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Two little, too late

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The Economist magazine points out that even without the one-child policy birth rates would have declined in China because of rising participation of women in the work force, education, delayed marraige, and the high cost of education and housing for more children. As China pursues a two child policy starting in 2015, many of the same factors are at work and many women are seen as unlikely to have two children. The Economist says the right policy would have been to scrap this policy altogether. This may actually happen as China sees the social and economic factors behind the falling birthrate continuing to operate limiting the size of families, and creating problems of rapidly aging society as in Japan. Latin America provides strong evidence to support the Economist magazine's point because of the falling birthrates in Brazil and Mexico for social and economic reasons.

China introduces a nationwide two child policy in October 2015, abandoning a one child policy adopted in 1980

10/29/2015

With a graying population and UN forecasts of about 400 million people above the age of 60 in 2030, experts had warned for years about the dangers of a one child policy leading to fewer young people. The Chinese birthrate 1.4 children per woman is lower than in the U.S. Experts say it will take a generation for the current trends to change and couples to opt for more children.

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Two little, too late

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China Shrugs Off the Ties That Bind

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What Keeps the Chinese Up at Night

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Two little, too late

Economist 11/15/2015


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