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Reagan, Greenspan and America's lost years 1980-2009
11/17/2023
It was in this period that many of the problems that we face today were created through policies of low interest rates, deregulation and financial market speculation leading to the financial crisis of 2008. At the beginning of the Reagan administration in 1980 China was still a country of bicycles and largely rural, by 2009 it had transformed itself into the largest manufacturing nation in the world and continued to 2023. In the US financial deregulation and lack of health care for all allowed financial interests to become the dominant force in the economy in a speculative way , and defunded manufacturing, infrastructure and public services. The work of FDR, Truman Eisenhower and Kennedy unraveled, Clinton, Obama and Trump continued that decline.
Linked Articles
Puerto Rico Was Supposed to Be John Paulson’s Paradise. Then Came the Lawsuits.
WSJ 11/16/2023
Trader Made Billions on SubprimeWSJ Jan 15 2008 01/15/2008
Severe floods in Germany 2021 Italy 2023 and effects of climate change in Europe
05/21/2023
The floods in Germany and Europe, the severe drought in parts of Spain and Italy are seen as signs climate change is here. At one southernmost point in Sicily the temperature recently reached about 49 degrees centigrade the highest ever in Europe.
Linked Articles
Italy’s disasters suggest the climate crisis is at the gates of Europe
The Guardian 05/18/2023
Scores dead, hundreds missing after massive floods in Germany, BelgiumFrance 24 07/16/2021
How the Russian invasion of a neighboring country has not worked in line with European history
04/07/2023
Scholz of Germany says Putin started this war for absurd reasons. NATO he says was never a threat to Russia. Russia invaded a neighboring country with the idea of conquering it. Scholz says Putin was taking a felt tip pen across the European landscape and drawing this is yours, this mine. And he says Germany would never accept that. Brendan Simms in his History of Europe- The struggle for Supremacy 1452 to the Present, is on German chancellor Scholz's reading list since 2021. It shows that for 500 years no dominant European power was able to do act with impunity without the rest of Europe joining together to prevent it. This war is not an exception. The European Union countries stuck together to make it possible for Ukraine to carry on even with generators to keep the lights on and supermarket shelves well stocked. In this sense the outcome of this war is already known. It has followed what Brendan Simms has pointed out already.
Linked Articles
Germany's Scholz says Putin started war for 'completely absurd' reasons | DW | 21.08.2022
DW.COM 08/23/2022
Thwarting Vladimir Putin: The Ukrainian Economy Just Keeps On Going - DER SPIEGELSPIEGEL ONLINE 04/07/2023
The movements in Bombay from George Fernandes to Bal Thackeray that failed to transform the commercial capital of British India and the state of Maharashtra
07/02/2022
Lacking the capital, technology and the industrial expertise on an American scale the early efforts for rapid development struggled in the state of Maharashtra and India. just as they had struggled under volatile politics of Mao in Beijing, Shanghai and China.
Linked Articles
Shiv Sena | The Maratha tiger in its labyrinth
The Hindu 07/02/2022
Remembering George Fernandes: A selfless politicianThe Indian Express 07/02/2022
De Klerk, Desmond Tutu, Mandela and the New South Africa
12/27/2021
South Africa's amazing transformation into a racially harmonious society, with people of black, white, Afrikaans, English Afrikaans, Indian, building a new South Africa owes a lot to the leadership, humility, and vision of De Klerk and Desmond Tutu, as well as Nelson Mandela. South Africa's experience offers a new sense of hope that no matter what the difficulties involved one can pull together people of different backgrounds and cultures into a united country. It is in keeping with the best ideals of Britain and of India's Mohandas Gandhi who started his work in Cape Town, South Africa.
Linked Articles
Desmond Tutu, Archbishop Who Helped End Apartheid, Dies
WSJ 12/26/2021
Legacy of FW de Klerk, South Africa's last leader under apartheid | DW | 11.11.2021DW.COM 11/11/2021
Rule of Law and Good Governance - the transformation of India's largest state Uttar Pradesh
09/21/2021
Sushasan- Good Governance, and Surakshan- Rule of Law, for the first time since independence in 1947 India's largest state with a population of 250 million people is being transformed. This creates the right climate for domestic and foreign investment. The Swachh Bharat (Clean India) and Jal Jeevsn missions for water, electricity for every home projects provide the underpinnings of future development.
Linked Articles
The Indian Express 09/20/2021
In Uttar Pradesh, does the BJP have an edge?Hindustan Times 09/20/2021
The origins of the coronavirus and the 2018 NIH lifting of a US ban on virus research that increases transmissibility
06/04/2021
Dr. Fauci, NIH, HHS, lifted the ban on research and manipulation of virus in lab settings in 2018 The role played by the Cambridge Group of scientists who opposed lifting the ban on gain of function research for surveillance purposes. The US public and the public in the world in India, Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America unaware of what was going on. The devastating effects of the coronavirus in 202 and 2021 and the lack of a vaccine in 2020, lack of a vaccine in sufficient quantities in 2021. The paltry benefits of surveillance compared to the great risks of something going wrong, as pointed out by the Cambridge Group. Why was it ignored in 2018. Who makes decisions for public health in the world. Can the US make decisions for India, the people in Africa, Latin America and Asia. Does even the US public know about it, much less the public in the world at large. What power is given by the US Constitution to US government agencies on matters of public health. How are a few individuals at HHS and NIH accountable to the public in the US and the world at large.
Linked Articles
Opinion | Anthony Fauci and the Wuhan Lab
WSJ 06/03/2021
Ban on gain-of-function studies endsThe Lancet Infectious Diseases 06/04/2021
"Feierabend"- disconnecting from work the German way, the need of the times during a year of remote work 2021
04/23/2021
"Feierabend" simply means disconnecting in German so that one has time to renew and revive oneself. At 4.00 pm or 5.00 pm one simply disconnects from work and gets on the bike for a ride or does something else. Can British and American cultures learn from their German or European counterparts? Ireland has passed a law calling for this disconnect requiring it because of the huge negative impact on mental health of remote work that has no structures. Microsoft has recognized this issue in 2020. More needs to be done by companies than to simply shift this burden,shift this task on someone else, or to workers who have no idea what working from home requires. Associations and other groups also need to get involved.
Linked Articles
Right to disconnect is vital for future health of home workers
04/23/2021
How 'Feierabend' helps Germans disconnect from the workdayBBC News 07/12/2022
India's effort in mobile manufacturing with PLI incentives, and in 5G
12/16/2020
Unprecedented effort in India in 5G by 2021-2022 and in mobile manufacturing under PLI incentives by 2025.
Linked Articles
‘India will prove cynics wrong...’: Mukesh Ambani on economy, Jio 5G, vaccine
Hindustan Times 12/08/2020
‘Pushing India to surpass China in mobile manufacturing’: Ravi Shankar PrasadHindustan Times 12/16/2020
What Bill Gates and France had in common in the fight for health preparedness
05/11/2020
France had learned lessons from SARS epidemic and prepared for the H1N1 epidemic at the time that Bill Gates of Microsoft was pushing for greater awareness of public health priorities. Today Gates says this was not enough, that he did not do enough and feels terrible about it. The irresponsible banking practices that caused the financial crises first in the global financial crisis of 2009 and then in the eurozone financial crisis that followed by 2011 led to the ditching of the pandemic preparedness effort in France and Britain. In all of the western world including the U.S. austerity practices were the response without addressing the root causes of financial crises. Investments in public services and infrastructure were neglected leading to a level of unpreparedness that is shocking. Countries in lesser developed countries with more consciousness of the importance of public services and care of the vast majority of people were better protected in the crisis as a result than the more developed countries.
Linked Articles
WSJ 05/11/2020
Pandemic disarmament: Why France was ready for Covid-19 a decade too soonFrance 24 05/17/2020
Gen. Mattis and the policy for Afghanistan in 2017 - learning from the experience of the 2011 Iraq withdrawal, and giving meaning to earlier sacrifices
08/22/2017
Linked Articles
Trump announces new strategy for Afghanistan that calls for a troop increase
Washington Post 08/22/2017
The Meaning of Their ServiceWall Street Journal 04/18/2015
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Jeb Bush's Tax Plan that spells out details, and takes a shot at 4% growth for restoring lost social and economic mobility in the U.S.
09/09/2015
The efforts to wrestle with the deficit in 2011-2012 led to a vigorous debate on changing the tax code, yet political leaders failed to take up new ideas or spell out the details. Jeb Bush, with advisors Martin Feldstein and Kevin Warsh, takes the unconventional approach of putting in the details, and taking up ideas such as the idea of limiting itemized deductions to 2% of adjusted gross income proposed by Feldstein in that debate. On the $2.1 trillion in income held overseas by U.S. companies Bush proposes 8.75% tax paid over 10 years. On business investment he proposes capital investment be allowed to be deducted in full immediately. It is based on the idea that business investment can drive a vigorous recovery, that workers bear 50% of the burden of higer taxes through sluggish wage growth. It levels the playing field for debt and equity capital, removing "carried interest" provision, as a lesson from the excessive leverage taken by financial institutions in the past.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/10/2015
Jeb Bush Tax Plan Makes Forays Into PopulismNew York Times 09/09/2015
Transformation of Starbucks in 2015-2016
12/04/2014
Linked Articles
Starbucks, Facing a Saturated Market, Looks to the High End
New York Times 12/04/2014
Starbucks Aims to Double U.S. Food SalesWall Street Journal 12/05/2014
Try hard but not too hard-cutting yourself some slack improves health and concentration, the Andy Grove principle for slack in your work routine reinforces this
09/15/2023
People forget that this applies to sports athletes and high achieving people. Andy Grove, founder of Intel and of Silicon Valley, believed in keeping some slack in his work routine and schedule. He left Hungary in 1956 after the Hungarian revolution and Russian invasion as a refugee, and graduated first in his class in the City College of New York in chemical engineering 3 years later. In 3 more years he obtained a PhD from UC Berkeley. In his book Output Management he says productive arrangement is one that keeps slack in the way that highway planners know that having too many cars compared to capacity means everything comes to a halt. In his daily work he always believed in having some slack. Today people pile on work upon work forgetting these basic principles. The other principle is leveraging of activities which is where the output comes from. To leverage effectively concentration of mind is needed and a chance to reflect and think, which requires slack and slack that adds additional time for healthy living that aids mindfulness. This adds to Motivation and Training which Grove says affect Output. To do this requires some slack to think and reflect and healthy lifestyles that power this process. This is also why the competing styles today show contrasts between those of Boeing's top managers and Stellantis managers similar to Grove and Musk's style for Tesla also shown in WSJ in the last few months being just the opposite.
Linked Articles
Burnt-out from work? Try following Hugh Jackman’s 85% rule
The Guardian 09/15/2023
Try Hard, but Not That Hard. 85% Is the Magic Number for Productivity.WSJ 09/11/2023
The collapse of American education and the slowest growth in America's history 2000-2020 as Biden tries to reverse this in 2024
05/19/2023
Krugman looks at the extraordinary effort put in by Robert Gordon of Northwestern University to look at the growth of America since 1850 over periods 1850-1870, 1870-1910, 1910-1950, 1950-2000 and 2000-2020 showing that the last 20 years have the lowest growth in American history. Gordon looks at the near collapse of American education, scores on NAEP of two thirds of 8th graders failing reading comprehension reflect this sad state of affairs that president Biden is trying to reverse in 2024. Other research shows a drop in potential GDP of 2 percentage points when education is failing as it has been for 2 decades. Other researchers have shown what is openly evident today that technology such as social media do more harm, that other internet use technology has not done much for education only established monopolies as with Google and Apple.
Linked Articles
Paul Krugman Reviews ‘The Rise and Fall of American Growth’ by Robert J. Gordon
New York Times 01/25/2016
'Secular Stagnation' May Be for RealWall Street Journal 08/27/2014
Common sense and wisdom for passage to India Pakistan trade after the floods in 2022 with one third of Pakistan under water
08/30/2022
In 2012 Michael Boskin, who helped George W. Bush, with the NAFTA North American Free Trade Agreement, wrote this article in the WSJ about the normal trade using trade models that take into account the advantage of cross border trade and size of economies would be 20 times the $2.7 billion in trade between India and Pakistan in 2012. This would be $50 billion. This would have increased to $100 billion by 2020 under normal trade. Instead in the year of the 2022 floods when Pakistan is one third under water, and cross border trade never made more sense, the OEC data show trade at less than $300 million or one three hundredth portion of what trade could be if normalized.
Linked Articles
Pakistan: Food prices soar amid floods | DW | 30.08.2022
DW.COM 08/30/2022
Michael Boskin: A Passage to India-Pakistan PeaceWSJ 04/15/2012
Escaping the Algorithm - Harmful effects on girls and the young of TikTok and social media
12/29/2021
If and how one can escape these algorithm based harmful social media platforms is the question posed by the WSJ series on TikTok, Facebook, others in 2021.
Linked Articles
The TikTok Spiral, Part 1: Descent - Tech News Briefing - WSJ Podcasts
WSJ 12/27/2021
The TikTok Spiral, Part 3: Escape the Algorithm - Tech News Briefing - WSJ PodcastsWSJ 12/29/2021
China burns more coal with power shortages in 2021 risking climate change targets
10/29/2021
Linked Articles
China Takes the Brakes Off Coal Production to Tackle Power Shortage
WSJ 10/20/2021
China’s Ambitious Climate Goals Collide With Reality, Hampering Global EffortsWSJ 10/27/2021
US president Biden's 2021 executive order against anti-competitive behaviour
07/11/2021
Linked Articles
Biden Takes Aim at Corporate Consolidation, Big-Business Tactics
WSJ 07/09/2021
Antitrust’s New Mission: Preserving Democracy, Not EfficiencyWSJ 07/07/2021
Biden's Address to Congress 2021
05/05/2021
Biden announces his $1.8 trillion Families Plan in his speech to Congress in April 2021. It is meant to help struggling families, women, workers and students.
Linked Articles
Biden’s Speech to Congress: Full Transcript
NYTimes.com 04/30/2021
Video: President Biden’s Joint Session AddressNYTimes.com 04/30/2021
US 100 day review of strategic vulnerabilities in 2021
03/10/2021
Linked Articles
China’s Rise Drives a U.S. Experiment in Industrial Policy
WSJ 03/10/2021
America’s Battery-Powered Car Hopes Ride on Lithium. One Producer Paves the Way.WSJ 03/09/2021
India's growth predicted at an "unprecedented acceleration" in 2021-2022 after the pandemic
12/08/2020
India's unprecedented growth in mobile manufacturing planned for 2025 under PLI incentives and in 5G technologies by 2021-2022.
Linked Articles
HTLS 2020: India’s new era will be defined by the idea of decentralization
Hindustan Times 12/08/2020
‘India will prove cynics wrong...’: Mukesh Ambani on economy, Jio 5G, vaccineHindustan Times 12/08/2020
The U.S. plan to reverse the withdrawal from Afghanistan to prevent a repeat of the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq after 2011 leading to terrorism and a chaotic situation
08/22/2017
Linked Articles
Angry Trump Grilled His Generals About Troop Increase, Then Gave In
The New York Times 08/22/2017
Trump announces new strategy for Afghanistan that calls for a troop increaseWashington Post 08/22/2017
Former German chancellor Helmut Schmidt who led Germany during its postwar economic transformation in the 1970's and setup the groundwork for the Euro
11/10/2015
Linked Articles
Helmut Schmidt dies; West German chancellor was transformative leader - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/11/2015
Helmut Schmidt, Assertive West German Chancellor, Dies at 96New York Times 11/10/2015
The miscalculations and missteps of Russian president Putin in 2014 leading to a major crisis for the Russian economy in 2015
12/18/2014
A major miscalculation was totally misjudging Merkel and post-war German public opinion about policies that remind people about the period between the two World Wars- this is anathema to Germans who see the European Union as a way to build a new and different Europe. The other miscalculation was on how a foreign adventurous policy in Syria would affect Sunni world opinion, in particular Saudi Arabia. Just as Brezhnev took Russia into Afghanistan where Russia had no vital interest leading to eventual Soviet collapse, Putin risked alienating a key member in OPEC pricing moves and hurting Russia's economic interest. By not listening to Kudrin, the head of Sberbank, and other economic advisers from the first and second terms of the Putin-Medvedev administrations, Putin opened the door to two years of serious missteps, risking the very real accomplishments of the first and second term of creating a stable growing Russian economy with close economic ties to Europe. The only positive outcome of the crisis and low oil prices would be making the shift away from oil dependence, which was talked about but never seriously attempted in the Putin administrations. For this to happen major new investments would have to be made and technology links to the outside strengthened, both hammered by the missteps in 2013-2014. The irony of all this is that Putin gained the support of rural Russians in the countryside in the 2012 presidential elections by promising no return to the economic crisis conditions following earlier ruble collapses. Now by ignoring Kudrin and other wiser counsel from the first and second administrations he does just that.
Linked Articles
Putin’s Year of Defiance and Miscalculation
Wall Street Journal 12/18/2014
Russian President Vladimir Putin Seeks to Reassure on EconomyWall Street Journal 12/18/2014
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