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Obama Hits Resistance at G-20

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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The Europeans led by France and Germany demand stricter regulation and a financial regulatory system that oversees the entire financial system, and oversees all the larger countries. The US in contrast wants to see a lighter regulatory system, and lighter regulation of parts of the financial system like hedge funds. For the USA where the crisis originated, the emphasis is on larger stimulus spending. For the Europeans which have a larger safety net that they would like to see considered as part of their stimulus- and their social arrangement such as reduced hours in Germany to avoid layoffs, and the presence of a large public sector in France that is about 52% of GDP- the situation as they see it does not require breaking the EU's committment to control large deficits. The cultural and historical roots are also different. Germany was hit by hyperinflation in the period between the two wars, and there is thought there that this helped the rise of demagogic leaders and the collapse of democracy there. At that time the issue was war reparations that Germany found difficult to absorb in an economy devastated by the first war, which strained German finances. France and Germany also have no foreclosure crisis, and car sales and consumer spending are not in the deep decline that is seen in the USA. In fact car sales have increased in the two countries with the refunds for scrapping old vehicles, with no such plan in place in the USA. Making there is a credible position on the European side. Germany does see itself hit by the collapse in international trade. Germany and France face the prospect of helping their banking systems deal with the large bad loan situation facing them in Eastern Europe. At the same time Germany and France want to save some firepower for coming to the aid of key parts of the European community like Spain, Greece, and Ireland, which are facing a worsening crisis. In short both sides have credible positions, and some form of accomodation as events unfold may be a better desired outcome than some unified outcome. And little has been said of the position of the other countries in the G20, the emerging countries like Brazil, India, China, Russia, Indonesia, Argentina and others, and the position of the World Bank speaking for the poorest countries. These countries may favor stronger stimulus, and would favor the stricter regulation and supervision of global financial systems favored by the Europeans. This is because they may rightly feel that the messups in the global financial system have stolen their chance, at just the point where they were turning the corner in their efforts at bringing better standards of living to their peoples.

The April 2009 G-20 Docklands, London Summit and the constructive confrontation between American and European positions.

02/15/2009

The positions of both sides. The Europeans credibly calling for global regulations as non-negotiable, and the US credibly calling for larger stimulus spending now when it would have the greatest impact. And the tough negotiations ahead.

Grouped Articles

Fixing a Perception Gap for the Underappreciated G-20

Wall Street Journal 08/27/2013

On a Scale of 1-10, G-20 Scores a 7

New York Times 04/03/2009

Larger Than Life in London

New York Times 04/05/2009

The Lines a German Won’t Cross

New York Times 04/05/2009

Big Ideas, Grand Plans, Modest Budgets

New York Times 02/15/2009

What the Chinese Want from Obama

New York Times 02/20/2009


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