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China Slowdown Stunts Entrepreneurs

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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Much of China's strong GDP growth year after year of 9-12% was generated through large fixed investments in manufacturing. More than 40% of GDP is from factory construction or fixed asset investment in housing and infrastructure. And this spawned suddenly on its own a whole generation of new small business bootstrap entrepreneurs, as if from nowhere, who were good at adapting and seeking out new opportunities as new factories and exports shot upwards. GDP multiplied 14 fold from 1980's. And created 5 million businesses of over 8 employees each, according to the State Administration for Industry and Commerce. In the processs creating 75 million jobs for university graduates, workers from state companies and fro migrants from the rural areas. These private companies and their investment spending make up half of the 2008 GDP of $4.42 trillion. But with the export model heavily dependent on overseas markets especially the USA, the collapsing export markets is shrinking production and investment. Industrial production which went up by 16% annually for 5 years, dropped to 3.8% for Jan-Feb 2009. Mr Yu and his company GenTech, profiled here, was an engineer who studied engineering in Beijing, then at Newcastle University in the UK, worked for Cargill in Iowa, and looked for opportunities away from agricultural engineering. Adapting to China's needs in first semiconductors and then solar equipment assembly lines, he provided the high tech tubing for the gases and chemicals used in manufacturing assembly lines, competing with the likes of Air Products and Chemicals of the USA.

The Shift from Housing and Factory Construction to Government Infrastructure Spending as support for the Chinese Economy.

03/27/2009

The economy is off-balance and is likely to get more so. Consumption spending at 35% is still too low to support manufacturing, housing construction is declining, foreign investment and investment from Hong Kong and Taiwan in manufacturing is declining, and infrastructure spending is the only support for the Chinese economy. This means that the 5 million small and midsized businesses like Mr Yu's GenTech that provided the 90% of the new jobs in recent years are going to be struggling. Lot more bridges and rail will be built but where will these new jobs in factory and offices come from?

Grouped Articles

China Slowdown Stunts Entrepreneurs

Wall Street Journal 03/27/2009

China Officials: Long Live Investment

Wall Street Journal 03/27/2009

France, Unlike U.S., Is Deep Into Stimulus Projects

New York Times 07/07/2009

In Hong Kong, a $56.5 Million Apartment

New York Times 10/15/2009

Hong Kong's Currency Inflicts Plenty of Pain

BusinessWeek 09/29/2011

As China’s economy slows, real estate bubble looms - The Washington Post

Washington Post 10/03/2012


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