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E.C.B. Plots Strategy for Staving Off Deflation

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Inflation in the eurozone is running at 0.7%, well below the target of 2%. In a opening speech for a 2 day conference organized by the ECB in May 2014, ECB president Draghi said the increase in the value of the euro since 2011 has made commodities like oil cost less in euros, contributing to lower inflation. A key concern referred to in Draghi's speech is the data from Spain and Portugal about the difficulty for business to get loans in Spain and Portugal. About 25% of Spanish businesses and 33% of Portgual's businesses have difficulty getting loans. Even profitable companies have difficulty getting loans. One way the ECB could tackle this is to make cheap loans available to eurozone banks conditional on the money being lent to businesses and not invested in government bonds, as has happened during prior ECB efforts to capitalize banks.

The ECB and inflation in the eurozone

03/29/2014

Grouped Articles

Euro Zone Edges Closer to Deflation

Wall Street Journal 03/29/2014

E.C.B. Plots Strategy for Staving Off Deflation

New York Times 05/26/2014

Eurozone Inflation Continues Its Slide

New York Times 07/31/2014

Eurozone’s Drop in Inflation Carries More Fears of Another Recession

New York Times 09/30/2014

Eurozone’s Drop in Inflation Carries More Fears of Another Recession

New York Times 09/30/2014

Ultralow Inflation Hits Europe in Different Ways, Complicating Fix

Wall Street Journal 11/05/2014

How Mario Draghi, ECB president, sees the problems in the eurozone and policy direction in 2012-2015

01/11/2010

A wide ranging interview with Mario Draghi by Wall Street Journal reporters Blackstone, Karnitschnig and Thomson, which gives insights on how Draghi sees solutions to the crisis in the eurozone and future policy. Draghi favors good fiscal consolidation which combines freeing up labor markets and structural changes for Italy, Spain and other southern countries, with spending reductions, and capital investment in the future as opposed to tax increases for current spending and lack of capital investment for future growth. He points out that with excessive debt to GDP ratios there is no alternative to this right kind of fiscal consolidation. The fiscal consolidation gives the structural changes time to be put in place..

Grouped Articles

ECB Moves Markets, Not Economy

Wall Street Journal 05/03/2013

The Man Who’ll Do Triage on Europe’s Banks

New York Times 10/20/2013

ECB Struggles With Low-Altitude Flying

Wall Street Journal 11/10/2013

Euro Strengthens as Fears Fade

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2013

Bonds of Italy, Spain Narrow Gap With U.S., German Yields

Wall Street Journal 04/09/2014

E.C.B. Plots Strategy for Staving Off Deflation

New York Times 05/26/2014

The impact of the housing bubble related banking crisis on small and medium sized business in Spain

02/25/2010

About 60% of the economy and 80% of the jobs in Spain are with small and medium sized business. The consolidation of banks is leading to loss of local contact. The need to build capital reserves to cover bad loan losses means banks are calling in loans to these businesses. This is happening in smaller towns and cities across Spain, and will worsen the already high 25% unemplyment rate. The credit squeeze is hurting the recovery.

Grouped Articles

Europe’s credit crunch: Mend the money machine

Economist 05/16/2013

The Pain in Spain Falls Mainly on the Cajas

BusinessWeek 02/25/2010

For Some in Europe, High Lending Rates Hamper Recovery

New York Times 05/12/2014

E.C.B. Plots Strategy for Staving Off Deflation

New York Times 05/26/2014

Spanish Loan Data Suggests Modest Recovery

Wall Street Journal 10/25/2014

In Spain, Banks Find Dry Lending Landscape

Wall Street Journal 12/04/2014

Lending gap for small business from high interest rates in 2012-2014- the situation in Portugal

05/12/2014

Interest rates of about 10% for loans to small business in Portugal in 2014 hamper an economic recovery and job creation. The eurozone struggles to find growth in the first half of 2014, with the economy of Italy and Portugal continuing to shrink and France stalling. The credit squeeze is hurting the recovery.

Grouped Articles

For Some in Europe, High Lending Rates Hamper Recovery

New York Times 05/12/2014

E.C.B. Plots Strategy for Staving Off Deflation

New York Times 05/26/2014

Spanish Loan Data Suggests Modest Recovery

Wall Street Journal 10/25/2014

E.C.B. Says Loans to Private Sector Rose in March for First Time in 3 Years

New York Times 04/29/2015

Portugal Dared to Cast Aside Austerity. It’s Having a Major Revival.

New York Times 07/22/2018

Spain's economy 2014-2015

01/24/2014

Grouped Articles

Spanish Job Market May Be Turning Around

Wall Street Journal 01/24/2014

E.C.B. Plots Strategy for Staving Off Deflation

New York Times 05/26/2014

Loan Growth Suffers at Spanish Banks

Wall Street Journal 11/13/2015


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