Germany's economic growth is expected to slow significantly. The Deutsche Bundesbank says in its monthly bulletin: "All in all, a weakening of economic development is expected for the coming year, whereby an increase of economic output between 0.5% and 1% in the base scenario apeears realistic." Growth is expected to shift from exports to the domestic economy. The German federal government estimate is for 1% growth in 2012. The Institute for Economic Research, based in Cologne, also estimates growth in 2012 of 1%. This estimate is based on a survey of 2,600 German businesses.