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Li Keqiang and the era of Openness in China 1977-2023
11/02/2023
LI Keqiang was able to pass entrance exams to Peking University in 1977 after entrance exams were reinstated following Mao's death. He led the modernization of China during the 2000-2022 period two decades of fast growth turning China into a middle income industrialized country after centuries of decline. During this period China urbanized at a rapid rate and Li's advanced studies focused on urbanization. It was also a period when China realized the damage done to the environment and quality of air, water, with haphazard growth, and shifted to climate change action through focus on solar energy and limiting use of coal.
Linked Articles
China Mourns Former Premier Whose Death Hovers Over Xi Jinping
WSJ 11/02/2023
Next Premier Came of Age in Era of OpennessWall Street Journal 11/16/2012
How the Russian invasion of a neighboring country has not worked in line with European history
04/07/2023
Scholz of Germany says Putin started this war for absurd reasons. NATO he says was never a threat to Russia. Russia invaded a neighboring country with the idea of conquering it. Scholz says Putin was taking a felt tip pen across the European landscape and drawing this is yours, this mine. And he says Germany would never accept that. Brendan Simms in his History of Europe- The struggle for Supremacy 1452 to the Present, is on German chancellor Scholz's reading list since 2021. It shows that for 500 years no dominant European power was able to do act with impunity without the rest of Europe joining together to prevent it. This war is not an exception. The European Union countries stuck together to make it possible for Ukraine to carry on even with generators to keep the lights on and supermarket shelves well stocked. In this sense the outcome of this war is already known. It has followed what Brendan Simms has pointed out already.
Linked Articles
Germany's Scholz says Putin started war for 'completely absurd' reasons | DW | 21.08.2022
DW.COM 08/23/2022
Thwarting Vladimir Putin: The Ukrainian Economy Just Keeps On Going - DER SPIEGELSPIEGEL ONLINE 04/07/2023
Limits to China's economic recovery from local government debt and smaller pool of savings
03/07/2023
A smaller pool of savings and build up of debt during the pandemic limit the extent of China's economic recovery. The trillions of dollars of local government debt and the slowdown in the construction sector act as barriers to growth in China.
Linked Articles
Covid-Era Savings Are Crucial to China’s Economic Recovery
WSJ 02/26/2023
China’s Cities Struggle Under Trillions of Dollars of DebtWSJ 03/06/2023
Years of hyper growth followed by slight or shrinking growth in China
07/31/2022
For years China pushed hyper growth without correctly understanding the sources of that hyper growth and its consequences in the long run. Communities in the US and the EU simply could not cope with the hyper shift of factories from local regions to China that created the hyper growth in China. Local governments in China and self interested investment banks in the US and Eu pushed for this growth and the central government failed to act with restraining action. The result is alienated public in the US and EU, intense trade and competitive frictions and permanent damage to friendly US China, US EU relations. The domestic side of this hyper growth was the overdependence on the property sector which was asked to carry a bigger burden for development leading to the crisis today with local governments strained for financing by $900 billion as reported in WSJ today July 31. 2022. This did not need to happen. China entered this experiment with capitalism without restraining action with very little knowledge of the market economy and how it operates correctly only with restraining and corrective action in the interests of the whole people of the country. Too much has gone wrong for peoples on either side, the unintended effects and consequences in the simple unbridled pursuit of self-interest alone.
Linked Articles
China’s Economy Tested by Strained City Finances
WSJ 07/31/2022
China’s Manufacturing Sector Unexpectedly Contracts Amid Weak Demand, Covid LockdownsWSJ 07/31/2022
Macron's role in setting up the nonrepayable $390 billion common funding for the European Recovery Fund
07/31/2020
Macron's effort to persuade Merkel and Germans of the need for common funding for European recovery and his persistence at negotiations with the Dutch and Swedes to secure 390 billion euros of funding aid has earned him increasing popularity in France. It also brings Spain, Italy, Greece and eastern European nations closer together with France and Germany as they fight the pandemic.
Linked Articles
Macron's popularity climbs after signing EU pandemic stimulus, reshuffling gov't
France 24 07/30/2020
Opinion: Extraordinary times call for extraordinary EU measures | DW | 21.07.2020DW.COM 07/21/2020
A Tale of Two Italian Cities - Bergamo, Lombardy and Vo, Veneto- In the time of Coronavirus
04/12/2020
Bergamo in Lombardy, northern Italy, did not heed the warnings calling for strict quarantines, Vo in Veneto region did contact tracing and strict quarantines. This made all the difference. Bergamo turned into a disaster, Vo recovered quickly. Vo is 85 miles to the east of Bergamo. This is a warning to cities around the world, act late and without strict quarantine or lockdown and there is a huge disaster looming from the coronavirus spreading quickly, because it is in the words of Dr Birx "very, very contagious."
Linked Articles
Italy’s Slow Progress in Fighting Coronavirus Is a Warning to West
WSJ 03/27/2020
A tale of two provinces: mistakes that fuelled Italy’s coronavirus outbreakThe Times 03/26/2020
President Trump and U.S. relations with Middle East countries
05/25/2017
Linked Articles
Trump Softens Tone on Islam but Calls for Purge of ‘Foot Soldiers of Evil’
The New York Times 05/21/2017
In Saudi Arabia, Trump Reaches Out to Sunni Nations, at Iran’s ExpenseThe New York Times 05/22/2017
Why initiating Brexit by invoking the Lisbon Treaty's Article 50 could go into 2017, or even past 2020 into new general elections- (3) the inclusion of key "Leave" supporters in Theresa May's cabinet
08/16/2016
By including a key member of the "Leave" vote, Mr Boris Johnson, former Mayor of London, in the cabinet as Foreign Secretary, Theresa May has given herself a lot more flexibility in tackling the Brexit issue so that it does not hurt the British economy. It would be hard for a key cabinet member not to be part of the team position on issues, and for the team to ignore the Bank of England's role in steadying the economy. By making the issues important to working class people in Britain her priorities Theresa May also lays the ground for everyone in Britain to gain moving forward as the economy recovers.
Linked Articles
Wait and see: Theresa May is in no hurry on Brexit | Europe | DW.COM | 15.08.2016
DW.COM 08/15/2016
Theresa May, New British Prime Minister, Gives Boris Johnson a Key PostThe New York Times 07/13/2016
Donald Trump's proposal for 45% tariff on China's exports to the U.S.- how a policy of bringing jobs home could lead to the loss of 1 million U.S. jobs
03/08/2016
By damaging the international trading system including with allies such a Canada, Britain, France and Germany, the result of a downward spiral through higher tariffs in other countries, could end up costing the U.S. 1 million jobs. Under such a system the U.S. would lose many of the advantages of its booming tech sector, its tech driven global advantages in many industries, without signifcant gains in low cost imports such as clothing which would simply migrate to other countries such as India. The problem of worker wage stagnation in the U.S., and loss of jobs in certain sectors, is very real, but this is the wrong way to tackle the problem. China is already moving towards a consumer driven economy. Economists show that trade with Mexico would be seriously hurt both ways, creating more pressure of migrants at the border under such proposals as a 45% tariff and its indirect effect on Mexico, when the actual fact is that net migration from Mexico is the lowest it has ben in decades. Politics can do strange things as when two senators Smoot and Hawley from agricultural states Utah and Oregon, at the head of important committees in the U.S. Congress pushed and passed legislation for a 60% tariff in 1930 for the industrial sector they had no idea about. When Smoot and Hawley lost reelection in 1932 they left behind a lot of damage, especially for the farmers and workers they thought they were fighting for.
Linked Articles
How Trump’s Hard Line on Trade Could Backfire
Wall Street Journal 03/25/2016
Can Trump Start a Trade War?Wall Street Journal 03/08/2016
The Donald Trump campaign for U.S. president in 2016- strategies from "The Art of the Deal"
02/25/2016
Thinking big embracing the entire electorate, using social media to the fullest, improvising often based on voter sentiment, commonsense approaches, worked for Trump in the Republican primaries in 2016. The failure of the other candidates to address issues of voter frustration, and splitting of the vote with many candidates, created the opportunity for Trump to succeed with his unconventional campaigning style coupled with a careful attention to what troubled voters.
Linked Articles
Donald Trump’s Campaign Blueprint: His Own Book
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2016
Trump and the Also-RansWall Street Journal 02/25/2016
A guide to understanding the Middle East and South Asia, 1980-2015, and what this means for Europe and the U.S. (1) - Iraq, Syria, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan
09/25/2015
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/12/2015
Agents of Their Own DestinyWall Street Journal 09/25/2015
A guide to understanding the Middle East and South Asia and what this means for Europe and the U.S. (2) - Iraq, Syria, Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan
09/11/2015
Linked Articles
Why Russia is in Syria - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/11/2015
Agents of Their Own DestinyWall Street Journal 09/25/2015
Trump's casinos and Griffin's Citadel hedge fund- risky financial investments and path from collapse to recovery
08/04/2015
WSJ reporters Grant and Berzon on Trump, and Copeland on Ken Griffin of the Citadel hedge fund provide an inside look at the financial dealings and maneouvring of Trump, the huge risk and leverage taken on at Citadel by Griffin. In doing so they provide insights into the manner of operating and personality of the two businessmen.
Linked Articles
Trump and His Debts: A Narrow Escape
Wall Street Journal 01/04/2016
Citadel’s Ken Griffin Leaves 2008 Tumble Far BehindWall Street Journal 08/04/2015
The destruction of the Gran Chaco in Brazil and Argentina and the Glasgow Conference decision on ending deforestation by 2030
05/17/2023
If the decision to end deforestation by 2030 is to be taken seriously what happens to the Gran Chaco in Argentina and Brazil is a matter of importance. One third of global emissions are absorbed by forests that act as a giant carbon sink.
Linked Articles
COP26: World leaders promise to end deforestation by 2030
BBC News 11/02/2021
The destroyed forests of the Gran Chaco – DW – 05/16/2023dw.com Supported by Lyrarc's Climate Change Action 05/17/2023
Clean drinking tap water for every home - the stark contrast between China and India
04/05/2023
What this tells one is that GDP requires a new indicator which is Quality GDP which will mean that if you pollute rivers and air then real GDP as an economic concept is totally inadequate even useless, unless one subtracts from that economic GDP number the amount of investment it would take to clean up the rivers or the air. If regulatory agencies cannot control industries from polluting rivers, the case in China, then an additional number has to be subtracted from economic GDP called regulatory deficiency adjustment. The GDP numbers were gained through indiscriminately burning fossil fuels and this means climate change damage so that to be correctly stated China's GDP number would have to be offset by deducting the adjustment for trillions of dollars in climate change correction action. This would shrink the gap between India and China's GDP to where India may be in a position using advanced technology, renewable energy, regulation, and large foreign investment to close the gap with China in the next 10-15 years. China could also benefit because of the new approaches taken by India could be something to learn from as the two countries each have the population of the EU and the US+ Canada combined.
Linked Articles
In China, the water you drink is as dangerous as the air you breathe | Deng Tingting
The Guardian 06/02/2017
Jal Jeevan Mission achieves 60% of its target, says govtHindustan Times 04/05/2023
1041 elections in 2022 at American companies support unionized workplaces- protecting worker's rights during the pandemic
01/21/2023
The United Nations International Labor Organization calls for protecting workers rights and promoting decent work during a pandemic that devastated many workers. A new respect for unionized workplaces after decades of decline and respect for the dignity of work. Still the process of recovery has only started as only 10% of American workers are represented by unions, only 14 million workers.
Linked Articles
Trade Unions matter in a human-centred recovery from COVID-19
ILO 01/21/2023
Union Membership Rate Hits Record Low Despite Votes at Apple, Amazon, StarbucksWSJ 01/21/2023
The origins of the coronavirus and the 2018 NIH lifting of a US ban on virus research that increases transmissibility
06/04/2021
Dr. Fauci, NIH, HHS, lifted the ban on research and manipulation of virus in lab settings in 2018 The role played by the Cambridge Group of scientists who opposed lifting the ban on gain of function research for surveillance purposes. The US public and the public in the world in India, Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America unaware of what was going on. The devastating effects of the coronavirus in 202 and 2021 and the lack of a vaccine in 2020, lack of a vaccine in sufficient quantities in 2021. The paltry benefits of surveillance compared to the great risks of something going wrong, as pointed out by the Cambridge Group. Why was it ignored in 2018. Who makes decisions for public health in the world. Can the US make decisions for India, the people in Africa, Latin America and Asia. Does even the US public know about it, much less the public in the world at large. What power is given by the US Constitution to US government agencies on matters of public health. How are a few individuals at HHS and NIH accountable to the public in the US and the world at large.
Linked Articles
Opinion | Anthony Fauci and the Wuhan Lab
WSJ 06/03/2021
Ban on gain-of-function studies endsThe Lancet Infectious Diseases 06/04/2021
The European Recovery Fund for the pandemic with common borrowing for 390 billion euros aid
07/27/2020
Linked Articles
The Inside Story of Europe's Historic Bailout - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts
WSJ 07/26/2020
United States of Europe? EU recovery plan pools borrowing - The DebateFrance 24 07/21/2020
East Gemany's struggle to find its own identity after young people leave and a sense of nostalgia for the economic security under the GDR
11/14/2019
By 2019 East Germany's search for identity is in full swing as it struggles with a nostalgia for the past before integration with west Germany, and following a departure of young people going west that leaves behind a rapidly aging society with less economic security. The promise of integration appears to be failed when seen as culture and identity, economic security.
Linked Articles
Germans still don’t agree on what reunification meant
The Economist 11/02/2019
Misrule in East Germany ‘triggered rise of the AfD’11/05/2019
Chancellor Merkel and the events at Budapest Kelesti Station in early Sept 2015 that gave the German government only a few hours to act
09/21/2016
Linked Articles
What happens next | ZEIT ONLINE
ZEIT ONLINE 08/30/2016
Merkel Accepts Responsibility for Party’s Losses in Berlin ElectionThe New York Times 09/19/2016
Ireland, Northern Ireland and Britain- preserving the gains of the peace deal and the open borders after Brexit
07/12/2016
Northern Ireland favored Remain in EU by 55%. Should it be pushed into a situation of withdrawing from the EU like Scotland which also favored Remain based on the preference of voters in England and Wales? Should Ireland be divided by hard borders again after 20 years of peace and open borders? These are questions the people of Ireland are asking.It is also a question for Irish Americans who supported the peace deal.
Linked Articles
The New York Times 07/12/2016
Ireland in the sun after Brexit vote? | Europe | DW.COM | 05.07.2016DW.COM 07/05/2016
Spain's economic recovery and the effects of the inconclusive Dec. 2015 parliamentary elections
03/07/2016
Spain's economic recovery continues as businesses continue to invest following the inconclusive Dec. 2015 parliamentary elections.
Linked Articles
Spain’s Political Deadlock Dents Economic Rebound
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2016
Spain’s Political Deadlock Dents Economic ReboundWall Street Journal 03/07/2016
A Republican narrative for the 2016 U.S. presidential election from Karl Rove and a different narrative from Stanley Greenberg for the Democrats
11/20/2015
The Republican narrative finds a parallel in the 2016 U.S. presidential election which led to the election of president McKinley and bringing Teddy Roosevelt as running mate for the 1900 election. It focusses on economic recovery under the gold standard and U.S. asserting itself on behalf of Cuban independence in the uprising against Spanish rule. The Democratic narrative looks at immigration, women, minorities and the surge in inequality to see continuing shift to Democrats, accepting some voter disillusionment with both parties showing up in reduced voter participation.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/20/2015
Terrorism Becomes a Campaign IssueWall Street Journal 11/20/2015
Understanding the Middle East- Iraq, Syria, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the period 1980-2015
09/25/2015
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/12/2015
Agents of Their Own DestinyWall Street Journal 09/25/2015
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Jeb Bush's Tax Plan that spells out details, and takes a shot at 4% growth for restoring lost social and economic mobility in the U.S.
09/09/2015
The efforts to wrestle with the deficit in 2011-2012 led to a vigorous debate on changing the tax code, yet political leaders failed to take up new ideas or spell out the details. Jeb Bush, with advisors Martin Feldstein and Kevin Warsh, takes the unconventional approach of putting in the details, and taking up ideas such as the idea of limiting itemized deductions to 2% of adjusted gross income proposed by Feldstein in that debate. On the $2.1 trillion in income held overseas by U.S. companies Bush proposes 8.75% tax paid over 10 years. On business investment he proposes capital investment be allowed to be deducted in full immediately. It is based on the idea that business investment can drive a vigorous recovery, that workers bear 50% of the burden of higer taxes through sluggish wage growth. It levels the playing field for debt and equity capital, removing "carried interest" provision, as a lesson from the excessive leverage taken by financial institutions in the past.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/10/2015
Jeb Bush Tax Plan Makes Forays Into PopulismNew York Times 09/09/2015
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