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Intel Corp's overreliance on the PC market which is declining. About three fourths of Intel Corp. revenue is from the PC market. Intel stuck to its strategy of selling at higher margins to PC manufacturers and only gradually made the shift to smartphones and tablets. Intel was late to see the challenge from lower cost suppliers of chips for mobile phones and videogames. The quality of chips from these suppliers has improved to the point where they supply most of the chips worldwide for mobile phones and tablets. The late move into mobile devices has hurt performance of Intel. Net income declined to $2 billion in the 2nd quarter 2013, a 29% decline from the previous year. Revenue was down to $12.8 billion in the 2nd quarter, a decline of 5% from the prior year. Intel's new strategy is to pursue the lower end of the PC and tablet market with new chips planned for Dec. 2013 on notebook computers at prices in $300 range, and tablets in the $150 range. The new Intel CEO Mr. Krzanich is focussing on costcutting and other improvements....

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PC shipments worldwide declined by 14% in the first quarter of 2013, compared to the prior year quarter, according to IDC. Gartner Research's estimate for the first quarter PC shipments shows a decline of 11.2%. IDC analysts say the introduction of Windows 8 with touch screen capabilities has not reversed this trend. It may have exacerbated the trend because Windows 8 made changes that reduced the PC experience to bring in touch screen and other features available on tablets, and made the product more confusing to use. This view of IDC is confirmed by some companies which say the incremental value of Windows 8 is not worth the cost of training employees to use the new PC's with Windows 8.

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Brings together Intel, tapping into its server technology and the One Laptop Per Child Project of Mr. Negroponte at MIT Media Lab. Advanced Micro Device joined up in 2005. The price of a PC has been brought down to $100 by the One Laptop Per Child Foundation. How much impact will the project now have, now that a number of backers have joined the effort? Two competing approaches, how has that been resolved? Intel based on training teachers, One Laptop based on self learning in groups, Intel using Windows, One Laptop using open source, one controlled by Intel and Microsoft and less price sensitive and the other more chance to bring price down as its open to any manufacturer or software developer thats right for the goals of One Laptop.

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When experts say corporate earnings and balance sheets are healthy this is because they are speaking of the situation in aggregate. Companies that benefitted from the commodities boom like the oil companies and companies like Microsoft and Apple have hundreds of billions of dollars, but this is very deceptive and misleading. About two thirds of nonfinancial companies, 1600 companies, carry a junk rating according to S&P. How does this compare with earlier periods? Its up 50% from the beginning of the last bust in 2000 and 40% higher than in 1990. Also Wall Street hugely expanded the market for speculative floating rate loans with $1.2 trillion raised like this in the last 4 years to 2007, according to Thomson Reuters. And the junk bonds are much junkier. Between 2003 and 2007 lenders financed $194 billion worth of bonds in the bottom tier of non investment grades with B- or below. And that was twice the amount of the previous 4 years. Histoically it should be noted 23% of bonds in this group default within 3 yearsafter they are issued vs just 3% in the top 3% of junk. Which companies are likely to default? Amusement park operator Six Flags, construction products maker Georgia Gulf, trucking company Swift Transportation, and sports equipment maker Easton-Bell Sports. Private Equity owners who have loaded the companies they own with debt also could default. This includes real estate brokerage operator Realogy, newspaper company Tribune and pizza chain Uno Holdings. S&P's estimate that the default rate among US junk rated borrowers will jump from 1% last year to 4% this year but other experts estimate it at around 8%. And if history is any guide it will probably be in double digits. After the 2 lending booms the one in late 1980's for LBO's and commercial real estate and for telcom and tech in the late 1990's default rates reached double digits. And with a recession one expert Fridson of research service FridsonVision estimates default rates of upto 16% for two consecutive years considering the huge amount of debt that has built up....

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Winkler says Nokia may make it but it looks more likely that Research In Motion may not make it through the current storm.

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Amazon profit was $92 million on sales of $23.18 billion for 2nd quarter 2015. Amazon shares went up by 17% with the profit announcement. By contrast Apple's results showed huge profits up 38% and improving margins, yet the stock price declined, possibly because of an expected slowdown in China sales which played a part in Apple's better results. This shows different ways analysts and investors look at tech companies. Amazon has growth of close to 20% for several years, with large investments in warehouses to speed shipping, and early investments in cloud computing. Amazon made operating profits of $703 million on sales increase of 25% to $13.8 billion for the 2nd quarter 2015 in the North American market. Overseas sales increased only by 3% to $7.6 billion showing operating loss of $19 million. Amazon plans to expand with a consumer retail site for Mexico. Sales growth in North America and in cloud computing are two bright spots. In cloud computing services Amazon Web Services increased sales 81% to $1.82 billion, higher than 1st quarter growth of 49%. Profit for 2nd quarter in cloud computing was $391 million, compared to $77 million in the same quarter in 2014. ...

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Stanford Prof. Robert Sutton on the advantages of continuous feedback over formal performance evaluations. Performance evaluations if not done right can do damage especially ones that are designed to promote individual excellence over teamwork and achieving goals as a team effort.

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Intel sees strong growth ahead in 2012-2013 with its new technological advances in chips for the Android phones, tablet PC's, and ultrabooks. The introduction of Windows 8 is expected to help PC sales.

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A 41 year old doctor, Vasant Narasimhan, is the new CEO of Novartis in Feb. 2018. Under Narasimhan R&D is expected to get prominence. His predecesor Mr. Jimenez's focus was on developing new prescription drugs. Dr. Narasimhan sees a shift to new technology, improving data science and digital capabilities to discover new medicines. This shift raises the possibility of a spinoff of the Alcon eyecare business and the Sandoz generics business.   Narasimhan joined Novartis in 2005 from consultancy Mckinsey & Co. and becoming head of R&D. He is expected to push a series of tech based initiatives including artificial intelligence to be used for new biomarkers showing effectiveness of treatment, new sensor technologies developed with Microsoft. This shift is a result of the earlier effort under previous CEO's to make up for the loss of patent protection on profitable drugs by diversifying into consumer healthcare. During the period under Jimenez Novartis share price performance was mediocre, rising 41% over 8 years. Its business is stagnant with a 1% increase in 2017 for revenues, the first increase in 3 years.   ...