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Liquid fuel
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The stock market rally is due to government support and quantitave easing. Once that government support is withdrawn this recovery will not be sustained. There is a lot of liquidity that is driving this. About $332 billion has been withdrawn from money market funds yieding today .01% in interest. Quantitative easing is a significant part of the liquidity. Equity and bond markets have received a big boost from central banks creating money to purchase mostly government bonds.This keeps yields on Treasury bonds low, it is now 3.5% even though record amounts of debt are being issued.If this QE stops yields will rise and drive up borrowing costs. In this way it is a government sponsored bull market.
New investment strategies that keep a higher weighting in stocks than the "new normal" suggests.
09/24/2009
This strategy would take advantage of the growth in high growth countries overseas, and use oil and commodities stocks as a hedge against inflation.
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With quantitative easing (QE), the Fed creating money to buy Treasury bonds at a fast pace, and with inflation "exceptionally low" in the Fed's words, there is considerable liquidity to support the surge in stocks. But this could change quickly. Investors would benefit from caution.
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