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Miners Find Optimism a Rare Commodity

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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Copper futures fell by more than 6% on Sept. 22, 2011. Rio Tinto's shares were down close to 11%. In 2011 shares of BHP, Rio Tinto and Xstrata have dropped by 30-40% from the peak reached on July 7. This is much faster than the fall in metals prices. The Dow Jones-UBS Industrial Metals Index declined by 19% in that period. The decline in mining shares suggest medium term metals prices will drop to the recession levels in the last quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009, according to RBC Capital Markets. This view is not reflected in commodities markets. Iron ore prices are double now compared to prices during the 2008-2009 recession, and copper prices at $3.48 are much higher than the $2.02 average price during the 2008-2009 recession. Goldman Sachs estimates that BRIC's growth would have to decline sharply for this to happen.

Rio Tinto management

04/13/2006

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Rio Tinto's First-Half Profit Falls 71%

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Rio Tinto's Walsh Still Faces Major Challenges Ahead

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Rio Tinto Already Has Metallic Tinge

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Rio Tinto strategies

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Grouped Articles

Rio Tinto's First-Half Profit Falls 71%

Wall Street Journal 08/09/2013

Rio Tinto's Time-Consuming Turnaround

Wall Street Journal 08/08/2013

Rio Tinto's Walsh Still Faces Major Challenges Ahead

Wall Street Journal 02/25/2014

The big owe

Economist 02/02/2009

Rio Tinto Already Has Metallic Tinge

Wall Street Journal 07/10/2014

Rio Tinto Digs In as Rival Spins Off

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BHP Billiton

04/13/2006

Australia's largest mining company.

Grouped Articles

Aussie Comes Under Pressure

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After Going All In During Mining Boom BHP Cuts its Ambitions

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Weaker Prices Push BHP's Net Down 30%

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BHP Aims to Boost Iron-Ore Output Even as Prices Fall

Wall Street Journal 07/24/2014

Rio Tinto Digs In as Rival Spins Off

Wall Street Journal 05/07/2015

Overheard: South32’s Not-So-Fond Farewell to BHP Billiton

Wall Street Journal 07/23/2015

BHP Billiton strategies

08/24/2011

Grouped Articles

BHP Halts Coal Expansion

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After Going All In During Mining Boom BHP Cuts its Ambitions

New York Times 08/08/2013

Weaker Prices Push BHP's Net Down 30%

Wall Street Journal 08/21/2013

BHP's Split Looks Stretching

Wall Street Journal 04/02/2014

BHP Aims to Boost Iron-Ore Output Even as Prices Fall

Wall Street Journal 07/24/2014

Rio Tinto Digs In as Rival Spins Off

Wall Street Journal 05/07/2015

Vale SA performance

04/13/2006

Brazil's largest mining company.

Grouped Articles

Vale's Home Help Can't Help Enough

Wall Street Journal 05/02/2013

Brazil's Vale Reduces Stake in Controversial Dam

Wall Street Journal 12/21/2013

Vale Looks to Carve Out a Fertile Future

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Hard Labor Needed for Mining Renaissance

Wall Street Journal 01/22/2014

China’s Slowdown Hits Price of Iron Ore

Wall Street Journal 12/01/2014

BHP Looks Past Travails, Remains Upbeat on China

Wall Street Journal 08/26/2015


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