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U.S. Recession Stymies Mexico's Growth for 2009

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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With 80% of its exports going to the U.S. the growth rate and jobs in Mexico are seeing the impact Finance Minister Carstens expects no growth in 2009. As Mexico's finances are in better shape than in past recessions there is room for some stimulus projects by Petroleos Mexicanos, the government oil company, by auctioning 2 highway projects, for expanding unemployment benefits, and giving $150 million in aid to industries hit by the credit crisis. About 250,000 manufacturing jobs were lost in the last few months of 2008.

Emerging Markets Financial Crisis in 2014 and 1997- the difference in 2014 is less contagion as investors look at individual countries

01/09/2009

The current account deficits are high in Thailand and Turkey, and this is coupled wth political uncertainty. Argentina faces high inflation at over 20%. Investors have focussed on Argentina and Turkey. Countries that failed to learn from the 1997 crisis such as Argentina, Turkey and Thailand, are seen in a different light from Mexico and Poland. India faces inflation of about 10%. Other countries affected are Russia, Brazil and South Africa. Most of the countries have flexible exchange rates in 2014 compared to fixed exchange rates in 1997, and higher dollar reserves in 2014 which helps cushion the effects of overseas borrowing. The effects on Europe and the U.S. in 2014 are seen as limited to how this affects the global economy.

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U.S. Recession Stymies Mexico's Growth for 2009

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