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Friedman, Avraham Burg and Morsi- on the way forward for moving beyond the intractable to the possible in the Middle East
08/04/2012
The democracy movement in the Middle East and the yearning for economc and political participation of the people of the Middle East creates new opportunities to move forward beyond the conflicts of the past to a better future for the people of the Middle East. The role of leaders in the U.S., Europe, and the Middle Eastern countries of Egypt, Turkey and the newly democratic states in this region in setting new goals and plans and rising up to the challenges.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/24/2012
Israel's Fading DemocracyNew York Times 08/04/2012
Alexei Kudrin and other experts see the potential for a deep economic and political crisis in Russia as the situation in the eurozone worsens
05/23/2012
The Center for Strategic Studies in Moscow was prescient in predicitng political dissatisfaction before parliamentary elections. The former finance minister, Alexei Kudrin, anticipated the 2008 global financial crisis and set aside reserves in the sovereign wealth fund to cope with the crisis. Both now see the potential for a worsening economic and political situation in Russia as Greece nears exit from the eurozone and the banking crisis in Europe leads to reduced loans to Russia. At the same time the political polarization in Russia between pro and anti Putin factions creates other tensions.
Linked Articles
Report Says Support for Putin Is Dropping
Wall Street Journal 05/23/2012
Russian Recession Could Prompt Political Woes, Report SaysNew York Times 05/24/2012
The views of Condoleeza Rice and Vladimir Putin on Russia's evolution through democratic processes
02/09/2012
Rice points out that diversification of the economy away from oil utilizing Russian technological capabilities will help Russia move away from the corruption of a resource based economy and build a healthy democratic setup. Putin says he recognizes the need for democratic processes to keep pace with the development of civil society and the growing middle class, but emphasizes that democracy cannot be built overnight, and places a higher priority on what he calls the "sovereignty of the people," the right to work, the right to education and free medical care.
Linked Articles
How Russia’s urban middle class can bring an end to Putinism - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/09/2012
Vladimir Putin: My vision for a better Russia - The Washington PostWashington Post 02/09/2012
The beginning of a negotiated settlement of the Afghan conflict through direct talks with the Taliban in 2012
11/13/2011
America's veteran diplomat, Richard Holbrooke- who is known for the Dayton Accords that settled the conflict in Yugoslavia-initiated the early efforts for a negotated settlement with all the warring factions including the Taliban, the ISI and the Pakistan military. After his death in 2010, these efforts were continued by Marc Grossman, a former ambassador to Turkey. The Taliban's willingness to open an office in Qatar and the willingness of all sides to talk directly opens the path to a negotiated settlement.
Linked Articles
Against Odds, Path Opens Up for U.S.-Taliban Talks
New York Times 01/11/2012
Book review: ‘The Unquiet American: Richard Holbrooke in the World’ - The Washington PostWashington Post 11/13/2011
Declining prospects for emerging markets in 2012-2013.
09/22/2011
Brazil, India, China and Russia face slowing growth in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Beware Building Up the BRICsWall Street Journal 09/22/2011
The household credit boom in Turkey and unsustainable credit to GDP ratios in 2010-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (1)
07/01/2011
A sea of liquidity is undermining the economy in Turkey and Brazil in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkey's Credit-Card CrunchBusinessWeek 10/27/2011
Turkey's prime minister Erdogan and the need to build a bridge between the two Turkeys- the secular and the one looking to its Muslim roots
06/13/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/13/2011
Identity Shift Giving Rise to 2 TurkeysNew York Times 11/30/2012
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Turkey (2)
04/25/2011
A sea of liquidity is undermining the economy in Turkey and Brazil.
Linked Articles
Free-Spending Turkey Hopes to Avoid a Fall
New York Times 04/25/2011
Turkish Leader Rides Spending Toward WinWall Street Journal 06/11/2011
The legacy of the two Clintons- putting behind old conflicts from the Balkans, to Russia and Turkey
10/10/2009
The role of Hillary in the entry of Russia to the World Trade Organization, in the Armenia-Turkey accords, follows the work of Bill Clinton in settling the Balkan conflict through special envoy Holbrooke. Bill Clinton had a special ability to select talented individuals and work with them in humility to promote peace- in the UK-Ireland conflict, and in the former Yugoslavia. Hillary Clinton did this with sheer tenacity of effort and working with humility with public servants who worked for Bill Clinton.
Linked Articles
Hillary Clinton: Trade With Russia Is a Win-Win
Wall Street Journal 06/19/2012
Armenia, Turkey Reach AccordWashington Post 10/10/2009
FT's Martin Wolf looks at Simon Johnson's argument that Obama is avoiding the tough choices because he has succumbed to pressure from financial elites.
04/14/2009
Wolf looks at Simon Johnson's argument about Obama's dithering on the tough issues like that of insolvent banks, and says America is not like Russia where financial elites controlled the government's way of responding into and out of a crisis.
Linked Articles
Unknown 04/15/2009
Text of Obama Economic SpeechBusinessWeek 04/14/2009
An Alternate View of U.S., and EU relations with Russia from Gates and German public opinion
01/05/2009
A look back at former Defense Secretary Gates views about Russia in the larger context of the postwar years and what it is today, including Georgia (and Crimea) and other issues. A similiar perspective fom the German side as seen by former chancellor Kohl, Merkel, Schroeder, and Ischinger, going back to the days of Wily Brandt. Brandt was Mayor of West Berlin in the period of enormous tensions between the Soviets and the Federal Republic during the sixties and later initiated the policy of constructive engagement.
Linked Articles
Pentagon Chief Sees Opportunities In Russia and the War on Terrorism
Washington Post 01/05/2009
Germany's Angela Merkel Treads Softly With Russia's Putin On UkraineWall Street Journal 04/08/2014
Polish and Czech views of Russia and their experience with Russia.
08/21/2008
The experience of Soviet occupation of Poland and the Czech Republic and the memories in Warsaw and Prague. In Prague memories of the soviet invasion of 1968.
Linked Articles
Amid Conflict in Georgia, Somber Memories for Czechs
New York Times 08/22/2008
Georgian Crisis Brings Attitude Change to a Flush PolandNew York Times 08/21/2008
Turkey, the U.S. and cluster bombs in Syria
06/28/2012
The U.S. stands by and takes a passive approach to artillery attacks on civilian populations and cluster bombs. Was some measure of respect lost in the process. The potential for a role with minimal cost of a no fly zone that could have prevented the air raids on civilians.
Linked Articles
Turkey Steps Up to the Assad Challenge
Wall Street Journal 06/28/2012
Syria Uses Cluster Bombs to Attack as Many Civilians as PossibleNew York Times 12/20/2012
Turkey and the move to democracy in the Middle East
02/17/2012
Linked Articles
Turkey Steps Up to the Assad Challenge
Wall Street Journal 06/28/2012
Tunisia Islamists Test Ideas Decades in the MakingNew York Times 02/17/2012
Sberbank's dominant position in Eastern Europe after withdrawal by Western European banks
12/13/2011
Russia's Sberbank acquires the Eastern European operations of Volksbank of Austria.
Linked Articles
Sberbank Looks to Buy Banks in Eastern Europe
New York Times 04/13/2012
Europe's Banks Retreat From the EastWall Street Journal 12/13/2011
Unsustainable consumer credit booms in Turkey and S. Korea 2010-2013
10/27/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/09/2012
Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Brazil
09/13/2011
A sea of liquidity undermines prospects in emerging markets such as Brazil and Turkey.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Dark Side of Brazil's RiseWall Street Journal 09/13/2011
Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (3)
07/01/2011
Growth in Turkey is fueled by surging credit growth and capital inflows. At the same time manufacturing competitiveness is falling.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkish Trade Deficit WidensWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
Turkey's unsustainable current account deficit and overheating economy in 2011-2012
05/07/2011
The dangers that economic policy may not be effective in managing the huge increase in credit and capital inflows. This is especially true with the distraction presented by the efforts of the AKP to win a sufficient majority to change the constitution.
Linked Articles
Turkish Leader Rides Spending Toward Win
Wall Street Journal 06/11/2011
The Turkish economy: OverheatingEconomist 05/07/2011
The legacy of the siege of Leningrad (St. Petersburg) as Russia faces the post -1990's period
03/05/2010
The legacy of the siege shared by ordinary Russians like writer Chizhova and political leaders like Putin.
Linked Articles
A Writer Invites Russia to Engage Its Painful Past
New York Times 03/05/2010
Vladimir Putin Describes Loss of a Brother at CeremonyNew York Times 01/27/2012
BP, Shell and other foreign oil companies expand production in Iraq in 2012-2014
07/01/2009
Ambitious goals for oil production are set by the Iraqi government as oil companies from the, U.S., Europe, Russia and China, provide the expertise to increase production from older oil fields. Problems of infrastructure and national oil legislation hinder rapid development.
Linked Articles
Crude Oil Output Is Soaring in Iraq, Easing Markets
New York Times 06/02/2012
Oil Companies Reject Iraq's Contract TermsWall Street Journal 07/01/2009
Gates new perspective on the US role in foreign affairs.
01/05/2009
How Gates sees the US role in foreign affairs and its relaions with Russia, the war with extremist Islamic militants, and the ways in which US policies should be reshaped in the new administration.
Linked Articles
Pentagon Chief Sees Opportunities In Russia and the War on Terrorism
Washington Post 01/05/2009
A Balanced StrategyForeign Affairs 01/05/2009
The West and policies towards Russia- (1) Kennan, Gates, Nurick and Allison on American policy in 2015-2016
01/05/2009
Linked Articles
In Cold War Echo, Obama Strategy Writes Off Putin
New York Times 04/19/2014
Pentagon Chief Sees Opportunities In Russia and the War on TerrorismWashington Post 01/05/2009
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