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Beijing Plans Infrastructure Binge
Keywords:
Tags: Current Focus, China,
China's economic planning agency, the National Development and Reform Commission, has approved $156 billion in new infrastructure projects, new subways, highways and other projects in recent weeks. The response is more carefully planned than the stimulus projects in 2009-2010, which are now seen as excessive response creating the prospect of bad loans in the banking system and causing inflation. The stimulus spread over 2 years, 2009 and 2010, was by government's initial estimates about 4 trillion yuan and this does not include additional local government spending as the government encouraged spending. This time the stimulus is about 1 trillion yuan or $158 billion, 2% of GDP, spread over 4 years, with projects going through careful review, according to Nomura economist Zhang Zhiwei. The Chinese government wants to avoid losing gains made in controlling a property bubble and holding down inflation.
China's future and the experience of Japan and Mexico
05/29/2010
China devotes 3% of GDP to education compared to 5% in developed countries. The underinvestment in education and human capital can lead to stagnation in per capita incomes. This happened in Mexico. The inability to deal with bad loans in the banking system can lead to slowing economic growth. This happened in Japan. The bulldozing of schools of migrant workers reflects a failure to address balanced growth and a breakdown in assigning the right priorities.
Grouped Articles
Mexico and China look to trade away old rivalry - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/18/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
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China's Silver Linings Playbook
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U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
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The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
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Unrest May Signal New Phase in China Economy
New York Times 05/29/2010
China- inflation, the currency, and economic mismanagement, the situation in 2010-2012
01/07/2010
Efforts to strengthen the currency are being resisted by export interests. Inflation is hurting consumers who are limited to earning 2.75% interest on savings, with the interest rate spread designed to help banks earn their way through bad loans made during the stimulus lending binge. A massive reallocation of resources away from consumers and towards lending to state-owned companies which create overcapacity in industries and engage in real estate speculation. Far from rebalancing the world economy this will affect internal growth in China.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
China Inflation Rises to a 19-Month High
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Wall Street Journal 09/04/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
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World Bank Deletes Critical Passage on China
Wall Street Journal 07/05/2015
New York Times 01/20/2011
The World Bank and the Development Research Center (DRC) Report "China: 2030"
01/06/2008
A government Chinese think tank, the DRC, and the World Bank collaborate to write a report on the best future direction for China's economy. World Bank president Zoellick's suggestion for writing this report was endorsed by Li Keqiang, who will become the new prime minister of China.
Grouped Articles
Beijing Signals a Shift on Economic Policy
New York Times 05/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2013
The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
New York Times 07/14/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2010
Fixing a Perception Gap for the Underappreciated G-20
Wall Street Journal 08/27/2013
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