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Years of hyper growth followed by slight or shrinking growth in China
07/31/2022
For years China pushed hyper growth without correctly understanding the sources of that hyper growth and its consequences in the long run. Communities in the US and the EU simply could not cope with the hyper shift of factories from local regions to China that created the hyper growth in China. Local governments in China and self interested investment banks in the US and Eu pushed for this growth and the central government failed to act with restraining action. The result is alienated public in the US and EU, intense trade and competitive frictions and permanent damage to friendly US China, US EU relations. The domestic side of this hyper growth was the overdependence on the property sector which was asked to carry a bigger burden for development leading to the crisis today with local governments strained for financing by $900 billion as reported in WSJ today July 31. 2022. This did not need to happen. China entered this experiment with capitalism without restraining action with very little knowledge of the market economy and how it operates correctly only with restraining and corrective action in the interests of the whole people of the country. Too much has gone wrong for peoples on either side, the unintended effects and consequences in the simple unbridled pursuit of self-interest alone.
Linked Articles
China’s Economy Tested by Strained City Finances
WSJ 07/31/2022
China’s Manufacturing Sector Unexpectedly Contracts Amid Weak Demand, Covid LockdownsWSJ 07/31/2022
Vaccines that took 40 years to develop- vaccines for malaria and coronavirus
10/17/2021
In a world of short run startups it is important to remember that our lives truly depend on the work done by scientists over decades. The stories of the scientists who developed the vaccine for malaria and the vaccine for mRNA technologies embedded in Pfizer vaccine.
Linked Articles
The Vaccine That Took 40 Years to Make - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts
WSJ 10/17/2021
Their coronavirus vaccine candidate has made them billionaires. This modest German Turkish couple doesn’t own a car.Washington Post 10/17/2021
How America is building a new chip manufacturing industry at home
07/22/2021
After years of neglect of manufacturing Intel Corp and other companies are building a new chip industry, as America reverses years of decline in manufacturing at home. The importance of manufacturing technologies and years of cumulative expertise in developing new technologies, are now seen as critical for American leadership. US president Biden pushed for these changes, leading to a new CEO and a U turn by Intel Corp.
Linked Articles
Intel CEO’s Chip-Building Plan Has a $50 Billion-Plus Price Tag
WSJ 07/16/2021
The World Relies on One Chip Maker in Taiwan, Leaving Everyone VulnerableWSJ 06/19/2021
FBI scrutiny of Chinese researchers
09/09/2020
Linked Articles
Trump Administration Turns Up Pressure on China on Several Fronts
WSJ 07/16/2020
WSJ News Exclusive | FBI Sweep of China Researchers Leads to Cat-and-Mouse TacticsWSJ 09/07/2020
What to know about face masks imported from China
08/04/2020
Why FDA has failed in its quality control of face masks imported from China. WSJ analysis shows the unreliability of many of the N95 masks imported from Chinese suppliers. These imported masks follow a Chinese standard K95.
Linked Articles
WSJ News Exclusive | FDA’s Shifting Standards for Chinese Face Masks Fuel Confusion
WSJ 08/03/2020
What to Know About KN95 Face MasksWSJ 08/03/2020
What Bill Gates and France had in common in the fight for health preparedness
05/11/2020
France had learned lessons from SARS epidemic and prepared for the H1N1 epidemic at the time that Bill Gates of Microsoft was pushing for greater awareness of public health priorities. Today Gates says this was not enough, that he did not do enough and feels terrible about it. The irresponsible banking practices that caused the financial crises first in the global financial crisis of 2009 and then in the eurozone financial crisis that followed by 2011 led to the ditching of the pandemic preparedness effort in France and Britain. In all of the western world including the U.S. austerity practices were the response without addressing the root causes of financial crises. Investments in public services and infrastructure were neglected leading to a level of unpreparedness that is shocking. Countries in lesser developed countries with more consciousness of the importance of public services and care of the vast majority of people were better protected in the crisis as a result than the more developed countries.
Linked Articles
WSJ 05/11/2020
Pandemic disarmament: Why France was ready for Covid-19 a decade too soonFrance 24 05/17/2020
The 1976 Montreal Olympics, the 2004 Athens Olympics, the 2014 Sochi Olympics and the Rio Olympics- decades long debt hangovers and costs growing from the $1+ billion in Montreal to $50+ billion in Sochi
08/24/2016
Developing and developed countries alike have seen the cost of the Olympics as a huge burden. Many countries or cities that committed to hosting the Olympic games during boom years were facing economic hard times by the time of the games. Corruption and mismanagement of public funds, overspending and cost overruns added to the problems. Citizens uproar caused cities such as Boston and Oslo to withdraw bids for the Olympics. The Olympics appears to be a costly way to show off a country, and raises questions about better allocation of funds in other directions, especially when upward mobility is a problem for the middle and working class, countries have other infrastructure needs, and neglected basic needs in education, healthcare, public services.
Linked Articles
The 40-year hangover: how the 1976 Olympics nearly broke Montreal
The Guardian 07/06/2016
Rio Games Highlight Problems With the Olympic ModelThe New York Times 08/23/2016
China's efforts to transition to a new model for development in 2016-2017, based on consumers and not on heavy state spending
08/25/2015
Xi-Jinping and Li Keqiang face a challenge and choices not unlike the one facing Deng Xiaoping in the 1980's- now the challenge is how to move China beyond the middle income status it has achieved with all its accompanying problems of environmental destruction, corruption and aging population.
Linked Articles
Economist 01/23/2016
Political Risks May Foil Economic Reform in ChinaNew York Times 08/25/2015
Norway parliament's decision to divest holdings in companies 30% dependent on coal opens up debate on coal- (3) Coal India and the 1 billion ton target for 2020
05/14/2015
With about 300 million people without electricity, and India lagging behind Brazil and Indonesia in the percentage of population lacking electricity, the goal is to modernize the coal industry and increase production. This shows the different tradeoffs in less developed countries such as India, which face a completely different set of tradeoffs, and are moving in the opposite direction out of necessity. China is just entering a period after rapid modernization where the discussion about the tradeoffs is shifting, whereas India remains in a very different phase.
Linked Articles
Norway Will Divest From Coal in Push Against Climate Change
New York Times 06/05/2015
Indian Prime Minister Prods Coal MonopolyWall Street Journal 05/14/2015
How the Trans Pacific Trade Partnership Agreement (TPP) fell apart- (4) a narrow view by the Obama administration using TPP as a counter to China's Infrastructure Development Bank
04/27/2015
Linked Articles
Obama Presses Case for Asia Trade Deal, Warns Failure Would Benefit China
Wall Street Journal 04/27/2015
Trade and TrustNew York Times 05/22/2015
Two party systems and Malaysia's UMNO Party- (2) the future economic prospects of Malaysia under Razak, India under Modi, Indonesia under Widodo
12/08/2014
Najib Razak follows his father Tun Abdul Razak, Mahathir before him, all the way back to Tunku Abdul Rahman, all of the UMNO party, in an uninterrupted control of the United Malay Naional Organization Party which has ruled Malaysia for almost 6 decades. Malaysia has followed the example of Lee Kuan Yew in Singapore by keeping the opposition parties weak to maintain control. Both the UMNO and the party of Lee in Singapore face questions about the merits of suppressing the development of two party systems, at a time when government is changing hands to opposition parties in most of the region and improving economic prospects in each country with a change of government- Abe in Japan, Widodo in Indonesia, Modi and Sharif in India and Pakistan, Aquino in the Philippines, Wickremesinghe in Sri Lanka. A economic drift with no clear direction under Singh and Bhutto in India and Pakistan was reversed with the election of Modi and Sharif, the economic drift and deflation under the Kan and Noda governments was reversed in Japan with the election of Abe, and the economic drift in Indonesia is being reversed by the Widodo government. This shows how critical two party systems are to functioning democracies as middle classes develop and voters look for competing views of the future to choose from.
Linked Articles
Fund Controversy Threatens Malaysia’s Leader
Wall Street Journal 06/19/2015
Indonesian President Joko Widodo Pledges to Cut Investment BarriersWall Street Journal 12/08/2014
McDonald's and a shift in nutritional habits in the U.S., especially in the younger age groups
01/17/2014
With about one third of the population in developed countries considered obese, there is greater awareness especially among younger people, about the need to read nutritional labels carefully, look for fresh food, and manage calorie intake. There is a shift also away from fast food to places where there is greater nutritional choice and to eating at home. The recession may have induced more people to consider eating less outside.
Linked Articles
Americans' Eating Habits Take a Healthier Turn, Study Finds
Wall Street Journal 01/17/2014
McDonald's Faces 'Millennial' ChallengeWall Street Journal 08/25/2014
Tech firms Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu compete with state banks to offer better rates on deposits to Chinese savers in 2014-2015
11/07/2013
Linked Articles
Chinese Banks Match Tech Firms in Race for Deposits
Wall Street Journal 02/25/2014
Nonbank Upstarts Push Into Chinese BankingWall Street Journal 11/07/2013
The movements in Bombay from George Fernandes to Bal Thackeray that failed to transform the commercial capital of British India and the state of Maharashtra
07/02/2022
Lacking the capital, technology and the industrial expertise on an American scale the early efforts for rapid development struggled in the state of Maharashtra and India. just as they had struggled under volatile politics of Mao in Beijing, Shanghai and China.
Linked Articles
Shiv Sena | The Maratha tiger in its labyrinth
The Hindu 07/02/2022
Remembering George Fernandes: A selfless politicianThe Indian Express 07/02/2022
Rule of Law and Good Governance - the transformation of India's largest state Uttar Pradesh
09/21/2021
Sushasan- Good Governance, and Surakshan- Rule of Law, for the first time since independence in 1947 India's largest state with a population of 250 million people is being transformed. This creates the right climate for domestic and foreign investment. The Swachh Bharat (Clean India) and Jal Jeevsn missions for water, electricity for every home projects provide the underpinnings of future development.
Linked Articles
The Indian Express 09/20/2021
In Uttar Pradesh, does the BJP have an edge?Hindustan Times 09/20/2021
Congress passed a new law to delist Chinese companies on U.S. stock exchanges not under U.S. regulatory agency with little impact
12/03/2020
Linked Articles
China Has One Powerful Friend Left in the U.S.: Wall Street
WSJ 12/02/2020
Delisting Chinese Stocks in the U.S. Won’t Sever Their Access to Global CapitalWSJ 12/03/2020
How the Coronavirus test in the U.S. got delayed for 3 crucial weeks in February letting the pandemic spread quickly
08/21/2020
Three lost weeks in February starting February 9 when the FDA realized its third component of the test to test mutated virus had failed in use by labs but continued to persist in doing this on its own. Private labs of well known medical companies and university teaching hospitals were ready to develop and use their own tests with lightning speed and yet the FDA required its approval stalling that effort. FDA and HHS failure in the crisis led to the quick spread of the virus in Feb- March making any use of test and contact trace for containment ineffective. a crucial window of time was lost!
Linked Articles
FDA’s Authority to Regulate Lab Tests Is Curtailed
WSJ 08/21/2020
What Derailed America’s Covid Testing: Three Lost WeeksWSJ 08/18/2020
How the WHO failed as early warning system in the coronavirus after being a model during the leadership of Dr. Brundtland in 2003 SARS
05/21/2020
The contrast could not be greater between the World Health Organization today and the WHO under Dr. Gro Harlem Brundtland, a three time prime minister of Norway between 1981 and 1996 with great experience and a record of handling difficult issues of climate change and sustainable development.
Linked Articles
A Failed Deception: The Early Days of the Coronavirus Outbreak in Wuhan - DER SPIEGEL
SPIEGEL ONLINE 05/20/2020
‘The only way forward for WHO is...’: Full text of Trump’s letter to WHO chiefHindustan Times 05/19/2020
Educated Chinese women with jobs and careers- changing social and economic landscape in China
09/26/2016
The profound changes underway in China in the notions of marraige and family as a new generation of women are better educated and look for independent lives with their own careers. Over half of all undergraduates are women in China, and half of all graduate students pursuing master's degrees are women, showing how much China has changed in three decades.
Linked Articles
Marriage Falls in China, Transforming Finances and Families
The New York Times 09/12/2016
China Shrugs Off the Ties That BindThe New York Times 09/22/2016
The Chinese market in 2015 and pitfalls for Yum Brands and its KFC, Pizza Hut stores in China
10/21/2015
Rapid growth and then a public scare with media reports of falling quality standards hurt KFC outlets. Local Chinese and Taiwanese brands offer more options at the higher and lower ends of the price range. Other European competitors partnering with local Chinese companies offer better value and quality upscale hurting Pizza Hut stores. And suddenly the whole landscape has changed for Yum Brands in China. It shows the Chinese market is no place for the complacent, that the discriminating tastes of consumers and search for healthier alternatives is taking place in China, India and other developing countries, just as much as it is in the U.S.
Linked Articles
China Isn’t the Easy Market It Once Was for Fast-Food Chains
Wall Street Journal 10/21/2015
Yum Brands to Split Off China BusinessWall Street Journal 10/21/2015
The devaluation of the yuan in August 2015 as China responds to lower exports, the appreciation of the euro and the yen, and the U.S. Federal Reserve's plan to raise rates
08/12/2015
China's currency appreciated 9.2% against the euro and 57% against the Japanese yen with its soft peg to the dollar in 2013-2015. The 8.3% decline in China's exports for July 2015 over the prior year led to the policy action to devalue the Chinese currency, the yuan on August 11, 2015.
Linked Articles
China is trying to save its economy with a cheaper currency - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/12/2015
China’s Devaluation GambitWall Street Journal 08/12/2015
Ban on election advertising on commercial television and radio in Britain and strict limits of $29.5 million for each party in general elections- contrast with the U.S.
05/02/2015
Britain disproves the popular belief that an ever upward trajectory for election spending is inevitable. The 2010 general election in Britain cost half that of the 1880 general election in 2002 prices, say researchers. In the U.S. spending has increased to the point where candidates may be spending more time fund raising than talking about the issues. The 2016 presidential election in the U.S. is estimated to lead to $10 billion in spending. India, Brazil, and other developing countries face a similar situation.
Linked Articles
Britain’s Campaign Finance Laws Leave Parties With Idle Money
New York Times 05/04/2015
F.E.C. Can’t Curb 2016 Election Abuse, Commission Chief SaysNew York Times 05/02/2015
Looking back at Hong Kong and China today and yesterday- China in 1842 and in 1945, nationalism and commercial interests of foreign powers
01/09/2015
A wariness with foreign powers in China stems from the influences left behind from the British commercial interests and the Japanese invasion of China. Compared to that period, the period of collaboration on an equal footing and playing field is is a short and recent one that has taken place for just three decades 1985-2015. Fears that the accelerated development in China could slow down without a strong central government, combine with the awareness of the need for western technology and open communications in today's global economy to accelerate the development, create in the Chinese mind a problem that needs to be tackled carefully to continue progress. Awareness of the huge inequalities and corruption in the rush towards modernization, need to tackle extensive contamination of air and water, and need for social security and healthcare for an aging population create a new urgency for careful policy making to sustain progress.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 01/12/2015
‘China 1945,’ by Richard BernsteinNew York Times 01/09/2015
How the Trans Pacific Trade Partnership Agreement (TPP) fell apart- (3) most of the gains in trade already behind us and the shift in priorities to infrastructure development
02/27/2014
Linked Articles
Pacific Trade Pact Revives Ghosts of Nafta Jobs Fight
Wall Street Journal 04/24/2015
No Big DealNew York Times 02/27/2014
Uncertainty about earnings and profitability of Samsung with shrinking margins in smartphones and televisions (1)
12/07/2013
Shrinking margins for Samsung with intense competition from Huawei and Lenovo in lower priced smartphones and large price reductions by Motorola Mobility on its Moto G smartphone. In the television segment Vizio and lower priced Chinese competitors are reducing margins.
Linked Articles
Investors Stay Sour on Samsung, Slicing $8 Billion From Market Capitalization
Wall Street Journal 01/02/2014
Google Squeezes Margins on Moto G PhoneWall Street Journal 12/07/2013
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