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In Greece, Bailout May Hinge on Pursuing Tycoons

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Causes of the debt crisis in Greece and the failure to come to terms with the problem inside Greece

03/03/2010

A estimated one third of the workforce is in the public sector in Greece placing a large burden on the government budget. Nominal private sector labor costs went up by 62% in Greece compared to 15% in Germany for the period 2000-2008. Much of this was done through the government spending of borrowed money. The smaller private sector with only small productivity gains and the weak tax collection was never going to be able to support the large number of civil servants. Carney says the 30,000 reduction in the number of civil servants agreed to for 2010 has not been done, raising questions about implementation of the 150,000 in reductions required by the EU.

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Economists using data from Greek banks estimate the tax evasion in Greece at $11 billion based on a 40% tax rate, or about one third of the deficit for 2009. Unreported income is 28 billion euros.

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