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Beijing Doesn’t Want America to See Its Trade-War Pain
Tags: Current Focus, Early Warning, Managing Business, United States, China, Telecom, Computers, Automobiles, Consumer, Metals / Mining, Pharmaceutical, Housing / Real Estate, Capital Markets, The Economy, Inequality / Upward Mobility, Movement for Renewal of America, 2. Cost of Living Action, 3. Income and Wages Fairness, 5. Bringing Jobs and Factories to the US, 6. Capital Allocation for Infrastructure, Goods and Services, 10. Health- Body/Mind Wellbeing for All ,
China reduces US share of exports to 15% from 18% -yet with Vietnam made Chinese goods added in it is 21%. 15.8 million job loss for China from US fentanyl tariffs 2025 from one estimate. Chinese businesses are already feeling this, says WSJ. Exports represent 13% of China's GDP and China had redoubled its export effort after the property bubble burst. There are 2 drags on growth property crash and exports tariffs. China has less room for stimulus in 2025 and the government is focusing on bottom line thinking to prepare for hard times. Already companies are cutting shifts and laying off 10-30% of workers in garment, toys and other basic industries.
President Xi is preparing for a long struggle reminiscent of how Mao led China to fight the US forces under Gen. McArthur in the 1950's Korean War, says the WSJ.
In the past the state subsidy system worked to take huge share of new industries such as semiconductors, smartphones, solar, electric cars. This will be harder now with less money available to invest and drive out competition, and with the US and EU making their own products boosting their industrial and manufacturing base.
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