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Markets’ Panic Incongruent With Economic Reality—For Now

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Greg Ip, Chief Economics correspondent of the WSJ, says there is a disconnect between falling stock markets in Jan 2016 and the economy. This is true not only for the U.S. economy but for China as well, says Ip. He points to the 6.9% growth rate in China for 2015 as close to the target set by China's government. Reports of economic output and exports show China's economy stabilizing. This contrasts with weakness in the way the government and the central bank have managed financial markets since the summer of 2015, sending confusing signals and hurting investor confidence. One difference as the stock markets decline worldwide- the Fed in the U.S has little room to cut rates and plans to gradually increase rates, the Chinese govenment and planners do not plan stimulus as they look for ways to reduce debt in the economy. This means less support for financial markets and less support for high valuations in the tech and startup sectors, which could provide stability in the long run.

The disconnect between falling stock markets and the economy in the U.S., China and Europe in 2016

01/21/2016

The growing economy in the U.S. with over 200,000 jobs created on average for each month in 2015, the gradual recovery in Europe, and the stabilizing economy in China, suggest that nervousness in financial markets stems from other factors. The weakness in managing financial markets by the central bank and the government in China since the summer of 2015 has hurt investor confidence. The lack of stimulus plans as the Chinese government and planners work to cut debt in the economy, and the U.S. Fed's decision to gradually and slowly increase rates are twin factors for decline in financial markets, yet these very factors provide stability in the long run.

Grouped Articles

Markets’ Panic Incongruent With Economic Reality—For Now

Wall Street Journal 01/21/2016

Markets Are Scaring Themselves

Wall Street Journal 01/21/2016

Stock-Market Rout: Where’s the Fed?

Wall Street Journal 01/21/2016

Stretch of Market Volatility Makes It Stormy at the Top

The New York Times 07/15/2016

Wall Street, Climbing Sharply, Skips Washington’s ‘Soap Opera’

The New York Times 08/03/2017


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