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Experts are doubtful Geithner's plan of March 23, 2009 for toxic assets will work. Its similiar to plans previously announced by Paulson in the Bush administration. Views of Krugman, Eavis and Reinhart. If lack of confidence and lack of liquidity were the only problems they say, government money as incentives might work, but the problem is more basic and structural. These mortgage securities are from a time of easy money, now investors are shy of risks and would discount them even more as a safety factor, and banks would not want to sell them at that price. Are stress tests and nationalization of failed banks around the corner?
Linked Articles
Why Congress Will Kill the Bank Rescue
Wall Street Journal 03/24/2009
Geithner's Gamble Needs SpeculatorsWall Street Journal 03/23/2009
If only the confidence and liquidity were an issue then maybe the Geithner Public Private Investment Program plan might work. But says Eavis, the underlying price structure for these mortgage securities is gone with this crisis,so that the recovery in their price for banks to avoid huge losses is going to be elusive. He cites Credit Sights which estimates losses of US banks through 2010 of $250- $450 billion.
Linked Articles
Treasury’s Got Bill Gross on Speed Dial
New York Times 06/21/2009
Geithner's Gamble Needs SpeculatorsWall Street Journal 03/23/2009
This raises a number of questions about the economic recovery and calls for new initiatives in retraining and government assistance for companies to hire and retrain.
Linked Articles
Stuck at Unemployed: When A Layoff Becomes a Lifestyle
Washington Post 06/06/2009
Jobless Scars Will Outlast the RecessionWall Street Journal 03/09/2009
My message to them, is this: "So am I", with that remark in his radio address Obama says he knows special interests are gearing up for a fight to prevent needed change in education oppportunities that otherwise would close the door on the middle class, on health care coverage that otherwise will leave in addition to the 46 million not covered an additional number of that magnitude uncovered as unemployment rises and insurance premiums become unaffordable, and on energy that leaves energy policy to oil and gas companies that have done little to promote conservation or new technologies to reduce demand amid mushrooming global demand.
Linked Articles
Obama Calls His Budget Needed Change
New York Times 03/01/2009
Liberal Groups Are Flexing New Muscle in Lobby WarsNew York Times 03/01/2009
Is the US going the way of a train wreck as Japan did from the mid 1990's to 2003 with every set of actions falling short of the task of cleaning up the banking system and economic recovery? Krugman and Japanese experts who tackled the Japanese banking crisis sense something like this is happening in the US.
Linked Articles
New York Times 02/13/2009
In Japan’s Stagnant Decade, Cautionary Tales for AmericaNew York Times 02/13/2009
Government spending that can have amultiplier effect, reduce social costs and not lead to crowding out of private investment. The pardox of thrift in economic downturns and the role of government spending and private savings in a situation like what the USA faces in 2009 and coming years.
Linked Articles
Government Spending Is No Free Lunch
Wall Street Journal 01/22/2009
Go Ahead and Save. Let the Government Spend.New York Times 02/15/2009
The short term thinking, risk aversion, and how the economic crisis makes things worse by exaggerating these two attitudes. The lack of resilience that is inherent in these atitudes as it does not increase selfawareness and the confidence from overcoming difficulties and challenges.
Linked Articles
Whatever Happened to Silicon Valley Innovation?
BusinessWeek 12/31/2008
Anxiety Management in an Economic CrisisBusinessWeek 12/31/2008
The reluctance of the German chancellor and her Finance Minister to match the large stimulus spending of France and Britain.
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/15/2008
German Talks Address Long-Term StimulusWall Street Journal 12/15/2008
U.S. congresswoman Sheila Bair once said it was the task of fund raising that deterred her and others like her from pursuing careers of national service at higher levels. Obama outspent McCain and Romney by wide margins in 2008 and 2012, right wing groups such as the Koch brothers are organizing similiar efforts of their own for 2016 so as not to be outspent by their opponents.
Linked Articles
Final Fundraising Tally for Obama Exceeded $750 Million
Washington Post 12/06/2008
Koch Brothers’ Budget of $889 Million for 2016 Is on Par With Both Parties’ SpendingNew York Times 01/26/2015
Obama carried the Hispanic vote by large numbers and the Catholic vote by a 9 point margin.
Linked Articles
Democrats Gain With Religious Voters
Wall Street Journal 11/06/2008
Big Turnout of Latino Voters Boosted ObamaWall Street Journal 11/06/2008
Gordon Brown sees the ups and downs with equanimity but he must have the satisfaction that this crisis for Europe and the world has brought out the best in him.
Linked Articles
British Prime Minister’s Stock Rises as His Bank Plan Lifts Stocks Worldwide
New York Times 10/15/2008
U.K. Chiefs Repair Image With BailoutWall Street Journal 10/14/2008
Gordon Brown's rescue Plan goes directly to the problem of recapitalizing the banks and gets ownership stakes in return for taxpayer money and is a good one in the view of the WSJ.
Linked Articles
Britain Takes a Different Route to Rescue Its Banks
New York Times 10/09/2008
A Plan -- at LastWall Street Journal 10/09/2008
After some fumbling in the bank run on Northern Rock, Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling come up with what the Wall Street Journal calls "A Plan at Last," as if heaving a sigh of relief after Paulson and Bernanke's own fumbling with troubled assets program.
Linked Articles
U.K. Chiefs Repair Image With Bailout
Wall Street Journal 10/14/2008
A Plan -- at LastWall Street Journal 10/09/2008
Krugman and Eavis have doubts about the new Geithner plan as it looks so much like his predecessor Paulson's failed efforts to do much about toxic assets. Krugman sees things only getting worse as 600,000 jobs are being lost every month, as Geithner, Congress and the public fail to push for the tough solutions including government taking over failed banks to deal with tosic assets without having to sort out pricing in advance.
Linked Articles
Geithner's Gamble Needs Speculators
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2009
Financial Policy DespairNew York Times 03/23/2009
Drug companies have $155 billion they plan to use for mergers and acquisitions and are tapping the bond markets for funds. Meantime small biotech startups are running short of cash in large numbers. Will this squeeze innovation and new products as startups wither and the mergers run into problems?
Linked Articles
Drug Firms Bet Big on High-Risk Deals
Wall Street Journal 03/17/2009
Cash Dries Up for Biotech Drug FirmsWall Street Journal 03/16/2009
Chase and Goldman's efforts to rewrite history, and act as though they did not benefit from government help is wrong and dangerous says the Economist. Its dangerous because it sends the message that any resoultion of toxic assets on banks books is unnecessary, and these banks should be treated differently when it comes to setting new prudent bank regulations, including setting regulation for incentives that do not support excessive risk taking and leveraging. A change in the economic climate for the worse could make this a dangerous complaceny.
Linked Articles
New York Times 03/06/2009
Thanks, for nothingEconomist 06/11/2009
With spending in the Stimulus plan derided as wasteful spending a closer look is needed of what is happening in infrastucture projects out there. Here are some big projects, and the list does not include numerous others. Robert Frank, a Cornell economist, clarifies how government spending in a sharp downturn, as consumers rebuild their finances, is just what is needed.
Linked Articles
Big Ideas, Grand Plans, Modest Budgets
New York Times 02/15/2009
Go Ahead and Save. Let the Government Spend.New York Times 02/15/2009
Linked Articles
In U.K., Getting Tough With Nationalized Banks
Wall Street Journal 02/09/2009
Royal Bank of Scotland to Slash Costs as Losses DeepenWall Street Journal 02/28/2014
About $300 billion of an estimated $800 billion stimulus spending plan by the Obama administration will be for tax cuts to individuals and businesses. There will be incentives for businesses to make net new hires and make new investments. The idea is to avoid wasteful spending if there is only spending on infrastructure and other spending.
Linked Articles
Obama Eyes $300 Billion Tax Cut
Wall Street Journal 01/05/2009
Government Spending Is No Free LunchWall Street Journal 01/22/2009
Avoiding wasteful spending, including tax cuts, evaluating projects carefully are ways the Obama stimulus is trying to calibrate the plan for ways to help the middle class an unemployment without risks of overborrowing and overspending in wasteful ways.
Linked Articles
Government Spending Is No Free Lunch
Wall Street Journal 01/22/2009
For Stimulus Plan, Obama Team Weighing 'Green' Jobs vs. Traditional ProjectsWashington Post 12/24/2008
The Obama economic action plan with large investments in infrastructure and green energy and in education and national competitiveness, and what neuroscience tells us about the part fear plays in making financial institutions and business not play the role they are otherwise able to play inleading economic activity.
Linked Articles
In Hard Times, Fear Can Impair Decision-Making
New York Times 12/07/2008
Obama Pledges Public Works on a Vast ScaleNew York Times 12/07/2008
How the automakers failed to convince Congress and end up in a three way battle in Congress between the Democrats, Republicans and the midwestern Congressmen with things like automakers private jets drawing scrutiny over how this industry was diffeerent in the way it did things including the higher medical benefits of union workers that burdened the companies.
Linked Articles
Detroit’s Bid for Aid Fails For Now
New York Times 11/21/2008
Terms of a Rescue PlanBusinessWeek 12/11/2008
In Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Georgia and other states of the Deep South women's rights and civil rights for black people were a result of decades of effort by women like Linda Boggs and Rutha May Harris, hard work against entrenched prejudice with many setbacks and resilience towards adversity, compared to the soft work of campaign strategy, image making, polling and fund raising of today.
Linked Articles
A Time to Reap for Foot Soldiers of Civil Rights
New York Times 11/05/2008
Ex-Congresswoman Lindy Boggs Dead at 97Wall Street Journal 07/28/2013
Gordon Brown is winning the support of many experts and governments in the remarkable leadership he has shown in this global financial crisis and his plan and execution.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/13/2008
Rescue Plan Comes Around to Views of the AcademicsWall Street Journal 10/11/2008
Vernon Smith thinks Treasury has little experience with reverse auctions and they will be awfully hard to do. Direct injection of capital into banks is something Treasury has experience and has done recently in some bank failures such as WaMu takeover by Chase organized by FDIC and Treasury. The British rescue plan of Gordon Brown is to provide capital to the banks in return for equity stakes.
Linked Articles
Britain Takes a Different Route to Rescue Its Banks
New York Times 10/09/2008
There's No Easy Way Out of the BubbleWall Street Journal 10/09/2008
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