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This Market Really Is Different This Time

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LyrArc Article Gist
Zweig of the WSJ points out that the Dow Jones average reached 22,000 but this happens as small investors move away from stocks to bonds. As a result the market is more stable than it used to be, with less speculative investment in stocks. He says investors are actually increasing investment in bond funds and moving away from stock funds as they reallocate to bonds using allocation strategies with fixed investment in stocks at a certain percentage. As the market moves up the portfolio becomes unbalanced requiring move from stocks to bonds. Since 2000 he says half a trillion dollars have moved from stocks to bonds and $17 billion in July 2017. Target date funds hold $998 billion and the $5.5 trillion in funds managed by financial advisers automatically reallocate to bonds as the market moves up. Experts say the question frequently asked now from investors is not which stock to buy but what is the right allocation between stocks, bonds and cash. This is a result of investors learning from the financial crisis of 2008-2009 and the decade that followed. The Dow at 22000 is three times what it was when it fell in the crisis.



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