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China's economy is feeling the effects of a sharp slowdown of the economy with covid lockdowns in 2022 and the Ukraine crisis undermining confidence in China. Internal divisions on president Xi's policies of allying with Russia on Ukraine are shown in this report by the WSJ. China faces a collapse of its relationship with the US and Europe says the WSJ. With it China's economic growth faces a sharp slowdown.  From 18% at the beginning of 2021 economic growth has slowed down to 4% in fourth quarter of 2021. The current situation in Ukraine and Mr. Xi's response create risks of collateral damage for Chinese manufacturers with weakening global demand, says the WSJ. Deng Xiaoping's policy of opening China which happened for the last 40 years is being reversed with Mr. Xi's policies and the stance taken by the Biden administration is supported by the US Congress by both Republicans and Democrats.  This WSJ report points out that premier Li Keqiang has pointed to the risks China is facing in somber tones calling the external environment for China in 2022 "more complex and severe." At the same time Hu Wei a senior adviser to the State Council stirred up discussion online with an article about Mr. Xi's pro-Russian policy, saying "China can't be tied to Putin and the ties need to be cut off as soon as possible."  ...

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After a decade of austerity and the financial crisis of overextended banks, the deep recession starting in 2009, and worsening inequality with lack of infrastructure development, Britain finally shifts to larger government spending. The spending planned by Labour and Conservative parties in Britain charts a different future for health, education and infrastructure development from that of the last decade. The public supports this. Conservatives plan $128 billion of new spending, Labour party plans to spend even more. This comes after centre right parties such as the Republicans under Mr. Trump in the U.S. shifted to heavy spending on infrastructure. The Democrats under Obama failed to push for higher spending in traditional working class areas leaving open a gap that Mr. Trump has since used to attract working class Democrats to his side. In Britain Labour under Corbyn has pushed for larger spending on infrastructure, health and education. This is setting a new trend. This report in the WSJ shows that in this situation it is new politicians who replaced earlier politicians in their parties- Mr. Trump displacing Bush, Johnson displacing Cameron and May, Corbyn and McDonnell displacing Blair and Brown, that are initiating thsi trend. The experts at the IMF and the central banks are only now beginning to say this is a good idea. For a decade the mantra of economic experts at these central banks was in favor of austerity, even in the face of massive misallocation in capital markets.   ...

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Bide meets British prime minister Starmer in Wasnhington as Britain is ready to approve use of its long range missile systems inside Russia. This comes as Russia is about to gain control of the Donetsk region. Republicans other than Mr. Trump and his supporters are for stronger support to Ukraine following US policy of opposing invasion to achieve military goals since 1900 against the Japanese in China and the Vietnam War was fought on the same basis in the 1960's considering the South Vietnamese state as an independent republic, just  invaded by the north, by North Vietnam, just as the US had done in the Korean War between North and South Korea. In the Vietnam War nationalism played apart with the Vietnamese nationalism prevailing by 1970. Russians see Kiev as the origin of the Russian State in the 9th century, and eastern region of Donetsk as Russian if western Ukraine seeks to join NATO and EU. Britain has opposed Russia since 1750 as it saw Russia as the threat to an Empire it was building in South Asia, in India that financially supported its Empire worldwide for 200 years till about 1950. Britain engaged in the Crimean War against Russia so that along with the French it could control Turkey and its Ottoman states in the Arab Middle East under the guise of trade. This effort was pushed back by Kemal Ataturk in the 1920's when he founded the modern state of Turkey in Ankara. ...

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Beaverbook type media magnates from the 1900-1950's period managed events in Britain with control over newspapers in print. The wars of the 20th century had much involvement by these media magnates who could drive up passions and move Britain in different directions based on the whims and interests of the magnate, indifferent to the welfare and interests of the British people. Republicans and Democrats, patriots and well meaning citizens, need to encourage a level of literacy in the US that enables informed decisions. Lyrarc.com is about knowledge, about a form of cultural literacy that is world knowledge, that helps millions build educated and informed mindsets that shapes better lives and better societies in the spirit that George Washington and Jefferson laid the foundations for this Nation. This type of influence came to the US through Australia and Britain. It has led to Brexit in Britain and to a volatile political situation in America. America is only beginning to add up the costs and find away out of this morass with its democracy and its founders Washington and Jefferson's intent and effort protected following the long struggle with Britain in the 18th century, the Civil War fought under Lincoln that abolished the plantation system in the South, and the two Wars under Wilson and FDR that restored faith in the United States of America Washington and Jefferson created for new generations and for the World.   ...

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Krugman points out that the prospects for the economy while improving in 2011, will acutally be worse off in 2012 than in the absence of the the Obama tax cut deal with Republicans. He points to the prospect of another bad deal nearer the elections. His main concern is that the Bush tax cuts will become permanent under this deal because this continues the practice of stringing things along, with the hugely negative impact on the deficit.

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David Brooks on the need for Obama to take a different approach of a dealmaker to build an agreement by finding areas of common thinking between Republicans and Democrats, and negotiate on middle ground with imaginative solutions. He points to the need to keep a distance from the political-entertainment complex, the Tea Party and the Left-Wing, so that prudence in managing the nations finances and building a strong middle class economy with investments in education, infrastructure and human potential prevails over futile ideological battles.

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Eleven members of the panel on the US Deficit Commisssion supported the plan, and seven opposed it, in a 11-7 vote. The panel members supporting it include Senator Durbin, Senator Coburn, Senator Crapo, Senator Gregg, and Senator Conrad. In the House the following House members voted against it- Rep. Becerra, Schakowsky, Camp, Hensarling, Paul Ryan. The House Democrats opposed it because of the changes to Social Security, and the House Republicans opposed it because they said the report did not tackle federal health-care spending sufficiently.

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The Trump administration's early proposal for NAFTA moves away from campaign pledges to completely renegotiate the treaty, instead taking the approach of working to improve the U.S. trade position in relation to Mexico and Canada. It includes seven objectives for tougher rules for labor and the environment favored by Democrats in Congress, and it also has support from Republicans with its effort to update NAFTA for changes in technology and in other areas since the accord was signed during the Clinton administration. The area in which U.S. and Mexican business are wary is one in which the Trump administration still seeks to keep the option of imposing protective tariffs, and a border-adjusted tax to level playing field for differences in taxes, as well as other measures to protect American jobs and interests. Because any renegotiated NAFTA also has to pass both houses of Congress this proposal took into account the different constituencies and interests for this issue. Robert Lighthizer, trade representative under president Reagan is likely to become the next U.S. Trade Representative and lead negotiator. We first profiled Lighthizer in a group in Lyrarc for pointing to the need for a level playing field in trade. As early as 2010 Lighthizer argued in op-ed articles that globalization and trade practices should ensure a level playing field for the U.S., and was covered in Lyrarc. ...

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A lot of intense give and take to reconcile the House and Senate versions of the Stimulus bill, and the resulting outcome of a $789 billion stimulus bill. It includes about $70 billion relief for taxpayers from the alternative minumum tax in 2009, and has reductions in investments in health care, education, school renovations and other items of spending. A bipartisan group of Senators led by Democrat Ben Nelson of Nebraska played a critical role in the final review, keeping the stimulus closer to $700 billion.

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Krugman points out that a centrist solution is not the panacea it sounds. A lot depends on what it is and what is seen as centrist, if it really is centrist, and if it makes sense. A centrist proposal that leaves out tax expenditures but is different from the positions staked out by the factions on both sides of the political spectrum, and sounds moderate may not be the right solution.

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Democrats in rethink mode for transgender and men in women's sports June 2025. There is a sense that Democrats have fallen out of sync with the Nation. Most polls show Americans favor banning transgender for minors and banning men in women's sports. As many as 89% of Republicans and 74% of Independents, 44% of Democrats believe sex is made at birth. On transgender there is strong feeling that this is something that is a huge and unnecessary distraction from the major issues of jobs, inflation, hunger, poverty, dying infrastructure, and defense. And that no change should be made to traditional ways of living.

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This article by Horowitz in the NYT shows some of the criticism leveled against the Clintons and how they were out of touch with the white working class voters who have drifted to Mr. Trump.  It may be overdone in that not all white working class voters have drifted to Trump, and a Gallup survey has shown Trump supporters to be some white working class but also many from other groups in society, and many older less educated voters.  Trade Unions have played a large role in this election, and workers in manufacturing have voted Democratic in midwestern states such as Wisconsin, Michigan and Illinois. Horowitz also ignores some points in this campaign such as when Bill Clinton was adept at openly stating that he agreed with people who said Obamacare had increased premiums, and that some of the Obamacare program needed to be fixed. This took some of the criticism of Republicans on Obamacare and turned this around. He also showed a better understanding at times of the plight of working class people just from his habit of listening and thinking about how this affects ordinary people, a skill he has even to this day. A 2014 NBC/WSJ poll showed Bill Clinton with a 56 percent favorability rating, which is higher than president Obama, and exceeded only by Michelle Obama at 64 percent. ...

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Concern that the $1.6 trillion aid package could become a bailout for business delayed passage in U.S. Congress, with Republicans trying to allay these concerns. The legislation in Congress would offer $350 billion for small business loans that may be fogiven if firms use them to keep workers on payroll and $500 billion to allow the Treasury Secretary to make loans, loan guarantees or investments to support businesses, states or municipalities. Democrats want less power over the money given to the Treasury Secretary and for money to be directly allocated to the states. The legislation also includes $200 billion for unemployment insurance, and direct payments to households estimated at $300 billion.  Another $242 billion includes appropriations, including money for hospitals and protective gear.  The one time payment to households is $1200 per person and $500 per child, with payments stopping at a specific income level. Unemployment assistane will now be given for 36 weeks instead of 26 weeks. These two items have universal support. It is the $500 billion for businesses with authority given to the Treasury Secretary that is the controversial part. Not so much the money given to businesses and required to go to payroll as the money to businesses in loans and other action with the Treasury Secretary making the decision. ...

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WSJ analysis shows 57%of people migrating into South Carolina are Republicans. A similar situation exists in Florida and Texas where a majority of people migrating are Republicans. 

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Among the strange stories around the now noisy candidacy of Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016 is this one in the WSJ.

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The virtues of bipartisan support for the elected President in achieving the goals in his mandate from the people. The Gingrich effort during the Clinton Presidency and the Cantor effort in Congress for Republicans to vote against the Stimulus Plan, do not follow the pattern of bipartisan support for the President that has been the usual experience. There are dangers in this type of action especially at a time like this with high unemployment, rising foreclosures, and global financial crisis, and it appears to have been a poorly thought out response.

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Perino, the White House spokewoman says the automaker's plight won't be a blight on President Bush's legacy, such is the mood at the White House and among Republicans. But reading the comments of readers on this piece and next to it. people of all political views oppose helping the automakers so its a popular stand, and practically all think the management and boards has to go and the union contracts have to go so the depth of feeling about this issue is real. Most everyone sees the fault as Detroit auto companies own fault.

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This NYT editorial describes the use of Mr. Manafort telling the Republican National Committee that Trump was only "playing a part," as simply a Pygmalion project like that of Mr. Higgins. It says on Mr. Trump's comments about Mexicans and Muslims- Mr. Trump describes as toned down now, but something he has not denied. This makes him unfit for the presidency, says NYT.

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The Obama U.S. budget proposal for 2015 includes $70 billion for highway construction to be paid for with taxes on the overseas earnings of major corporations. It also includes $76 billion for early childhood education financed by higher taxes on tobacco. The budget proposal is more of a Democratic party wish list and will be followed by a House Republican budget for 2015.

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Former Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, has called for fresh thinking in U.S. foreign policy and foreign engagements after the wars in Iran and Afghanistan cost the U.S. about one trillion dollars. He says the U.S. should avoid single issue engagement, get the participation of other countries, and increase common ground on a host of issues which concern most of the major nations in the world. This is why we have a G-20 and not a G-8, says Hagel. This policy also helps the U.S. by having other countries in Europe, Asia and the Middle East take up some of the responsibilities that would otherwise fall disproportionately on the U.S., and lets the U.S. devote attention to strengthening the domestic economy which underpins strength in world affairs. On Iran he sees continuing talks as the better approach to coming up with a solution, for which he has come under criticism from some Republicans.