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The borrowing costs of Italy declined sharply as 9 billion euros of Italy's government bonds were auctioned at a yield of 3.25 percent on Dec. 28, 2011, compared to 6.50 percent at a prior auction in November 2011. The rate on 1.7 billion euros of two year bonds auctioned declined to 4.85 percent from 7.81 percent in November. This follows action by the ECB providing a large infusion of low cost funds to European banks charging only 1 percent on three year loans.

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A plan being put together in eurozone financial circles is for Spain to request aid and the European Stability Mechanism fund to provide far less than 100 billion euros approved for aid to Spain. With the request Spain would agree to conditions set by the EU, ECB and the IMF for improving competitiveness, reducing rigidity in labor markets, and controlling spending by regions in Spain. This would lead to the ECB taking action to buy Spanish bonds and lower borrowing costs.

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In a complete reversal of the situation in 2012 when Spain's and Italy's bond yields reached about 8%, Spain's 10 year government bond yields declined to 2.579% on June 8, 2014, according to Tradeweb. The ECB's efforts to fight deflation by injecting money into the financial system in 2014, and investor search for higher yields, is driving up the price of Spain's bonds and reducing yields below that of U.S. Treasurys for the first time. The period it took for this to happen- just 2 years!

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The Markit eurozone purchasing managers index comes in at 52.8 for June 2014. France's PMI declined to 48, showing contraction in manufacturing. Germany was at 54.2. The rest of the eurozone showed improvement. Average eurozone PMI for the second quarter 2014 was 53.5, up from 53.1 in the first quarter 2014.

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Portugal sold 1 billion euros of 12 month Treasury bills at an average of 4.331%, up from 4.057% at the previous offering on March 2, 2011. Moody's downgraded the country's rating by two nothches to A3. Analysts say that these higher funding costs will lead to a bailout for Portugal. The yield spread between 10 year Portuguese and German bonds is now at 4.35%.

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S&P downgrades Netherlands to double-A-plus and raises Spain's outlook from negative to stable while retaining Spain's triple-B-minus rating.

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Spain's underground economy and family support is helping people in Spain cope with unemployment at 24.4%. Economists say that the unemployment figures may overstate unemployment by about 5 to 9% because many laid off workers work in the underground economy now work on a cash basis. It also means that the government has less revenues because workers in the underground economy do not pay taxes, and that this hurts consumer spending as many of the workers now get paid one half of what they made earlier. When the worker cited here was laid off at Ikea subcontractor Pantoja in Seville, to deliver and assemble furniture, he began working on an informal basis by helping customers at the Ikea store do assembly and any other work such as painting and repair. This worker now makes half of the 800 euros he made earlier.

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Moody's said on July 29, 2011 it would consider cutting Spain's credit rating of Aa2 by one level. This would still be an investment grade rating.

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Boone and Johnson point to the problems facing Portugal as being worse than that faced by Argentina when it defaulted on its debt in 2001. Portugal they say spent too much in recent years with the help of Euro-money letting debt rise to 78% of GDP compared to Greece's 114% of GDP and Argentina's 62% of GDP at default. The lack of the option for a necessary devaluation under the euro currency makes the situation worse. At this point the situation is simply being postponed as the European Central Bank will continue to let the governments issue bonds, which European commercial banks buy and deposit at the ECB as collateral for fresh printed money.

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A WSJ interview with Jose Socrates, the prime minister of Portugal. Socrates says he supports more European integration in economic matters. The context for this is the meeting of 26 leaders of European nations in Brussels on February 4, 2011. Germany is pushing for major changes in the way the European Union works so that economic integration is coupled with the political integration process. This is now thought to be the only way to make the EU work, and both Germany and France are pushing for this. This is also the price of German financial support to countries like Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Spain. In an earlier interview with WSJ, Spain's finance minister, Elena Salgado, offered her support to the German plan. Aspects of the economic coordination Socrates supports are pushing up the standard retirement age to 65, which Portugal has done. He is less supportive of de-linking wages to inflation. There he pointed to the 5% public sector pay cut to go into effect this year. Socrates says the challenge for Portugal is "not to be more competitive with lower salaries." He also provided statistics that show that " this is a modern country." Statistics on electronic government tenders, the ratio of computers to children, the percentage of energy from renewable sources. And said people are talking who have preconceived ideas and don't know anything about Portugal. ...