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Opinion | What Is Kim Jong-un’s Game?

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This article in NYT by a China expert based in Hong Kong points out that a key driver in the current developmetns in Korea are not understood. With the growth of China's influence in East Asia and a decline in American influence many of the countries in the region are rebalancing. Vietnam and Singapore are pushing back. In the same way North Korea under Kim Jong Un is concerned about its dependence on China with 90% of its trade conducted with China. The Chinese participation in the strong sanctions introduced by president Trump has increased this awareness of its dependence on China. President Xi Jinping has also ignored North Korea as China focuses on larger issues in international relations, including its relationships with the U.S., EU and India.

This strategic development is what drives the current meetings between president Moon of South Korea and president Kim of North Korea, and the planned meeting of Kim with president Trump. 

This China expert says the shift in better relations could be part of North Korea's effort to open up to the U.S, South Korea and Japan, in an effort to diversify its relationships to reduce dependence on China. This does not mean the unification of North and South Korea, he says, because it would mean loss of power for the Kim regime and would be too costly for the South. The nuclear missile development was part of an effort to preserve the Kim regime. The Kim regime is also focusing efforts on economic development which would be better achieved by opening up to the U.S., South Korea and Japan.


China's diplomacy and efforts in North Korea in 2015-2017

02/07/2016

Grouped Articles

China Struggles for Balance in Response to North Korea’s Boldness

New York Times 02/07/2016

U.S.-China Tensions Thwart Response to North Korea Threat

WSJ 09/09/2016

Analyst: 'We need an entirely new North Korea strategy' | Asia | DW.COM | 09.09.2016

DW.COM 09/09/2016

Rex Tillerson Rejects Talks With North Korea on Nuclear Program

The New York Times 03/17/2017

Tillerson Says Tougher Sanctions, Military Strike Among North Korea Options

WSJ 03/17/2017

Trump Says China Will Get Better Trade Deal if It Solves ‘North Korean Problem’

The New York Times 04/11/2017

Talks between the U.S. and North Korea in 2018

04/23/2018

Grouped Articles

China, Feeling Left Out, Has Plenty to Worry About in North Korea-U.S. Talks

The New York Times 04/22/2018

Korea summit: leaders vow to 'write new chapter' in peninsula’s history

The Guardian 04/27/2018

Korea summit: Trump hails 'end of the Korean war' - as it happened

The Guardian 04/27/2018

'Why has it taken us so long': five things we've learned from Korean summit

The Guardian 04/27/2018

North and South Korea Set Bold Goals: A Final Peace and No Nuclear Arms

The New York Times 04/27/2018

Opinion | What Is Kim Jong-un’s Game?

05/08/2018

Relations between North Korea and South Korea and public opinion in South Korea.

08/16/2010

Grouped Articles

South Korea Urges Measures for Unification

Wall Street Journal 08/16/2010

U.S. and Allies to Tie North Korea’s Rights Record to Nuclear Talks

New York Times 05/27/2015

As marathon talks continue, Koreas ready their militaries for conflict - The Washington Post

Washington Post 08/24/2015

Koreas Agree on Deal to Defuse Tensions

New York Times 08/24/2015

The U.S. diplomatic corps loses a legend just when it needs him the most - The Washington Post

Washington Post 01/07/2016

China Seen Defusing Korea

Wall Street Journal 12/22/2010

The U.S.-Japan Partnership

01/10/2011

Renewal of US-Japan relations. Security, North Korea, China and other regional issues lead to an effort to renew the partnership in 2011-2012.

Grouped Articles

China Raises Stakes in Air Standoff

Wall Street Journal 12/01/2013

Tensions With China Shoring Up Japanese Prime Minister's Push to Build Up Military Capability

Wall Street Journal 12/01/2013

Japan, U.S. at Odds Over China's Air Zone

Wall Street Journal 12/02/2013

China Pumps Up the Volume Against Japan

Wall Street Journal 02/08/2014

Obama Juggles Itinerary in Bid to Ease Tensions Between Two Asian Allies

New York Times 03/24/2014

Japan’s Foreign Minister Says Apologies to Wartime Victims Will Be Upheld

New York Times 04/08/2014


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