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After months of putting new forces into eastern Ukraine the Russian offensive has made little progress, says this report in NYT. Beyond a high profile battle in Bakhmut there are few gains.

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The sectarian tensions between Sunnis and Shiites in the Middle East worsen as the Saudi government of the royal family executes a Shiite cleric, Baqr al-Nimr, involved in Arab Spring related protests in Saudi Arabia calling for change in the country to improve the conditions of minorities. The continuing war in Syria with the support of Iran, the involvement of Russia and bombing of Turkey related ethnic groups, worsen tensions in the Middle East. The Obama administration's efforts to work with Russia to bring a peaceful resolution to the Syrian civil war, cited by WP's correspondent Liz Sly, may have lost credibility with Sunni states because of Russia's bombing campaign in Syria and on the border with Turkey.

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A joint statement at the G-20 meetings in South Africa on November 20 signed by the leaders of Canada, Finland, France, Ireland, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Spain, the UK, Germany and Norway, and the European Union expresses concern about the 28 Point Plan put forward by US and Russian negotiators. It also says that it includes important elements that will be essential for aj ust and lasting peace. US president has set Nov 27 as a date for Ukraine to come to an agreement. 

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Interesting article on how Russians now view themselves and the world. Focus on Alexei Pushkov whose TV show Post Scriptum draws 6 million viewers each week and is increasingly critical of the US. Note that liberal radio station Echo Moskvy is also presenting material critical of the US. See the reference to this in Economist.

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The FSB, or Federal Security Service, and the power structure under president Putin, that includes former KGB or security and intelligence officers from the soviet era. In effect the power vacuum created after soviet collapse was filled by a power grab by individuals and interests able to do so from the soviet era. These used the security people from the soviet era. Then came Putin and brought together most of the former security and intelligence officers from the soviet era that he was closely associated with especially those he knew from his St. Petersburg days under the FSB, and filled the power vacuum left by the exit of the socalled oligarchs or those who had captured chunks of the economic anf business interests. These economic and business interests were now brought back into government control.to serve what the former soviet era officials and officers see as the interest of the country and the public. See the account in the Economist about this August 25, 2007, which describes the origins and influence of the FSB. The above account is of differences among the different security officers, as some of them are engaged in business and economic interests that they feel are threatened. ...

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Efforts to develop the next generation Ukrainian aircraft industry from its current moribund state by discarding the old Soviet model. Attracting new foreign investment alongside state investment, modern management, preserving intellectual property rights, and looking for contracts across Europe, is critical for future development. Ukraine has a history of technology development and design in the aircraft industry, which makes this industry a good candidate for export revenues. The first mass produced helicopter was made in the U.S. and used a Sikorsky design in 1936. Igor Sikorsky is from Kiev, Ukraine, and immigrated to the U.S. in 1919, as Soviets took control of Russia. His son was a vice president of United Technologies Sikorsky helicopter division. (Wikipedia). MacFarquhar describes this industry in its new form at its early beginnings- a decade from now the industry under good management could provide large export revenues. Many of the old Soviet auto plants also developed in this direction with investments and technology from companies such as Renault, GM and others, helping revive the industry. There are no spheres of influence in modern industry- Ukraine, Russia, Europe, and the U.S., all benefit from openness to new technology and investment, which improve the economy and living standards. ...

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The Soviet threat actually receded after 1964 when Brezhnev became head of Soviet Union till 1982. During that period in the 1960's till today the face of NATO as today was from a series of heads of governments of Dutch Stikker in mid 1960's or other small European states such as Norway Stoltenberg and Rutte Netherlands again in 2025. It could be said that none of these leaders  of small EU countries represented US interests- or even European interests- a point the DJT administration is trying to make. First NATO head UK's Hastings Ismay's NATO for "keeping the Russians out, the Americans in and the Germans down" is more British Imperial policy of 1904 -1940's as the Indian Viceroy's Assistant, not US policy or in America's or even Europe's interest in 2025. It hurt the US in Venezuela as Russia propped up a regime which led to millions of refugees entering the US illegally. And it hurt Europe as Russia propped up the Syrian regime with millions of refugees entering Germany and destabilizing its political structure. Going back if a new defense institution was set up to replace NATO by the Europeans in 1970's this would have been the right step which would have not led to Russia propping up regimes in the Americas or the Middle East. A goal that is being discussed with Russia by the DJT administration to refocus American efforts in a new direction and pause not just the Ukraine war but also put the US  and Russia in a new direction with the new competition from 3 billion people in China and India changing everything we know about the world. ...

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It is early July 2020 and U.S. coronavirus cases on July 10 are up to 63,000 with a surge in Texas, Arizona, Florida and California. New evidence suggests that about half of coronavirus cases may come from transmission by individuals who yet have no symptoms and don't know they have the virus. India is the other hotspot with close to 800,000 cases, 26,000 cases on July 10 and deaths at 21,000. Russia is the other hotspot with over 700,000 cases, 11,000 deaths.

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With America's 11th aid package to Ukraine what are America's goals in Ukraine? "I want be clear about the aims of the United States in these efforts" says president Biden in this extremely important article on June 1 in the New York Times. "It is not the ouster of president Putin."  "It is not to inflict pain on Russia." "We want to see a democratic, independent, sovereign Ukraine with the means to deter aggression and defend itself."

"We are sending a significant amount of weaponry and ammunition so that it can fight on the battlefield and be in the strongest possible position at the negotiating table." As Mr. Zelensky has said "this war will only definitively end with diplomacy."

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Some of the gentlemanly aspects of the game going back to the 50's and 60's, and 70's, including courtesy and sportsmanship are lost as media hypes winning and losing at the US Open Tennis at Forest Hills. Always looking for television moments and attention getting the media enlarges the slightest faults of players, much more than players themselves who go through the game focused on their game skills. A game between Bonzi of a France and Medvedev of Russia in 5 sets which Bonzi won is yet another example. Late night games with crowds are not new to the game. Ilie Nastase and Rod Laver played many late night games with crowds keen to see the skills of the players not focused on winners and losers in the 1970's.

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DW.com looks at the increasing demand for Indonesian coal from Germany and other European nations, and the surge in coal prices. There is also a surge in demand of LNG from Malaysia. Germany is now the largest destination for Indonesian coal after China and India. The prohibition of Russian coal by the EU went into effect in August 2022.

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The bursting of the Kakhovka dam leaves the Dnipro river uncrossable and shifts the Ukraine counteroffensive away from the Kherson region and into areas that focus on the land bridge to Crimea. Russian forces in the Kherson region may be moved to other areas. WSJ shows the counteroffensive in different maps of the area around the Sea of Azov.