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Economic experts look at the Trump and Clinton economic plans, Trump's based on extreme borrowing and Clinton's careful about deficits. Trump's plan aggravates the wide disparities in income in America after the tech booms and Clinton's reduces these disparities. Clinton's preserves global trading system while addressing the problems, Trump's moves in the direction of protectionism and high tariffs with potential unintended consequences for the global economy.
Linked Articles
Donald Trump’s Economic Plan, Up Close, Doesn’t Add Up
WSJ 10/18/2016
Donald Trump’s Tax Plan Would Boost Economy in Short Run but Not Long Term, Analysis FindsWSJ 10/17/2016
The unemployment rate in Janesville, Wisconsin drops to 4.4% in May 2016, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was over 9% following the closing of the GM plant and the recession from the 2008 financial crisis. A working class town Janesville was hit hard by the closing of the GM plant in 2008. Amy Goldstein of the Washington Post describes the impact of losing about 5000 jobs at the GM plant, and the problems typical of most manufacturing dependent towns. Throughout the period since being first elected to Congress in 1998 Ryan has continued to be able to get elected on the basis of faith, family and public service, even though some of his policies may not have helped the poor and elderly or laid off workers. Ryan voted for rescuing the auto industry and worked hard to keep the GM plant, and listens to his constituents, and as the economy recovered by 2016 won easily in this old industrial midwestern town. His influence in national politics gives Janesville an opportunity to be heard, as it tackles problems common to many midwestern towns in the U.S.
Linked Articles
Could Paul Ryan’s ideas help his struggling home town? - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/19/2012
Paul Ryan beats outsider 'mini-Donald Trump' challenger in Wisconsin primaryThe Guardian 08/10/2016
By offering "calm and composed" leadership during the Brexit crisis, and being flexible in dealing with genuine concerns about immigration in Germany, Merkel shows Europe a better way than fractious British, French or American politics during a critical period when good responsible leadership is missing.
Linked Articles
Poll: Brexit vote boosts support for EU in Germany | News | DW.COM | 08.07.2016
DW.COM 07/08/2016
Angela Merkel Is Motivated By Decency, Not PoliticsWall Street Journal 12/21/2015
Public discontent with governance and rule of law are major issues in Mexico in 2016-2017
Linked Articles
Mexico’s Ruling Party Loses Gubernatorial Races in Several States
WSJ 06/10/2016
Mexico Stubbornly Resists AccountabilityNew York Times 01/04/2016
Linked Articles
Dilma Rousseff looks increasingly likely to be impeached
Economist 04/19/2016
Impeachment Won’t Save BrazilWall Street Journal 04/19/2016
Linked Articles
After Michigan Loss, Hillary Clinton Sharpens Message on Jobs and Trade
New York Times 03/09/2016
Free Trade Loses Political FavorWall Street Journal 03/10/2016
Linked Articles
Trump’s toxic temperament should disqualify him from the presidency - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/29/2016
A Myopic Shift Toward TrumpWall Street Journal 01/27/2016
Linked Articles
South Korean and Japanese Leaders Feel Backlash From ‘Comfort Women’ Deal
New York Times 12/29/2015
Coming to Terms on Japan’s Wartime Sex SlavesNew York Times 12/30/2015
Linked Articles
Asia Struggles for a Solution to Its ‘Missing Women’ Problem
Wall Street Journal 11/27/2015
Amartya Sen: Women’s Progress Outdid China’s One-Child PolicyNew York Times 11/02/2015
Chancellor Merkel's statement that the the Euro is the EU, now place more emphasis on building a strong future for the euro. Experts in Germany believe the euro is better off without Greece by July 2015. As the WSJ editorial points out political contagion is now a bigger threat to the euro, with euro skeptic parties joining populist parties with no committment to the common currency and its basic rules.
Linked Articles
German Finance Chief’s Hard Line on Greece Limits Angela Merkel’s Room to Maneuver
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2015
It’s Time for Greece to Leave the EuroNew York Times 07/07/2015
Linked Articles
Economist 05/16/2015
While at War, Female Soldiers Fight to BelongNew York Times 05/24/2015
The current system actually may offer more choice of candidates as it provides for a Chief Executive to be elected from 1200 business and poltiical leaders from Hong Kong, compared to the Beijing plan to have a pro-Beijing committee vetting candidates. This realization led to the historic vote in the legislature after the failure to convince the government led by Xi Jinping to allow free choice of candidates.
Linked Articles
Hong Kong Votes Down Beijing-Backed Election Plan
Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015
Protests in Hong Kong Have Roots in China’s ‘Two Systems’New York Times 09/29/2014
Lagarde says in an intervew in the Washington Post, that she believes women come into leadership at large organizations when the job is tough, requiring everything you can give.
Linked Articles
Christine Lagarde: ‘Don’t let the bastards get you’ - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/25/2014
Behind Ginni Rometty’s Plan to Reboot IBMWall Street Journal 04/21/2015
The profound changes underway in China in the notions of marraige and family as a new generation of women are better educated and look for independent lives with their own careers. Over half of all undergraduates are women in China, and half of all graduate students pursuing master's degrees are women, showing how much China has changed in three decades.
Linked Articles
Marriage Falls in China, Transforming Finances and Families
The New York Times 09/12/2016
China Shrugs Off the Ties That BindThe New York Times 09/22/2016
Linked Articles
Washington Post 04/11/2016
Hillary Clinton’s Historic Moment Divides Generations of WomenWSJ 07/26/2016
How Cameron, Osborne, Gove and Johnson, a few Oxford educated politicians put their narrow interests and party politics ahead of the interests of Britain and the interests of the European Union.
Linked Articles
British Politics Gives a Sense of Government by Old School Chums
The New York Times 07/07/2016
Theresa May, Long in Public Eye, Finds Herself Focus of Conservative RaceThe New York Times 07/05/2016
Krugman discusses the U.S. May 2016 jobs report from the Labor Department. He says it will be harder to come up with a response to the political uncertainty in an election year, especially now that rates are near zero.
Linked Articles
Sharp Fall in U.S. Hiring Saps Chance of Fed Rate Increase in June
The New York Times 06/03/2016
A Pause That DistressesThe New York Times 06/06/2016
Linked Articles
Five myths about trade - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/10/2016
How Trump’s Hard Line on Trade Could BackfireWall Street Journal 03/25/2016
By damaging the international trading system including with allies such a Canada, Britain, France and Germany, the result of a downward spiral through higher tariffs in other countries, could end up costing the U.S. 1 million jobs. Under such a system the U.S. would lose many of the advantages of its booming tech sector, its tech driven global advantages in many industries, without signifcant gains in low cost imports such as clothing which would simply migrate to other countries such as India. The problem of worker wage stagnation in the U.S., and loss of jobs in certain sectors, is very real, but this is the wrong way to tackle the problem. China is already moving towards a consumer driven economy. Economists show that trade with Mexico would be seriously hurt both ways, creating more pressure of migrants at the border under such proposals as a 45% tariff and its indirect effect on Mexico, when the actual fact is that net migration from Mexico is the lowest it has ben in decades. Politics can do strange things as when two senators Smoot and Hawley from agricultural states Utah and Oregon, at the head of important committees in the U.S. Congress pushed and passed legislation for a 60% tariff in 1930 for the industrial sector they had no idea about. When Smoot and Hawley lost reelection in 1932 they left behind a lot of damage, especially for the farmers and workers they thought they were fighting for.
Linked Articles
How Trump’s Hard Line on Trade Could Backfire
Wall Street Journal 03/25/2016
Can Trump Start a Trade War?Wall Street Journal 03/08/2016
Linked Articles
Anxiety Fuels Donald Trump’s Supporters
Wall Street Journal 01/27/2016
What His Believers See in Donald TrumpWall Street Journal 03/09/2016
The Republican narrative finds a parallel in the 2016 U.S. presidential election which led to the election of president McKinley and bringing Teddy Roosevelt as running mate for the 1900 election. It focusses on economic recovery under the gold standard and U.S. asserting itself on behalf of Cuban independence in the uprising against Spanish rule. The Democratic narrative looks at immigration, women, minorities and the surge in inequality to see continuing shift to Democrats, accepting some voter disillusionment with both parties showing up in reduced voter participation.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/20/2015
Terrorism Becomes a Campaign IssueWall Street Journal 11/20/2015
The efforts to wrestle with the deficit in 2011-2012 led to a vigorous debate on changing the tax code, yet political leaders failed to take up new ideas or spell out the details. Jeb Bush, with advisors Martin Feldstein and Kevin Warsh, takes the unconventional approach of putting in the details, and taking up ideas such as the idea of limiting itemized deductions to 2% of adjusted gross income proposed by Feldstein in that debate. On the $2.1 trillion in income held overseas by U.S. companies Bush proposes 8.75% tax paid over 10 years. On business investment he proposes capital investment be allowed to be deducted in full immediately. It is based on the idea that business investment can drive a vigorous recovery, that workers bear 50% of the burden of higer taxes through sluggish wage growth. It levels the playing field for debt and equity capital, removing "carried interest" provision, as a lesson from the excessive leverage taken by financial institutions in the past.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/10/2015
Jeb Bush Tax Plan Makes Forays Into PopulismNew York Times 09/09/2015
Hillary Clinton needs a vigorous campaign away from the cautious instincts of the early days of her campaign, as Trump seeks to deflect criticism by attacking Hillary Clinton, say experts. The risks are high for Trump if the effort backfires alienating the vast majority of women, including Sanders supporters, independents and traditional Republican moderates. This is one of the wild twists of the campoaign of 2016- a candidate apparently making sexist comments to attract the support of white women voter- and men.
Linked Articles
Hillary Needs More Than the Obama Coalition
Wall Street Journal 06/11/2015
Donald Trump’s Gender-Based Attacks on Hillary Clinton Have Calculated RiskNew York Times 04/28/2016
Linked Articles
Election Results: Republicans Win Senate Control With at Least 7 New Seats
New York Times 11/04/2014
GOP Gains in Key Senate Races as Gender Gap NarrowsWall Street Journal 10/23/2014
Linked Articles
Christine Lagarde: ‘Don’t let the bastards get you’ - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/25/2014
Executive Women, Finding (and Owning) Their VoiceNew York Times 11/13/2014
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