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Morgan Stanley predicts global infrastructure spending will grow 3% this year, down from 10% last year, and down to zero growth or decline in spending in 2009. This will affect companies like GE, Emerson and Caterpillar.

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"Memories of a Nation," an exhibition on Germany and how it is viewed in Britain, first shown at the British Museum is now being shown in Germany at Martin-Gropius-Bau, from October 8 to Jan. 9, 2017. It gives Germans insights into their own history and how it is viewed in other countries such as Britain. The original exhibition was prepared from objects at the British Museum in 2014, to go with a BBC Radio 4 Series and a book by Neil MacGregor, who came up with the concept in the context of British-German relations. MacGregor, a former director of the British Museum, is now leading a cultural history museum in Berlin called the Humboldt Forum. About 200 objects were chosen to cover 600 years of German history. One of these objects fascinated the British- a hand wagon used by Germans expelled from former German territories to carry their belongings. About 14-16 million Germans were expelled. Other aspects that were shown are the cities of Konigsberg, Strasbourg, Prague and Basel, formerly having German history that has since faded. Also shown the fragmentation of Germany with many states, and the idea of decentralized government, compared to a more centralized Britain. ...

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Its the CAFE for the whole fleet that really matters and this has not changed. This lets companies like Toyota and Ford sell hybrids as a fashion statement and then turnaround and sell gas guzzling SUV's because the low CAFE's for their whole fleet lets them do it. Its and outdated energy policy from the time when gas cost $10 a barrel. Leonhardt makes a point that is getting more coverage in the media.

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The U.S. Agriculture Department lowered its forecast of corn yield per acre from 166 busherls per acre to 123.4 after a severe drought in the U.S. The projected corn harvest is expected to come in at 10.8 billion bushels, 13% smaller than the 12.4 billion bushels in 2011. The USDA forecast for corn price in August 2012 was raised at the upper end to $8.90 per bushel, up 39% from a month ago.

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This editorial by the Washington Post says private equity taking risks on troubled firms is Capitalism 101, and fulfills the role of "creative destruction" in capitalism as it functions in the American system as compared to the European system. It says private equity's gains in its investments are taxed as "carried interest," at a lower rate than ordinary income, and this needs to be changed so that government does not favor private equity investments.

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Bundesbank President Axel Weber told German lawmakers that Greece may need as much as 80 billon euros to avoid default. He said Greece's situation is deteriorating and "the numbers are changing all the time." Weber is a member of the ECB's governing council and a leading candidate to succeed Trichet as ECB President. So far Greece has 30 billion euros approved by the eurozone countries and 15 billion euros expected from the IMF.

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About 29% of businesses support the iPhone, up from none in 2007 and 17% in 2009 according to Forrester Research. Even though 70% still support the Blackberry, the iPhone is getting the support of employees who ask for iPhones, even if that means they pay for all or part of it on their own. AT&T's CEO Randall Stephenson, says about 40% of its iPhones are sold to companies or individuals with corporate discounts.

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AP Moller-Maersk, the Danish energy and shipping company, says profits will decline in 2012 from 2011 profit of 18.08 billion kroner ($3.1 billion). Maersk expects global demand for seaborne containers to go up by 4-6% in 2012, but sees lower traffic in the Europe-Asia trade lanes. Maersk has 16% of the container shipping market worldwide. The Maersk Line had losses of 3.4 billion kroner in the 1st quarter of 2012.

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China's State Council announced it was suspending approval of all new nuclear plants. It also announced that China would do a safety review of all existing nuclear plants and plants now under construction. China has 13 nuclear reactors in operation and 26 are under construction. This reverses an earlier decision to move ahead with existing plans. The situation in Japan has created growing concern in China about radioactive spillover across the sea.

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Questions about the sanity of having a nuclear plant at Indian Point, only 35 miles from midtown Manhattan, in a metropolitan region with 20 million people. A 50 mile circle from the plant includes almost all of New York City, parts of New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut. Indian Point's evacuation plans cover a 10 mile circle with about 300,000 people, twenty miles out the distance cited for Fukushima, is about a million people.

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Mims raises questions about how productive current investments in Silicon Valley are in tackling real problems we face. He points out that advertising represents about $100 billion in an economy of $16 trillion, yet most startups focus on advertising revenues. Is $1.2 billion invested in Uber ride sharing service too much when other startups tackling bigger problems could be funded with some of that money, is a question raised by some in Silicon Valley.

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Greece's shipping industry has weathered the structural oversupply in container shipping better than than the shipping industry in other countries. Greek shipping is exempted from taxes in Greece as an incentive to invest in Greece, depriving Greece of an important source of revenues. The Samaras government passed legislation to impose a small tax of 140 million euros over 4 years on Greek shipping. Greek shipping represents about 16% of Greece's GDP, employing about 200,000 people.

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Delayed FDA approval of diabetes drug Tresiba in the U.S. market. The FDA requested additional testing data which Novo Nordisk says it cannot provide in 2013. Novo Nordisk has 27% market share in the diabetes market with its fast acting NovoLog insulin. Sanofi has 19% market share with its long acting Lantus insulin. Tresiba was approved for use in Europe. About 44% of Novo Nordisk drug sales in 2012 were in the U.S. market.

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The lack of enough monsoon rains in acountry that depends for 60% of water in agriculture from rain-fed water and only 40% on irrigation is profound. The impact is uneven- in the south rain shortfall was 7%, in the northwest 36%, in the central part 19%. India has 52 million tons of wheat and rice - enough for one year. The monsoon impacts 600 million people depending on agriculture in rural areas.

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George Osborne of the Conservative Party on Britain's finances, with deficit at 13% of GDP in 2009 and debt expected to reach 100% of GDP in 2014, says Britain has borrowed too much and is sinking in a sea of debt. His program points to tax cuts for Britain's financial district as he says everyone is being asked to sacrifice so much. It also means cutting spending on social services and public sector wage freezes.

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Facin competition from RIM's Blackberry, Apple's IPhone, Smamsung and LG, Nokia has seen its market share in the USA take asteep dive from 35% in 2002 March to 10% in 2008, and 7% in June 2009. Nokia say experts made adecade of mistakes. It failed to design new phones , failed to anticipate consumer tastes in America, like flip phones and touch screens, and failed to accomodate the CDMA format using instead the European GSM standard.

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David Reilly of WSJ asks can GM get bondholders to get two thirds of their holdings converted into equity by February 17, as required in the term sheet for GM's bridge loan? If GM can't achieve this, this may end up being a bridge loan to nowhere. It only lays the groundwork for an orderly settlement in which the government takes action to get all stakeholders, unions, bondholders and management to get their act together.

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Questions raised about the influence of Goldman Sachs in the government, with Rubin, Paulson, Liddy and other Goldman Sachs executives in Treasury and at AIG. And whether the $13 billion received by Goldman as a counterparty to AIG from the $170 billion helped it to show the first quarter 2009 profit of $1.8 billion. And the lingering questions about letting Lehman collapse when it would cost $45 billion, and putting $170 billion into AIG.

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Toyota's sales in Sepember fall 32% and Hondas sales fall by 24% showing how even the Japanese makers are hurting with sales of Corollas and Camrys down. Nissan's down by 37%. General Motors down by 16% but only because of fleet sales. And Ford down 34%. According to AutoNation CEO Jckson whereas in 2007 90% of auto loans were approved for buyers with top credit ratings now only 60% are getting approved.

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Highschool dropout rate are the worst in the midwestern states with graduation rates in cities like Columbus, Ohio at 41%, Baltimore, Maryland, 34.6%, Cleveland, Ohio, 34.1%Indianapolis 30.1%, and Detroit 24.9%. This is unwelcome news in the face of a steep and prolonged recession when good education and skilled workforce will be needed to meet the needs of the jobs of the future that create value to help the economy pull out of the recession.

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Local reports indicate that in Brazil alone the damage could be $30 billion from betting the local currency against the US dollar in complex derivative contracts issued by banks. With the Mexican peso and Brazilian real rising against the USdollar many latin american companies bet against the dollar. Mexico's No 3 retailer La Comer decalared bankruptcy with losses of $1.4 billion. Cemex lost $711 million and Gruma which makes corn tortillas $684 million.

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Housing starts are at a seasonally adjusted rate of 800,000 for October according to Credit Suisse. With about 2.8% vacancy rate and 10 months of inventory, experts point to the need to take capacity out of the system with a housing moratorium. Why build so many new houses in this environment. They say it makes no sense to build so many new homes even though some construction would continue across the country.

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The 25% auto imports tariff goes into effect April 2nd 2025. How much will it increase prices in the US for automobiles? The average is about 10%, say some experts cited in WSJ. This includes price increases on higher priced brands such as German brands BMW's and Audis, Mercedes Benz, and VW cars made in Mexico to ship into the US. It also includes European car makers including Stellantis that make cars in Europe and Mexico to ship into the US which could lose market share to American car makers who make most of their cars in the US. Ford makes 80%, GM 60%.  Overall US international Trade Commission in 2024 looked at the 25% US tariff in a study and showed 5% increase in auto prices in the US. President Trump's call to GM and Ford asking for restraint in pricing may be coupled with the government returning some of the money in tariffs revenue pool to American or foreign manufacturers investing more to make more cars in the US including to Hyundai which announced a $21 billion investment. More such investment decisions are expected from Japanese automakers. For example Subaru has capacity for 450,000 cars in Lafayette Indiana plant and sells 650,000 cars in the US. One would expect it to increase the capacity of the plant or add a new plant in the US. The Japanese government and Japanese business will have additional incentives to invest in the US because of the US support for Japan in the Asia-Pacific, US openness to give trade benefits to Japan in the post war period, incentive to make the Republican DJT plan for tariffs to work as a united Japan-US effort. This would include restraint on pricing.  Toyota is in much better financial shape than VW and has a large market share in the US which it will work protect with pricing restraint and more US investment. Only VW and German luxury car makers BMW, Mercedes may not cooperate. Yet VW sells only 300,000 cars in the US compared to 2.3 million for Toyota. BMW and Mercedes sell luxury cars where buyers could absorb the additional luxury brand cost without impacting inflation overall. Some of VW's car sales would be absorbed by American and other automakers considering VW was losing market share and nearly exiting the US market. before this. ...

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ECB president Draghi tells the European parliament on Jan. 16, 2012: "I cannot underline these points enough. Only a well-coordinated, coherent and properly timed strategy will yield the desired results." He made his comments as head of the European Systemic Board, which oversees systemic risks to the banking system in Europe. Speaking after a series of downgrades by S&P, Draghi said there should be "much less mechanical reliance" on ratings agencies. On Greece's debt burden and servicing costs he pointed out that the evaluation of Greek debt made in October 2011 "needs to be clarified whether its realistic," given the deteriorating economic situation in Greece. On Greece's talks with bondholder Draghi wants to see new servicing of debt conditions make it possible for Greece to bring down its current debt level of 190% of GDP to 120% by 2020.