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The Real Estate Washout That Wasn't

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After the financial crisis of 2008-2009, commercial real estate defaults posed a serious threat to the US economy. Now this threat is receding with low interest rates making it easier to get cheap financing, which raises the returns. For banks the rising earnings give a cushion to absorb losses, letting them sell distressed properties and not have to hold onto them. From office towers in Manhattan to Florida apartment buildings and retail properties in Washington, commercial real estate values are going up. Prices of commercial real estate properties sold by institutional investors went up by 19% in 2010, according to an index developed by the MIT Center for Real Estate. Investors have boosted the prices of bonds backed by commerical real estate to the highest level in two years. The managing director at Real Capital Analytics says, that with values going up, both the owners and lenders have more room to work out difficult situations. Real Capital Analytics January 2011 report shows that of the $52 billion in retail properties to fall into default, a little over half have completed workouts. In Feb 2010, the Congressional Oversight Panel of the Troubled Asset Relief Program said that the commercial real estate market had the potential to pose a serious threat to the US economy. The panel estimated that about half of the $1.4 trillion in commercial property real estate loans set to be paid off by 2014 were under water, where the borrower owes more than the property is worth. Market segments for hotel, apartment buildings and retail are going up. Hotel occupancy rates in the top 25 markets went up from 60% to 64%, according to Smith Travel Research. Sales of apartment buildings in the US went up as home ownership hit new lows, and lease rates went up to the highest levels in 4 years, according to Axiometrics.

The next big economic crisis in USA : the situation in 2009 for commercial real estate loans.

11/19/2009

Why this will be harder for the American government to tackle and how it will end up slowing the economy in 2010 and beyond. Seee the links to Peter Eavis on the banking problems.

Grouped Articles

A Sector That Is Too Tough to Save

Wall Street Journal 11/19/2009

Congress's Moral Hazard

Wall Street Journal 11/19/2009

Avoiding a Japanese Decade

New York Times 01/03/2010

Beware the Crisis around the corner

Financial Times 01/04/2010

Divergent Views on Signs of Life in the Economy

New York Times 01/05/2010

That 1937 Feeling

New York Times 01/04/2010

Recovery in the US commercial real estate market- 2010-2012

02/10/2011

Grouped Articles

The Real Estate Washout That Wasn't

BusinessWeek 02/10/2011

Property Investors Face Losing Their Shirts With Strip Malls

Wall Street Journal 06/27/2011


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