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Fed Grapples With a New Risk Reality
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The Fed over the past year has assumed, backstopped, or committed to take on about $2 trillion in assets from shaky financial institutions including Bear Stearns, AIG, Citigroup and Bank of America. In some cases the banks will assume some of the losses, or Treasury will accept some of the losses before the Fed comes into the picture. Another $1 trillion in lending could occur in 2009 as liquidity programs are tapped further by borrowers and the Fed purchases more bonds such as the ones sold by Fannie and Freddie, and securites backed by student loans, auto loans, credit card receivables and small business loans. This would result in a balance sheet for the Fed over 3 times what it was 18 months ago in mid 2007.
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One impact is that a few securties firms are making large profits even as the smaller banks are failing, banks like Citigroup and Bank of America are suffering losses, and the banks that were "too big to fail" are actually becoming larger. The Fed's infusion of money is not helping small and medium sized businesses with credit, as the smaller banks that lend to these businesses -as Ms. Lee points out- are not getting credit and are laying off people. This is setting off a vicious cycle of shrinking employment and shriking consumer demand.
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