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$300 Billion in Write-Offs Is Predicted

New York Times Original article ›

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OECD released a study that shows losses in mortgage sector in the United States, the amount that banks and companies have to writeoff as losses could reach $300 billion. The study points out that only some of these losses are reflected so far and more will be seen when the mortgage rates reset upwards in May 2008. The study assumption is for a default rate on mortgages of 14% on subprime mortgages. Loans made to borrowers with poor credit amount to $125 billion. When you include losses on loans on Alt-A mortgages given to people with better credit the losses reach $300 billion. Banks are exposed to the subprime mortgage market through securities of housing loans and the writeoffs could be in excess of the actual amount on defaults as the writeoffs may be made in the next 6-12 months even though given time the housing market should stabilize. Over time the OECD sees the situation stabilizing after the worst of the losses are seen in 2008.


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