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Ex-Advisers Warn Obama That Iran Nuclear Deal ‘May Fall Short’ of Standards

New York Times Original article ›

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A study group at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy sends a public letter to U.S. president Obama on the Iran negotiations. It says the nuclear agreement negotiated with Iran "may fall short of the administration's own standard of a 'good' agreement." It is signed by some of Mr. Obama's main advisors during the first term. Some of these officials told the NYT that the letter was the result of serious concern that Mr. Kerry and other negotiators were moving towards major concessions that would weaken the international inspections of Iran's facilities, back away from making Iran reveal suspected past work on weapons, and allow Iranian R&D to move ahead with making nuclear fuel once the accord expires. The five Obama advisors from the first term who signed the letter are: Dennis Ross, Middle East negotiator, David Petraeus, CIA director, Robert Einhorn, State Department proliferation expert, Gary Samore, chief advisor on nuclear policy, Gen. James Cartwright, vice chairman Jt. Chiefs of Staff. Gary Samore is president of the advocacy group United Against Nuclear Iran. The letter was also signed by President Bush's national security advisor during his second term, Stephen Hadley. Such a large group of advisors to presidents Bush and Obama familiar with the details of Iran's development of nuclear technology and weapons capabilities could give Republicans support to kill any agreement that falls short on inspections during Congressional Review. On this key factor where only vague assurances are made by the Iranian side- such as signing an International Atomic Agency convention giving inspectors broad rights to visit suspicious sites, followed by Ayatollah Khamanei ruling out military sites- the letter is specific. Inspections it says " must include military (including Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps), and other sensitive facilities. Iran must not be able to deny or delay timely access to any site anywhere in the country." Inspections work rigorously done is set as a precondition before any significant relief from economic sanctions on Iran.

Israel and the negotiations for a nuclear agreement with Iran in April 2015

03/23/2015

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Concessions Fueled Iran Nuclear Talks

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Iran Nuclear Accord: Contents of the Deal

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Obama’s Iran ‘Framework’*

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A Foreign Policy Gamble by Obama at a Moment of Truth

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Separate Iranian and American statements on the outline of the nuclear agreement reached in April 2015, and the different interpretations

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The different statements put out by the Iranian foreign minister and by John Kerry were intended to give each side the opportunity to sell what it had agreed to at home- the Iranian negotiators to hardliners in the Iranian government, and the U.S. to Congress and Israel. On a key issue for the Iranians for example the words are for sanctions to be lifted "immediately," and the Fordo complex conversion into a science and technology research center can be put off if America does not lift sanctions. The American statement talks about sanctions lifting as a step by step process. These differences could lead to tough negotiations ahead.

Grouped Articles

Outline of Iran Nuclear Deal Sounds Different From Each Side

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Iran Backs Away From Key Detail in Nuclear Deal

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President Obama Calls Preliminary Iran Nuclear Deal ‘Our Best Bet’

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The Obama Doctrine and Iran

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Israel, U.S. Lawmakers Press Case Against Iran Nuclear Deal

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White House Says Obama Would Sign New Iran Bill

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The major factor in the 2015 Iran nuclear negotiations- a 12 month non-negotiable "breakout window" and the checks needed to enforce it

03/21/2015

The "breakout window" is a term that refers to the time it would take for Iran to break out of an agreement controlling its weapons development and rushing towards development of a nuclear weapon. Britain, France and the U.S. agree that a minimum of 12 months is needed. Surveillance efforts will have to be intensified even with a deal to see that it is enforced.

Grouped Articles

Unstated Factor in Iran Talks: Threat of Nuclear Tampering

New York Times 03/21/2015

Kerry Pushes Iran Nuclear Deal Timetable Amid Differences With France

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Iran’s Supreme Leader Holds Key to Nuclear Deal

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Tehran and West Agree on Parameters of Deal for Iran’s Nuclear Program

Wall Street Journal 04/02/2015

Obama’s Iran ‘Framework’*

Wall Street Journal 04/03/2015


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