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Did Putin overreact in Georgia 2008 and Ukraine 2014? Russia and the dangers to the Russian economy of not maintaining good relations with the West
08/13/2008
Russia tones down its overreaction as 66% of Russians polled in June say Russian forces should not enter Ukrainian terrritory. Putin and Russians in the administration policy making may have underestimated the reaction in the U.S. as reflected in this WSH editorial saying Americans should remember the words of Gen. Lucius Clay during the Berlin Blockade and the subsequent airlift. This could be why analysts in Russia now maintain that good relations with the West must be maintained, and entry of Russian forces into Ukraine would have disastrous consequences for Russia in terms of western sentiment and foreign investor sentiment. In such a situation Germany would be likely to support the stronger U.S. position seeing this in terms of the language used in theBerlin Airlift of 1948. For Germany and Russia this would be reversing the hard won gains of building relations from the time of Brandtand Kohl till today, fifty years of effort to build better relations and economic relationships- just too much for sober heads in Moscow Paris, and Berlin to accept, and closing another chapter in Russia's interactions with the West.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/13/2008
Seeing Cost of Saber Rattling in Ukraine, Putin Alters CourseNew York Times 07/11/2014
The presidential candidates Obama and McCain, agents of change or agents of lobbyists?
07/23/2008
Fannie and Freddie takeover and the reporting of high level ties with lobbyists of both candidates shows the agents of change argument like the free markets argument "as only a thin veneer" as one expert puts it. In this case though the lobbyists who are in other roles as close advisors to the two candidates and the candidates themselves may not realize that politics as usual here had huge implications. Without the hard work of Secretary Paulson and Bernanke the collapse of Fannie and Freddie could have endangered the American economy, not an overstatement, and could also have serious ripple effects all over the world economy.
Linked Articles
For ’08 Rivals, a Skein of Ties to Loan Giants
New York Times 09/10/2008
The Fannie Mae GangWall Street Journal 07/23/2008
Appreciation of the yuan would accelerate a shift in Chinese industry out of low cost low margin goods.
06/30/2008
Chinese policymakers are moving industry to higher value added goods with innovation and better technology and less price sensitive goods.
Linked Articles
China's Export Machine Threatened by Rising Costs
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2008
Yuan's Path Seems Up -- EventuallyWall Street Journal 06/30/2008
Karen Elliott House, expert on Saudi Arabia and the Middle East, on the U.S., the EU, and Saudi Arabia- demographics, aspirations and the princes 2007-2014
05/14/2008
Pulitzer prize winning journalist for reporting from the Middle East and expert on Saudi Arabia, Karen Elliott House, describes the changes in Saudi Arabia with the huge young demographic, and what it means for Saudi society, U.S.-Saudi relations, meeting the aspirations of young people.
Linked Articles
As the Middle East Burns, the Saudis Ease Up at Home
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2014
Our Friends in RiyadhWall Street Journal 05/14/2008
How parttime workers are shaping the unemployment picture in the US.
03/08/2008
Just as happened in Japan and continues to this day parttime workers are shaping the USA unemployment picture as employers increasingly resort to parttime workers to cut costs. With underutilized workers the USA unemployment rate reached 12% in October 2008.
Linked Articles
Labor Data Show Pain Across Economy
Wall Street Journal 11/08/2008
More People Pushed Into Part-Time Work ForceWall Street Journal 03/08/2008
Pakistan, Islamist politicians and expectations for better lives in the modern world
01/04/2008
The older politicians who are sobering up to the realities even in the border provinces are not for militancy, and badly want better health care, and hospitals. No one will turn down better infrastructure and standards of living and employment.
Linked Articles
New York Times 01/06/2008
Islamist Politicians Emerge As Pakistan's Power BrokersWall Street Journal 01/04/2008
Great Moderation and Monetary policy
09/20/2007
Bernanke's views about the half point interest rate cut in 2002 in his first months as Fed governor showed his concerns for overheating of residential construction but also that this was overweiged by his concerns for deflation and economic gloom current at the time.
Linked Articles
Economist 09/20/2007
Fed in 2002 Feared Deflation, Newly Released Transcripts ShowWall Street Journal 04/11/2008
Chrysler-Cherry partnership.
09/08/2007
Chrysler's participation in the Chinese market through its association with Cherry Automobile Company in Wuhu, Anhui Province, China. Chrysler will market Cherry automobiles around the world.
Linked Articles
In China, Chery Automobile Drives an Industry Shift
Wall Street Journal 12/04/2007
Chrysler Looks Abroad for RevivalWall Street Journal 09/08/2007
Southwest Airlines success at hedging against a rise in oil prices.
11/16/2006
Southwest hedged against rising oil prices which helped it cap fare prices and gain market share. Its competitors missed the boatcompletely on where oil prices were going and failed to hedge.
Linked Articles
Economist 11/16/2006
An Airline Shrugs at Oil PricesNew York Times 11/29/2007
Why Wal-Mart and Carrefour never made it in S. Korea
08/10/2006
Shinsaegae's E-Mart, an offshoot of Samsung Group, and Samsung-Tesco, provide Koreans with a typically Korean outdoor market experience, something Carrefour and Wal-mart with the warehouse concept failed to do. A Korean retail executive says Koreans hate the warehouse concept. Stores need the personal quality of a market.
Linked Articles
South Korea's E-Mart Is No Wal-Mart, Which Is Precisely Why Locals Love It
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2006
Tesco's New CEO Clarke Is Company VeteranWall Street Journal 06/09/2010
The Oil Price Shock of 2006 and the potential for oil price increases for 2012
04/29/2006
In 2006 as in 2012 the world faces tight supplies and a confrontation with Iran over its nuclear program.
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of OilNew York Times 04/29/2006
Drug cartels emerging in Afghaistan.
07/27/2008
The UN OFfice of Drugs and Crime ses the growth of drug cartels in Afghaistan as 10,000 tons of drugs from the opium crop have been stockpiled inside Afghistan and are controlled by narco-gangs. This is estimated as 2 years of world demand. This as efforts to curb opium growing have reduced the land devoted to the crop by 22% and reduced the crop by 10%.
Linked Articles
U.N. Sees Afghan Drug Cartels Emerging
New York Times 09/02/2009
Is Afghanistan a Narco-State?New York Times 07/27/2008
GM to tap debt markets for only $3 billion depending on $10 billion of cost cutting .
07/16/2008
GM will cut spending in many areas like ad spending and marketing so as to have less dependence on loans secured against its international operation.
Linked Articles
GM Plans Debt Offering To Accompany Cost Cutting
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2008
GM Plans $10 Billion In Cuts to Bolster CashWall Street Journal 07/16/2008
China makes a major shift to higher value added and technology products.
06/30/2008
The cheap products made at high costs to labor, the environment are out and the remaining textile products and similar product companies will have to be more sophisticated and make more value added products. Chinese government policy will discourage the older polluting factories in the south and encourage high tech leadership products for world markets.
Linked Articles
China’s Ambition Soars to High-Tech Industry
New York Times 08/01/2008
China's Export Machine Threatened by Rising CostsWall Street Journal 06/30/2008
The U.S. with 5% of the world's population and 25% of the prison population in the world- the failure of the prison system in rehabilitation of light offenders
04/23/2008
Linked Articles
Inmate Count in U.S. Dwarfs Other Nations’
New York Times 04/23/2008
End Mass Incarceration NowNew York Times 05/24/2014
A tolerant Islamic world- the world of Hamza
01/06/2008
A more tolerant world has existed in Islamic Central Asia, South Asia and Iran, over long perids that were also punctuated by periods of conflict. Europe has experienced this also as the ebb and flow of religious strife and of tolerance prevailed in different periods.
Linked Articles
New York Times 01/06/2008
Eat Your Heart Out, HomerNew York Times 01/06/2008
Sovereign investment funds of China and Norway
11/16/2007
Many of the world's major sovereign weealth funds are looking to the Norwegian example for how to structure their fund to operate free of government influence and what policy to adopt, and investment guidelines to reassure host countries and companies.
Linked Articles
China Tries to Reassure U.S. About Its Investing Plans
New York Times 02/01/2008
Sovereign Funds Look to NorwayWall Street Journal 11/16/2007
Alberta tar sands projects are coming in at costs as high as twice the original estimate.
09/12/2007
A project by Petro-Canada came in at $4.8 billion, twice the original estimate. With costs rising and crude oil prices dropping below $50 a barrel, and viability of projects requiring price of $60, new projects may be cut.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/12/2007
The Costly Compromises of Oil From SandNew York Times 01/07/2009
Ratan Tata's leadership of the Tata Group
08/13/2007
The achievements of the Tata family, the immense change Tata companies are going through, expansion into many businesses as India grows, and Ratan Tata's leadership.
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 08/13/2007
Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 CarNew York Times 01/08/2008
Handan Iron & Steel Works, Hebei Province, and ThyssenKrupp, Dortmund, Germany, a world away- bad decisions and environmental pollution in China
10/02/2006
Did China's government officials underestimate the cost of environmental pollution in bringing the old polluting plant from Dortmund, Germany? How much will a cleanup cost? In 2007? In 2015 or 2020? Were these costs figured in? Who got the better deal- Germany or China?
Linked Articles
Why Beijing Is Trying to Tally The Hidden Costs of Pollution As China's Economy Booms - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2006
China Grabs West’s Smoke-Spewing FactoriesNew York Times 12/21/2007
Putin's experiences after the collapse of the Soviet Union and Russia's transition to democratic processes
07/13/2006
Clues from Putin's experiences and thinking after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the direction for Russia's democratic processes- the early enthusiasm for democratic forms in the immediate years after the collapse of the Berlin Wall followed by the chaotic period and the aftermath of economic collapse, appear to have shaped his thinking.
Linked Articles
In Putin's Past, Glimpses Of Russia's Hardline Future
Wall Street Journal 12/21/2007
Group of 8 Talks, Like So Much These Days, Are All About Energy: Russias Gas and OilNew York Times 07/13/2006
Entry of low cost Chinese cars into world markets.
04/29/2005
The other thing the Koreans are thinking of if they don't move upscale to Lexus type cars they risk being squeezed at the lowend by Chinese carmakers like Cherry.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/29/2005
Low-Cost Chinese Cars Making Restrained Entry to European MarketNew York Times 07/13/2007
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