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Hong Kong erupts even as China tightens screws on civil society - The Washington Post
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Simon Denyer talks to experts in China in this remarkable piece about the risks to China's own forward development for the economy and society of adopting the so called Putin Way. Particularly when Mr. Putin himself may have second thoughts about as it offers so little and risks so much- actions in Ukraine reduce trade, much needed foreign investment and technology leading to slow growth. This is because technologically advanced societies and economies in a globally interdependent economy need to remain open and vibrant. Mr. Putin's failure to transform Russia's economy from overdependence on commodity exports, while risking development further for relatively insignificant gains on the fringes of its borders, reduces his own development scorecard from a B in the first term to a C in the second. Russia and China have large rural population with low incomes, and the risk is that these emerging markets will fall into the "middle income trap" reaching a certain level and then stagnating, with the additional burden of an an aging population. The irony is that Mr. Putin was elected with the help of this rural population outside the big cities specifically to preserve and expand economic gains made in the first term not erode these economic gains.
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The risk say experts in China is that this will reduce the chance for ventilating public opinion on important issues including discrimination against women, migrant workers, people with HIV/AIDs, social issues such as espoused by one NGO "Justice for All," increasing the prospect of protests later on. China's development depends on keeping the discussion open, more so to keep the faith of its own citizens, as it tries to evolve into a technologically advanced economy. Denyer refers to sources which describe Putin conveying his ideas about the protests in Ukraine to Chinese president Jinping. Jinping has to weigh this against the fact that Russia has aspired but not taken the action to develop an economy not dependent on commodity exports, and tech startups have withered in Russia in the post Ukraine climate without the open dialogue with foreign counterparts in Europe and America needed for technological advancement. Putin may have actually made a profound mistake by giving into his own nationalistic inclinations, when Russia's own interests to develop into an advanced technological economy and society is not served in any way by the acquisition of territory at its fringes- especially in a global economy and society. China's own interests also lie in continuing development so that there is no risk of ending up in a "middle income trap," that has faced other emerging market nations such as Mexico. China has another reason to consider- many Americans such as Mr. Zoellick are working with the National Development Reform Commission in NGO fashion to bring constructive progress in China's interest- with amazing dedication as it reorients is economy and society. Unfortunately for Mr. Putin and Russia the experience has been different in its early interactions leading to the collapse of the Russian ruble and the economy, with the exception of German cooperation, which has been steadfast and put at risk by Mr. Putin. All sides have a lot to consider, including Mr. Putin, who has received nothing but goodwill from the Ger
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Hong Kong erupts even as China tightens screws on civil society - The Washington Post
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