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America's New Energy Boom Is Bust for Foreign Suppliers
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The discount for Canadian crude oil prices, because of higher shale oil output in the U.S. midwest and lack of enough pipeline capacity to get Canadian crude to Gulf Coast refineries, is affecting the Canadian economy. The lower price for Canadian crude was at about $20 per barrel lower than the U.S. benchmark price in April 2013. This discount has reduced Canada's GDP growth for the second half of 2012 by 0.4%, according to the Canadian central bank. The discount was as high as $40 to U.S. benchmark price for Canadian heavy crude in January and Febuary 2013. Continued discount is expected till enough pipeline capacity is created for Alberta's heavy crude to get to Gulf Coast refineries in the U.S.
Lower prices for Canada's shale oil and Canada's economy, the impact in 2013-2016
02/20/2009
The significant impact on the Canadian economy and on Alberta of the lower prices for Canada's shale oil. Discounts for Canada's shale oil relative to Brent crude benchmark international oil pricesand U.S. benchmark price range from 20 to 50%. Canada's shale oil was Dat $80 per barrel in April 2013, compared to $94 for U.S. benchmark price and $106 for Brent international crude oil price. This has reduced GDP in Canada for 2012 by 0.4% for the second half of 2012, according to Canada's central bank. GDP growth is sluggish at 1.8% for 2012. The impact in lower government tax and royalty revenues is significant for Alberta.
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