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A 2015 ‘Rebalancing’ Act for Investors
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Malkiel suggests as techniques for rebalancing investor portfolios- putting over 25% of the portfolio in international equities for diversification, as Europe and Japan are likely to improve competitiveness and do better in 2015. For the bonds part of the portfolio he suggests adding a dividend growth fund as partial subsitute for what is normally an all bond portfolio. Rebalancing is designed to reduce the total risk of the portfolio by reducing the weight of overweighted equities in classes that have performed well in the past.
Burton Malkiel on techniques for rebalancing portfolio investments in Jan. 2015
01/01/2015
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Malkiel says higher quality dividend stocks with dividends of 5%, emerging market stocks with lower price earning multiples of 10, and high quality bonds of emerging markets are some of the ways to balance the allocations after the surge in U.S. equity prices in 2013.
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Zweig points out the CAPE cyclically adjusted P/E ratio is about 26 for the U.S. and about 21 for Japan, and about half that in Italy, UK, Spain and other eurozone countries. With the Fed expected to increase rates, and the high CAPE for the U.S., aggressive efforts by central bankers in Japan and Europe, Bogle, Zweig and other experts say international diversification makes sense.
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