The problems facing Labour under Keir Starmer with a 156 seat majority on only 34% of the vote and 40% of voters staying away, the split of Conservative vote between Reform UK and Tories and first past the line election rules giving Labour an unreal advantage.
The first six months with the budget and abolishing of winter fuel allowance by Rachel Reeves. It was pushed by Treasury but was it the best messaging by Labour which has been faced with criticism on this issue and its perception of pensioners and working class. The lack of growth and the possibility of no growth in the last quarter of 2025 creates more problems for giving conviction to Labour's message and vision of a turnaround in the economy.
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