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Imbalances in the global economy that will take time to correct- the situation in the U.S., Europe and emerging markets in 2012-2013
05/05/2008
The perception that "this time is different" is a typical behavioural reaction in history to to financial crises studied by Rogoff and Reinhart. Economic weakness is part of the mechanism for correcting global imbalances which happens over a number of years.
Linked Articles
Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2008
Boom, Bust. Repeat.Wall Street Journal 10/09/2009
The steep decline in Cherry's car sales in China and the precarious condition of the Chinese consumer- 2008
04/24/2008
The precarious condition of the Chinese consumer and first time buyer of cars, with no safety net in the economy for health care or unemployment. The severe downturn for Cherry and why GM cannot look to China for any kind of relief.
Linked Articles
With First Car, a New Life in China
New York Times 04/24/2008
China's Car Makers Seek Different Help: Lower Sales TaxesWall Street Journal 11/20/2008
Societe Generale and the crisis from $7.2 billion in losses of trader Kerviel
02/02/2008
Societe Generale and the Kerviel crisis with huge losses amid a culture of risk.
Linked Articles
A Trader’s Secrets, a Bank’s Missteps
New York Times 02/05/2008
How to Lose $7.2 Billion: A Trader's TaleWall Street Journal 02/02/2008
The increase in temporary workers in the U.S. and Japan and the consequences in higher inequality and poverty.
01/07/2008
About one third of workers in Japan, and one fourth in the U.S., are temporary workers. The consequences for Japan include the effects of lower consumer spending in the economy reducing the growth rate.
Linked Articles
The Rise of the Permanent Temp Economy
New York Times 01/26/2013
Growing Reliance on Temps Holds Back Japan's ReboundWall Street Journal 01/07/2008
Bosch and Tata Motors
12/30/2007
Bosch wants to invest $500 million euros in India by 2010. It plans get to sales of 1 billion euros by 2010 selling to lowcost makers like Tata for which it makes a specially designed engine for the $2500 Nano car.
Linked Articles
Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 Car
New York Times 01/08/2008
Bosch Wants to Expand Supply For Low - Price CarsNew York Times 12/30/2007
Saudi Arabia's $600 billion investment plan in aluminum, chemicals, and new cities.
12/12/2007
What does the investment binge in Saudi Arabia mean in terms of how well its been thought through, the productive use of the money, will it create enough jobs, what it means for oil prices.
Linked Articles
The Construction Site Called Saudi Arabia
New York Times 01/20/2008
Saudi Industrial Drive Strains Oil-Export RoleWall Street Journal 12/12/2007
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12/11/2007
Diplomatic negotiations will be a new focus of policy towards Iran, any sanctions by security council watered down in this shift.
Linked Articles
U.N. Discord Likely to Weaken Iran Sanctions
Wall Street Journal 01/23/2008
How to Defuse IranNew York Times 12/11/2007
Conversation with Ratan Tata.
08/27/2007
Tata will get Land Rover and Jaguar for about $1 billion when it cost $5 billion to acquire these assets and has invested heavily since then. The credit squeeze gives Tata these assets at a good price.
Linked Articles
Tata May Bid for Ford's Luxury Brands
Wall Street Journal 08/27/2007
Tata Pulls Ford Units Into Its OrbitNew York Times 01/04/2008
Handan Iron & Steel Works, Hebei Province, and ThyssenKrupp, Dortmund, Germany, a world away- bad decisions and environmental pollution in China
10/02/2006
Did China's government officials underestimate the cost of environmental pollution in bringing the old polluting plant from Dortmund, Germany? How much will a cleanup cost? In 2007? In 2015 or 2020? Were these costs figured in? Who got the better deal- Germany or China?
Linked Articles
Why Beijing Is Trying to Tally The Hidden Costs of Pollution As China's Economy Booms - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2006
China Grabs West’s Smoke-Spewing FactoriesNew York Times 12/21/2007
An internal 2006 Pemex report showing a sharp decline in production, and the situation in 2013 with Mexico a net energy importer in March 2013
08/02/2006
Mexico's oil law comes as the nation faced a crisis in declining oil production since 2006. Efforts by the newly elected PAN party Calderon administration in that year and throughout its term in office failed to open up the oil industry to foreign investment, as the PRI and the PRD opposition parties opposed this. A two thirds majority in Congress was needed to change the constitution allowing foreign oil companies to compete with state owned Pemex. The increasing oil production from shale in the U.S. and Canada has increased the urgency, and the potential in deep waters off Mexico for which Pemex needs the technology of foreign oil companies has added to this.
Linked Articles
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy Impasse
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2013
Mexico's Biggest Oil Field Sees DeclineWall Street Journal 08/02/2006
Private trading, the U.S. Commodities and Futures Trading Commission and oil price spikes in 2006
04/29/2006
Firms from Goldman Sachs to Bill Gates' investing firm were involved according to information revealed by the CFTC. It accounted for about 20% of the price spike in 2006, according to some analysts, and involved $85 billion in investing.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2011
Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of OilNew York Times 04/29/2006
The agreement won by Jerry Brown for 11 states against Countrywide/Bank of America to address foreclosures.
04/30/2008
The agreement won by 11 states from bank of America to devote $8 billion for mortgage relief and help homeowners facing foreclosures was a landmark agreement as little had happened in the way of relief for homeowners except for efforts by Sheila Barr at IndyMac in the way of comprehensive relief proposals for homeowners.
Linked Articles
Bair Proposal Seeks Government Loans To Aid Homeowners
Wall Street Journal 04/30/2008
Countrywide to Set Aside $8.4 Billion in Loan AidNew York Times 10/06/2008
Greenspan and his philosophy that let him take such an ambitious experiment in unrestrained markets.
04/08/2008
Grennspan took huge risks in his ambitious experiment with the American economy of a philosophy that simply said allow markets to operate unrestrained and trust in humans benevolent intentions and enlightened self interest. Goodman and Ip document the details. Did he believe that there was something miraculous that would prevent things from imploding, something inherently sacred about an idea of markets, when plain common sense like Buffets said that the arithmetic did not add up and in the end thats all that counts common sense.
Linked Articles
Taking Hard New Look at a Greenspan Legacy
New York Times 10/09/2008
His Legacy Tarnished, Greenspan Goes on DefensiveWall Street Journal 04/08/2008
Tata Motors and meeting crash and emissions standards for the Nano automobile
01/08/2008
The new small car from Tata will meet current and future European emissions standards Mr. Tata said in an interview. There were doubts in the NYTimes of Jan 8, 2008 about the emissions, and it was thought that this car would just meet the lower Indian emissions standards. If this is true then this is part of the foresight of the vision of Ratan Tata. In fact Tata said that it was easier to meet the emissions standards than to meet the crash and safety standards because of the lightness of the car.
Linked Articles
Tata's High-Stakes Bet on Low-Cost Car
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2008
Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 CarNew York Times 01/08/2008
A tolerant Islamic world- the world of Hamza
01/06/2008
A more tolerant world has existed in Islamic Central Asia, South Asia and Iran, over long perids that were also punctuated by periods of conflict. Europe has experienced this also as the ebb and flow of religious strife and of tolerance prevailed in different periods.
Linked Articles
New York Times 01/06/2008
Eat Your Heart Out, HomerNew York Times 01/06/2008
Reform at Pemex and opening up Mexico's oil industry to foreign investment held up for a decade and the cost to the Mexican economy
12/19/2007
Reforms at Pemex and opening up the oil industry to foreign investment were held up in the Calderon administration after repeated efforts by the PAN party government to get the PRI and PRD's support. The final changes to the bill to make it more attractive for foreign oil companies to compete with Pemex were pushed by PAN in alliance with the PRI Nieto administration in 2013. The cost to Mexico is a lost decade in oil exploration in deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and a steep decline in oil revenues as Mexico turned into a net energy importer in March 2013, according to the WSJ.
Linked Articles
Economist 12/19/2007
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy ImpasseWall Street Journal 12/12/2013
Diplomacy with Iran and changing perceptions.
12/11/2007
The reversal of intelligence estimate of Iran concluding tha Iran gave up developing nuclear weapons in 2003, how it now creates a huge shift to diplomatic negotiations and peaceful resolution of differences.
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/11/2007
In Iran Reversal, Bureaucrats Triumphed Over Cheney TeamWall Street Journal 01/14/2008
Alberta tar sands projects are coming in at costs as high as twice the original estimate.
09/12/2007
A project by Petro-Canada came in at $4.8 billion, twice the original estimate. With costs rising and crude oil prices dropping below $50 a barrel, and viability of projects requiring price of $60, new projects may be cut.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/12/2007
The Costly Compromises of Oil From SandNew York Times 01/07/2009
Failure to invest in tech startups dims hopes for a shift away from a commodity based Russian economy- 2005-2015
10/08/2006
Linked Articles
Russia's Tech Startup Scene Retreats Amid Ukraine Conflict
Wall Street Journal 09/09/2014
Germany Drafts Policy for Europe to Strengthen Russian TiesNew York Times 10/08/2006
The Musharraf years in Pakistan and Pakistan's need for a modernized economy
09/29/2006
Linked Articles
The Musharraf Exception - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 09/29/2006
Pakistani Stocks Rise on Musharraf's ExitWall Street Journal 08/19/2008
The Oil Price Shock of 2006 and the potential for oil price increases for 2012
04/29/2006
In 2006 as in 2012 the world faces tight supplies and a confrontation with Iran over its nuclear program.
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of OilNew York Times 04/29/2006
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