LyrArc Article Gist
 For the first time in 16 years a candidate is mounting a serious effort to challenge Mr. Erdogan's politics in Turkey. Muharrem Ince of the Republican People's Party says he favors reconciliation, end to discriminatory state hiring practices, end to politics of prestige, and a return to openness. Here a Republican party MP describes visits to parts of Turkey that were traditional and supported Mr. Erdogan as religious faithful since 2002, but which today are increasingly looking for a new path for Turkey. Mr. Ince has a flair in connecting to voters in a unique way, He is what he is- willing to debate Erdogan on television, visiting a opposition leader in prison, speaking out against the changes in Turkey under Erdogan and the failure of leaders in government to send their children to the Muslim schools they support. Inviting his sister to rallies where she wears a head scarf showing he also shares the same faith as a Muslim as Mr. Erdogan and does not put too much faith in symbols as he does in practice of humility. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
In all elections since 2002 Mr. Erdogan has prevailed except June 2015. Much of the support for Erdogan is a result of economic gains by Turkey including 70% rise in per capita incomes since 2003.  These gains are under threat now because of heavy dependence on foreign investment and the decline of the currency Lira from 2.15 to the dollar in 2014 to 4.50 to the dollar in June 2018, losing half its value since the election of 2014. Experts say recent developments in Turkey have dented investor confidence, with investors uncertain about Mr. Erdogan's plans. The presidential candidate most likely to face Erdogan in a runoff election if Mr. Erdogan does not get 50% of the vote on June 24 is Mr. Muharrem Ince. Ince says he sees a wind of change, saying Turks are "very tired of this one-man regime" and that unlike before the economic trouble is so severe and harder to cover. This time the opposition is better coordinated and the secular CHP Party which was once dominant after Ataturk, is running in an alliance with traditional Islamist party Saadet, and with new secular nationalist Iyi party. Erdogan has called early elections a year and half ahead of time because he sees the economic troubles are at an early stage and his AKP Party would do better now than in 18 months when the economy may be in worse shape than it is now. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Early elections in Turkey for parliament and the presidency called by president Erdogan are giving the opposition a chance. The economic growth during the early Erdogan years is beginning to fade with Turkey's rising debt levels, companies with large debt repayment, and the loss of half the value of Turkish currency Lira since 2014.  Muharram Ince of the Republican People's Party, CHP, is able to connect to religious voters from his secular base. The CHP has allied itself with the Islamist SP Party, and the nationalist party Iyi led by Meral Aksener. This alliance is now poised to challenge Mr. Erdogan in the coming election with a different combination of forces loosening Mr. Erdogan's grip on Islamist voters and nationalist voters, by bringing together the nationalist, secular and Islamist in a new way. The focus of this alliance is not dividing the country between Islamist and secular as in recent elections, but more along the lines of keeping some of the basic elements of democracy eroded in Mr. Erdogan's efforts to setup what the opposition leader Mr. Ince calls a "one man regime." As in Malaysia's recent election corruption is also an issue raised by the opposition. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Turkey's 2018 election results show Erdogan's party AKP winning 50.2% of the vote in parliamentary elections and the opposition CHP winning 30.6% of the vote. The Turkish lira had lost a quarter of its value since the beginning of 2018, leading to concern about the economic impact of policies that rely heavily on foreign investment and credit for economic growth.