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Peter L. Bernstein, Explainer of Risks of Stocks, Dies at 90

New York Times Original article ›

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Peter Bernstein, colleague of Robert Heilbroner, economic historian, communicator and developer of efficient market theory and portfolio theory. He wrote several books on capital, risk and Wall Street and diversified investing. He like Heilbroner was a Keynesian, who believed government spending was critical to supporting the economy, and disagreed with Reagan. He believed that the deficit was not too large relative to the nations output, and government's role in the economy should not be curtailed. Government spending was necessary to a healthy market economy in Bernstein's view. His other point was that regulation of markets was needed to prevent a market collapse. His view was that the wealth and entrepreneurial energy generated by arising stock market were worth the risk. In a semimonthly newsletter he published for many years he said a week before he passed away at 90, that "with hindsight, most readers today would find our position in 2005 to have been a prescription for tragedy." He went on to say quoting Alfrd Tennyson, " tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all. There was wisdom in Tennyson's words. Who can say he was wrong beyond debate? That would be asorry world indeed." Whats is interesting this that unlike many who get blinded to dangers such as selfinterested behaviour like that of the ratings agencies, the mortgage innovators who were more selfinterested than innovators, and banking executives interested in their bonuses, Bernstein, Heilbroner and others like him take positions on either side on the merits and on ethics, leaving out ideological bias. He is for financial innovation but is cautious at the same time, preferring to build theory he says. Its interesting that in 2005, he wrote the book "Wedding of the Waters: The Erie Canal and the Making of a Great Nation," a subject that another financial industry leader from that period, Felix Rohatyn, also talks about in his book "Bold Endeavours." There is a difference in the kind of selfinterested and reckless "innovation" of Mozilo, Prince and Moody's successors in the ratings agencies, and the innovation, watchfulness and entrepreneurial energy that Moody, Rohatyn and Bernstein have in mind.

The views and wisdom of Peter Bernstein.

03/30/2008

Peter Bernstein who turned 90, has watched financial markets from the fifties as they recovered from the war and depression. He sees little reassurance from looking at the past and thinking that "the seas will be flat again." He thinks its vital that President Obama tackle the household sector and mortgages first, with forceful action to stop foreclosures by government intervention and compulsory mortgage modification.

Grouped Articles

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How a Modern Depression Might Look -- If the U.S. Gets There

Wall Street Journal 03/30/2009

Peter L. Bernstein, Explainer of Risks of Stocks, Dies at 90

New York Times 06/08/2009

A Year After a Cataclysm, Little Change on Wall St.

New York Times 09/12/2009


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