economy.
02/23/2012
A gradual change away from the dominance of state owned companies as China shifts direction. The World Bank-DRC Report as the first step in this direction, marking the beginning of the beginning.
Linked Articles
Xi Appeals for 'Purity' Amid Party Scandal
Wall Street Journal 03/16/2012
New Push for Reform in ChinaWall Street Journal 02/23/2012
Zhou Xiaochuan, head of the People's Bank of China, China's central bank, and the Development Research Center (DRC) think tank
02/23/2012
The road map and priorities of the DRC and the PBOC are now the road map and priorities of the Jinping-Keqiang administration A sense of deepening awareness takes hold on party leaders Jinping and Li Keqiang that the current trajectory of Debt to GDP ratios could lead to the kind of situation before the banking crisis in Japan and S. Korea. The importance of striking a balance with growth of private companies to support future growth and move away from reliance on state owned enterprises is part of the change supported by DRC and PBOC.
Linked Articles
China's Central Banker Leads Push to Overhaul Economy
Wall Street Journal 11/05/2013
New Push for Reform in ChinaWall Street Journal 02/23/2012
Natural gas as the dominant source of new power generation capacity in 2012-2035 (1)
12/12/2011
Energy Information Administration forecast for 2010-2035 shows 58% of new additions of power generation capacity coming from natural gas. The new availability of shale gas is leading to a surge in use of natural gas. Only 4.3% will be nuclear, dampening the development of nuclear energy. Renewables will be 29%. This is a major development in how America looks at energy.
Linked Articles
Cheap Natural Gas Unplugs U.S. Nuclear-Power Revival
Wall Street Journal 03/15/2012
America's New Energy SecurityWall Street Journal 12/12/2011
The U.S. Supreme Court's review of the health care law in 2012 and the Wickard-Filburn decision of 1940
11/15/2011
In the Wickard-Filburn decision the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled against an Ohio farmer, Mr. Filburn, who questioned a federal law that imposed a penalty for every extra bushel of wheat grown beyond a stipulated amount. The briefs presented by both parties present arguments about what are the limits of federal power under its powers to regulate interstate commerce and in what circumstances- with the Obama administration arguing that it imposes larger costs on people in all states if some people refuse to buy insurance.
Linked Articles
At Center of Health Care Fight, Roscoe Filburn's 1942 Case
New York Times 03/19/2012
Health Insurance and the Broccoli TestNew York Times 11/15/2011
John Bogle of Vanguard Funds and the creation of index funds as a way to build a diversified investor portfolio - a seminal achievement
09/03/2011
An entire generation of Americans benefitted from the low cost index fund as away to build a diversified and less risky investment portfolio. Bogle created the first index fund tracking the S&P 500 in 1976, following the advice and encouragement of is economics professor at Princeton, Paul Samuelson.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
John Bogle, Vanguard's Founder, Is Too Worried to RestNew York Times 08/11/2012
President Obama's second term- (3) failure to lead on the domestic front and how it relates to Syria-Iraq, the careful observations of Panetta and Woodward
09/07/2012
Leon Panetta, U.S. Defense Secretary under Obama, who was also U.S. president Clinton's chief of staff, and Bob Woodward, renown Washington Post journalist, say Obama failed to lead on domestic policy issues and his own agenda during the first term.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/07/2012
Former Defense Chief Panetta Criticizes Obama in New MemoirWall Street Journal 10/07/2014
The Obama-Biden campaign and the heated rhetoric on Social Security, Medicare, the middle class and financial regulation
08/15/2012
Linked Articles
Washington Post 08/15/2012
Ryan pick presents new challenges for Biden - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/16/2012
New GASB, Moody's rules show a widening gap in the funding of public pensions in the U.S.
07/18/2012
The Volcker- Ravitch State Budget Crisis Task Force identified the problems facing U.S. states and cities which have poorly funded public pension funds. The problems are large and real as seen through the GASB rules, and the findings of the Volcker-Ravitch Task Force.
Linked Articles
New rules expose bigger funding gaps for public pensions - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/17/2012
Report Details Threats to States' Fiscal HealthWall Street Journal 07/18/2012
Germany's distorted national priorities- underinvestment in childcare centers and in wages for childcare and early education teachers
06/06/2012
Melissa Eddy of the NYT provides these two exceptional accounts of Germany's national priorities gone awry as the economic revival takes place in manufacturing, but leaves behind important areas such as early childhood education and child care centers. A lack of investment in the people who form the backbone of the educational system, is one of the forms of the distorted priorities. It may be recorded as the singular lapse of the Merkel administration in the last decade.
Linked Articles
German Child Care Workers’ Strike Brings Debate on Priorities
New York Times 06/05/2015
Germany Considers Subsidies for Non-State Child CareNew York Times 06/06/2012
Paul Volcker, the traders at JP Morgan's London office, and "losses that would be socialized with the potential gains all private"
05/12/2012
Volcker described the situation to the U.S. Senate Banking committee the day before the story came out about the massive trades made by JP Morgan's trader, known as the "London whale." Losses would be socialized under "too big to fail" for the largest U.S. banks.
Linked Articles
Paul Volcker vs. JPMorgan’s London Whale - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/12/2012
'London Whale' Rattles Debt MarketWall Street Journal 05/13/2012
Problems of unemployment and part-time employment in the U.S. in the first half of 2012
03/12/2012
Linked Articles
It's Good Work if You Can Get It—and Especially if You Can Keep It
Wall Street Journal 07/07/2012
Piecing Together the Job-Picture PuzzleWall Street Journal 03/12/2012
The efforts to build a new Libya from scratch after decades of failure and neglect of basic administration, infrastructure and regions
03/06/2012
Linked Articles
In Libya, despot is gone but chaos reigns - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/01/2012
Eastern Libya Demands Measure of AutonomyNew York Times 03/06/2012
The administration of Japanese premier Noda after Ichiro Ozawa leaves the DPJ party
03/04/2012
Linked Articles
Rival of Japan’s prime minister fails to strike critical blow to ruling party - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/03/2012
Prime Minister Noda says tax hike essential for Japan's sustainability - The Washington PostWashington Post 03/04/2012
The Jinping-Keqiang administration in China- new economic policy team and agenda
02/23/2012
Linked Articles
China Names Its New Foreign Policy Team
New York Times 03/16/2013
New Push for Reform in ChinaWall Street Journal 02/23/2012
Greece and EU in 2015- (4) How are the structural issues such as tax evasion in Greece being tackled, after Monti's effort to tackle this in Italy in 2012?
02/18/2012
Surprisingly the Syriza government in 6 months in office did not come up with a plan to implement for tax evasion. This was a major issue for the IMF and in Greece's interest, even though it was going contrary to long standing practice in Greece as it was in Italy. Estimates of lost revenue are about $11 billion each year for tax evasion. By comparison the IMF payment due was less than $2 billion on June 30, 2015. Sustainable long term finances make this a major issue in Greece's own interest. Greece has an aging population and the number of retirees are growing in relation to young working people making this an important issue for stable finances under any administration, and regardless of the euro.
Linked Articles
How Greek tax evasion sunk the global economy
Washington Post 07/10/2012
A Hollow Target for Greek DebtWall Street Journal 02/18/2012
Need for balanced development, less inequality, and a policy shift in China to promote consumption based growth (1)- 2013-2018
11/20/2011
With a change in leadership to Xinping there comes the need for a change in economic policy. The DRC/World Bank Report outlined a new approach. Xuetong, dean at Tsinghua University in Beijing, calls on the leadership to make a shift that would be a first major shift since the opening to free markets in the 1980's
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/03/2012
How China Can Defeat AmericaNew York Times 11/20/2011
The Romney plan for job creation in the U.S. through private investment in a climate of reduced uncertainty
09/06/2011
A new Romney administration would create 2.3 million jobs in 18 months according to Romney economc advisor Glenn Hubbard.
Linked Articles
Glenn Hubbard: The Romney Plan for Economic Recovery
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
Not More of the SameNew York Times 09/06/2011
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