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Long term forecasting is a difficult business. IEA's 2015 forecast missed the situation in 2015 completely. Yergin was right but did not see how fast this would happen with oil prices down to $50 per barrel in 2015 and prices at the pump below $2.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2011
Energy Watchdog Warns Of Oil-Production CrunchWall Street Journal 05/22/2008
Did China's government officials underestimate the cost of environmental pollution in bringing the old polluting plant from Dortmund, Germany? How much will a cleanup cost? In 2007? In 2015 or 2020? Were these costs figured in? Who got the better deal- Germany or China?
Linked Articles
Why Beijing Is Trying to Tally The Hidden Costs of Pollution As China's Economy Booms - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2006
China Grabs West’s Smoke-Spewing FactoriesNew York Times 12/21/2007
In 2006 as in 2012 the world faces tight supplies and a confrontation with Iran over its nuclear program.
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of OilNew York Times 04/29/2006
The insurance itself was not insurance but a chance to use different accounting rules to take the issuance of collateralized debt obligations to new heights. ACA was an outfit by the river issuing flood insurance. It had an A rating and was supposed to insure AAA securities.
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 04/03/2008
Building WonderlandNew York Times 04/06/2008
Mexico's oil law comes as the nation faced a crisis in declining oil production since 2006. Efforts by the newly elected PAN party Calderon administration in that year and throughout its term in office failed to open up the oil industry to foreign investment, as the PRI and the PRD opposition parties opposed this. A two thirds majority in Congress was needed to change the constitution allowing foreign oil companies to compete with state owned Pemex. The increasing oil production from shale in the U.S. and Canada has increased the urgency, and the potential in deep waters off Mexico for which Pemex needs the technology of foreign oil companies has added to this.
Linked Articles
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy Impasse
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2013
Mexico's Biggest Oil Field Sees DeclineWall Street Journal 08/02/2006
Firms from Goldman Sachs to Bill Gates' investing firm were involved according to information revealed by the CFTC. It accounted for about 20% of the price spike in 2006, according to some analysts, and involved $85 billion in investing.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2011
Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of OilNew York Times 04/29/2006
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