LyrArc Article Gist
The IMF predicts UK budget deficit at 13.2% of GDP in 2010. And that public debt could hit 98% of GDP by 2014. Ctigroup expects that inflation will be 3.4% in 2010 and the expectation is that the Bank of England will raise interest rates before the ECB or the Federal Reserve. The large deficits and debt are affecting the value of the pound which is in steady decline.

LyrArc Article Gist
Glaxo spent $279 million in the first half of 2008, second only to Pfizer's 462 million. Much of this is televison advertising, which has come under criticism for exaggerating the benefits of drugs and minimizing the risks. Television advertising for prescription drugs is banned in most countries, except for the USA and New Zealand. Now Glaxo CEO, Witty says, Glaxo will do less television advertising than in the past.

LyrArc Article Gist
Experts in both the USA and China say that the trade deficit will remain a problem in US-China relations, as China now wants to see not an appreciation of its currency but some devaluation of its currency to promote its exports. Additionally both Congress and Mr. Obama are looking at trade relations carefully. Obama has been critical of how unfettered free trade has not been beneficial to both countries.

LyrArc Article Gist
For HP R&D productivity is critical, this is calculated as research spending as apercentage of gross margin. The key is to ask where do we get the biggest payoffs in sales and profits . For example touch screen technology for laptops got high priority this way. And one relates R&D to product lines to see where it will get the most mileage and make the biggest difference.

LyrArc Article Gist
Ther is an overwhelming shift of opinion in favor or higher fuel economy standards for cars and trucks. Polls are showing this shift across political lines, acorss urban and rural, and thorughout the country. The auto companies and their lobbyists simply failed to gauge the extent to which the public in the USA is upset about dependence on foreign oil and all the political problems it creates for the USA worldwide.

LyrArc Article Gist
There have been protests against fuel taxes throughout Europe but public opinion especially in Germany where green issues are popular is in favor of reducing fuel consumption. It would require the agreement of 27 EU member states to make a change so some find Sarkozy's call for reducing the taxes puzzling and its unlikely as Brown in the UK and Merkel in Germany do not favor reducing the fuel taxes.

LyrArc Article Gist
Saudi Arabia announces increase of 200,0000 barrels a day which is considered not enough to make a difference for oil prices after the summit in Saudi Arabia. Energy Secretary Bodman says speculators are not a factor in oil price increases and the Saudi King says they are a reason for oil price increases and no new ideas or actions that would be meaningful come up in the meeting.

LyrArc Article Gist
Wage inflation is slowing down even less than the increase last year. Prices of imports are higher but oil prices are goig lower so this can change. And increase in prices of services is slowing So its not clear whether we are going to see lower inflation or higher inflation. There is a chance though that inflation may be lower and may go down to zero says Mandel of Business Week.

LyrArc Article Gist
To get some idea of how tight credit conditions are, debtor in possession and exit financing is hard to get because GE one of the world's largest lenderslast year doing $1.75 billion of restructuring loans made a recent undisclosed decision to largely halt lending to companies in bankruptcy protection or near it. DIP financing is highly profitable for GE because its first to get paid back at high interest rates.

LyrArc Article Gist
Details of the the way Sheila Bair tackled the Wachovia merger with first Wells Fargo and then Citigroup and then finally back with Wells Fargo. Throughout the negotiations FDIC say was firm and offered Wachovia few options either merge or go into receivership and be seized by the federal government and FDIC. She was also the one who worked with Well and Wachovia to complete the final deal.

LyrArc Article Gist
How the deepening downturn is leading Brown and Labor and the liberal Democrats who had rejected tax cuts for so long to now advocate large tax cuts, with the Conservatives arguing for fiscal discipline when they had argued for taxcuts on principled grounds for most of the last decade. A tax cut of 15 billion pounds or $23 billion was mentioned by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Strange things are happening.

LyrArc Article Gist
The FDIC acknowledges that it has not been able to get banks interested in a pilot program called the Legacy Loans Program. That program was designed to give the banks an opportunity to sell off $1 billion of troubled mortgages. Since November with the efforts of the Troubled Asset Program under Secretary Paulson to have the banks sell off these assets in an auction or some other way, the whole issue of getting the toxic or troubled assets off the books of the banks has been effectively shelved. The Obama administration's version of this was the Geithner Public Private Partnership program, but this like Paulson's TARP never really got off the ground. Instead several things have happened that have enabled banks to show higher profits and improve stock prices. The period from March 2009 to June 2009, a period of several months has seen bank stock prices recover and banks are now able to raise capital on their own from investors. The government's "stress tests" gave the banks credibility with investors and they were designed not to be so stringent as to affect confidence. The mark to market rule has also been relaxed so that banks are no longer required to show these toxic assets at prices that reflect large losses. Bank executives also are wary of the new executive compensation rules of the government. All of these things have combined to create asituation where some confidence has been restored, but at the same time experts are pointing out that the underlying problems of an estimated $1 trillion in troubled assets remains. Banks are even less likely to want to part with these assets at lower prices now that some semblence of confidence is returning, as they would then have to show large losses. What this implies is that if the economy suffered a setback, these problems would return and be just as intractable as ever....

LyrArc Article Gist
The graph tell the story, in early 2007 there were close to 4 million homes under water, in early 2008 closer to 8 million homes and in early 2009 closer to 16 million homes under water, close to doubling the number of homes under water. This is why more of the morgage securities become bad assets with each passing year, as their underlying assets the mortgages become high risk for default. During the third quarter the number of homeowners under water, or owing more than their homes were worth, were 11.8 million, and by the end of 2008, 13.6 million, according to Moody's Economy.com They are growing at close to 1.8 million every quarter, or at the rate of over 7 million a year. Which at this rate would reach 21 million homes under water by early 2010, if one assumed that government help only worked to offset the impact of further deterioration of housing prices, by lowering payments for some homeowners. A new housing rescue plan was announced March 4, 2009. This will supplement the $75 billion announced earlier. This plan announced March 4, 2009, is expected by the Obama administration to cover 9 million homeowners. Borrowers who face severe financial hardship that may cause them to lose their homes, are required under this plan to sign affidavits attesting to this. They will in then see their loans modified, payment periods lengthened, and interest rates dropped to as low as 2%, to bring the monthly payment down to 31% of income, the number that experts say is appropriate for sustainable payments. Only first lien mortgages, and homeowners who live in these homes and not homeowners who use them as investments, will qualify. The outstanding principal balance cannot be over $729,750. As incentives loan-servicing companies will get upto $3500 from the government, and the government will also match a portion of the ender's costs dollar for dollar. Homeowners get $5000 in government money to reduce their outstanding balances, as an incentive to them to stay current on these modified mortgages. The administration plans to announce plans to those holding second mortgages on their homes, who have difficulty modifying them. The other component of the plan is for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to refinance loans for borrowers who are under water, owing more than their homes are worth, even if they are wealthy enough to afford current payments. There is no income ceiling for this part of the plan. And these mortgages have to be held or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, with homeowners not owing more than 105% of the current value of their homes. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Coal India, is a state run monopoly which is a huge stumbling block for India's economic development. India lags behind Brazil, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam and Malaysia in the percentage of the population having electricity. Production methods do not use modern technology similiar to mines in other countries, and the average age of the 333,000 employees is 45-50 years. An eight hour shift at some mines produces as much coal as a mine in the U.S. does in 5 minutes, because of the lack of modern technology. About 300 million Indians lack electricity. The Modi administration's focus is on improving efficiency, introducing competition, and bringing major technological changes to the coal industry. Piyush Goyal, India's Coal minister faces one of the biggest challenges in the Modi administration. His focus is on efficiency, and the Modi administration has set a target of 1 billion tons for 2020, a 15% increase in production each year for the next 5 years.

LyrArc Article Gist
This picture of Boris Johnson and Iranian president Rouhani breaking into laughter during a conversation in New York is highly unusual. It breaks the tension existing when Iranian response to American sanctions comes up. Mr. Macron of France and Johnson of Britain were trying to bring Mr. Trump and Mr. Rouhani together for talks. Mr. Macron looks serious, Mr. Johnson casual considering the issues involved. The picture of Jacob Rees Moog with legs outstretched in parliament and taking a nap with the chaos around him on Brexit, looking  totally unaffected and nonchalant is similar. Mr. Moog is the head of the Johnson government's group in Britain's parliament.

LyrArc Article Gist
Keir Starmer of Labour  in Britain says "From 20 points behind to 20 points ahead in the polls." As Lincoln said you can fool some of the people all the time or all of the people some of the time, but not all of the people all of the time." This has relevance also for America in 2024 as president Biden in his transformative work for America faces the same kind of rumor and doubt Keir Starmer faced for the last two years, much of it pushed by the Tories. Lincoln said this in Clinton, Illinois, in the Lincoln- Douglas debates, September 2, 1858.

LyrArc Article Gist
Ways to complain better and make it work to strengthen relationships, being upfront but in the right way and appreciative of the other person rather than resentful. Try to build understanding, do it at the right moment and after gauging severity. Give people space, opportunity to respond and thank them for listening and giving attention. Aim for honesty, empathy and sincerity for building understanding.  Some patience is helpful. It may surprise you as it leads to growth in a relationship, says this author Joshua Coleman, a Senior Fellow with Council of Contemporary Families.

It applies to children as well as colleagues and couples.

LyrArc Article Gist
Under the new DJT nominee the FBI's focus shifts to illegal migrants and illegal fentanyl flows causing 150,000 deaths in 2 years, and street crime from national security threats and white collar crimes. This was evident in the hearings for the FBI nominee in the Senate as response to Senators questions the FBI nominee stated he wanted to cut the number of deaths from fentanyl as the top priority. To do this FBI employees will no longer concentrated around the nation's capital and instead be spread out across the whole country, including the FBI center in Huntsville, Alabama.

LyrArc Article Gist
Macron's unpopularity extends to a plan for new stained glass windows at Notre Dame. Strangely enough the unpopularity of Macron comes from an imperious perceived as arrogant attitude that was also the reason of the undoing of his predecessor Nicholas Sarkozy. Is there something about the concentration of power in the French presidential palace Elysee that leads to such behaviors.

This doesn't help France or Europe in 2025-2026 with France changing prime ministers every few months, just as Britain did in 2023-2034 this time with the Brexit ideas and attitudes of indifference even snubbing behaviors towards the European Union.