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This DW.com video shows the daily life of a train conductor on Ukraine Railways taking trains into Dnipro in central Ukraine to take refugees to the western part of the country. Ukraine Railways has 230,000 employees and all are at work for long hours helping refugees in packed trains, mostly women and children, make their way to safety in the western parts of the country, in Poland and other parts of Eastern Europe. 

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Online classes 90 miles from Srinagar across the Jhelum river in Kashmir in a village of 650 households during the pandemic. The online classes are downloaded from the Education Department and teachers meet students for the classes in the mountains. Children study, socialize and log in for exams. The struggle to get an education during the pandemic goes on for children in Kashmir just as it does in other parts of the world.

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Problems that are emerging as the AfD takes up role of Opposition in legislatures at the state level in Hesse, Thuringia and Bavaria. Finding proactive solutions to immigration, cost of living concerns and investing in infrastructure, in education, healthcare, childcare  that would improve the lives of people would go a long way to strengthening democracy at the local and state level in all parts of Germany with the help of the federal government.

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Timiraos and Shin provide more evidence in the WSJ that the hopes for generating more revenues from a huge tax cut have proven illusory in the past under Reagan and Bush. The question is whether the tax cuts can make up for the revenue lost through economic growth. In the short term there is a spurt of growth but in the long term this has left a revenue shortfall paid for by higher taxes later on.

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Savings for China and Japan by increasing oil imports at low prices could amount to about 1% of the economy for each country. Japan imports of oil are one tenth of total imports, and amount to $75 billion. At prices half of what they were before coronavirus the savings are about $40 billion a year. This will offset some of the drop in economic growth of about 3% in the year ending March 2021.

For countries where the coronavirus has been relatively controlled with manufacturing and infrastructure projects ready to go ahead the benefit is greatest. China expects to see about 7% decline in GDP in the first quarter resulting in minimal growth for the year as long as export markets in the U.S. and Europe remain weak. For India it depends on how long the lockdown continues and how quickly economic activity can resume under new conditions. 

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The Indian Air Force reaches a new milestone with 1000 heavy lift sorties in the fight against the coronavirus surge in India in May 2021. This does not include the medium lift sorties. Planes include the C17 Globemaster and the Ilyushin 76. About 131 of these long flights were done from overseas.

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The failure of the vaccination drive in Africa is the subject of this report in the NYT. Africa's 1.2 billion people lag far behind the rest of the world in 2021. South America has accelerated its vaccination drive and with Europe is leading in vaccinations in July 2021. 

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Tsai Ing-Wen is elected president of Taiwan by a landslide in the Jan. 2016 election. Tsai, leader of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was elected with 56 percent of the vote, compared to 31 percent for the Koumintang candidate Eric Chu. The DPP won 68 seats out of 113 in Taiwan's parliament. Tsai told a news conference about Taiwan- China relations - "I also want to emphasize that both sides have a responsibility to find mutually acceptable means of interaction that are based on dignity and reciprocity."

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A $37 billion deal over 15-20 years for Australian LNG between Woodside Energy, Royal Dutch Shell and PetroChina, China's biggest oil and gas company. The is shows a shift to natural gas in the urban coastline areas of China such as Shenzen and Shanghai, a shift away from the dirter but cheaper coal based fuels as urban incomes rise and preferences change.

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Fed chairman Bernanke estimates the impact of "Operation Twist," will be to bring down long term rates by about 20 basis points, or one fifth of a percentage point. This he said is equivalent to reducing the Fed's benchmark short term rates by half a point. The Fed chairman said he is not ruling out expanding the Fed's portfolio by buying securities, but has no immediate plans for this action.

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The supply chain chaos that is not good for American or European companies is shown here and how it is good only for warehouses that store these products for long periods. In March just 7% of the sea shipments from Asia to North America arrived on time, for Europe this was just 6%. This WSJ report says even big companies can expect to pay 5 times the freight rate than in 2019. New trouble looms in the form of more lockdowns in China with its zero covid policy and wage negotiations with dockworkers in Los Angeles and Long Beach. Stockpiling is one way to ensure availability which means additional costs. Vacancy rates for logistics property are at 4% in the US and 3.5% in Europe. All this points to the need for reshoring and bringing manufacturing back home. Companies need to invest $1 trillion over 5 years to relocate all foreign manufacturing based in China that is for markets in US, Europe and other parts of the world. As companies make plans for the shift to bring manufacturing back home, half the money going into real estate is still going to logistics properties and industrial logistics in the meantime, says this WSJ report ...

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Compared to 1971 Bangladesh has come a long, long way, on its 50th anniversary. From 80% of the population struggling with extreme poverty in 1971, Bangladesh now produces enough food for its 167 million population. The economy is only 13% agriculture with most of GDP coming from industrial production and services. Girls education is remarkable. 98% of children have attended primary school and there are more girls in secondary schools than boys. Norwegians and other European observers who visited Bangladesh in 1970's compare the situation with today and are astonished says this report in DW.com. By 2030 the GDP of $409 billion is expected to double, bringing the country close to 1 trillion dollar economy. The garment industry is the second largest after China, with $35 billion a year in exports. It has changed life of women in Bangladesh, employing 4 million people. Remittances from overseas bring in $24.7 billion for 2021. Overall target for exports is $51 billion for 2022. Problems include the rural urban divide with development concentrated in Dhaka and Chittagong, and increased urban poverty. And despite rise in number of children and girls in school the quality of education for a skilled workforce remains poor, says this report in DW.com ...

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Senay Boztas writes from Amsterdam, Netherlands, that the strict lockdown in the Netherlands is a result of a badly handled coronavirus policy response. The Dutch experience is offered as a lesson other countries can learn from. It too long to form a government after Dutch elections in March, 271 days so that it took too long to have a policy response. When a policy response was made it faltered badly with too relaxed a lifting of restrictions without essential distancing and mask use. Restrictions at super spreader events at night clubs and stadiums were lifted all at once. The government failed to develop a policy of anticipating the next wave from variants by planning early for a booster campaign. (Israel is already into its fourth booster shot as reported in NYT).  The result is that instead of a calibrated response, because infections make up 15% of tests, Netherlands is in a sharp lockdown. A policy of prime minister Rutte that put too much into the idea of freedoms with different meanings in the west calling Holland a "slightly anarchistic country that doesn't need a preachy government," rejected vaccine mandate of any kind as in France and Austria for public transport and restaurants.   ...

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Importance of hearing aids and using ear plugs near loud noises in avoiding early dementia. Other actions to prevent early dementia are wearing helmets to protect from brain injury, getting vision checked, engage your core when sitting and getting every 20 minutes, long walks or hikes, checking cholesterol, maintaining good sleep habits. The expression "use it or lose it" is key if vision, hearing, body movement is not used one loses it and with it the paths to social connections that the brain needs for stimulating its function. Maintaining good sleep and food, exercise habits shows that overall health has much to do with mental health.

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Russian offers for settlement of Ukraine conflict in 2025 described as capitulation in the UK's Guardian- all of the eastern Donbass region and Crimea ceded to Russia, limits on its army and its long range weapons, leaving it too weak to defend itself. The UK, France oppose it. The new German government of CDU's Merz is increasing Germany's defense capabilities to shoulder the burden of defence in the EU in 2025-2026. Under this situation and with presure within the Republican party on DJT, it is unlikely that such a capitulation or agreement is likely to have a chance  for agreement. It is a restatement of Russian proposals in 2022.

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The Obama tax deal pushes tough decisions on spending into the future. It will put more money in people's pockets and as a result give a short term boost. Experts do not see long term benefits to the economy. It does not do what spending on much needed infrastructure and investment in other parts of the economy would do to give a long term lift to the economy.

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Russell Gold's interview with Shell CEO, Jack Voser. Voser describes his perspective on the global oil situation in the next three decades with a doubling of demand in 40 years, a third of which would come from renewables and 10% from nuclear, the rest from fossil fuels. Natural gas plays a large role in Shell's future strategies. Voser sees the potential of China's shale gas supplies being larger than the U.S., with clearer energy policies than the U.S. The cost of producing China's shale gas will be higher because of complex geology. He sees the potential for the reindustrializing of the U.S. midwest with the abundant shale gas supplies, bringing back jobs that were exported to other countries. Clear standards and regulations are needed to make investments. He thinks it will be very unusual if the U.S. did not grasp this opportunity. Shell's operations generate $470 billion in revenues and its capital budget for 2012 was $32 billion, providing enormous scale and requiring careful planning for long term projects in Australia, Africa, Canada and the Middle East....

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Everybody ought to be spending some time standing and walking even with the laptop in hand, as its the worst thing to do to sit with the laptop for long periods of time. That constitutes sedentary activity which doesn't do much for healthy living. WSJ has turned this into a comic strip.

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Movies and exceptional acting performances in 2013 include Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine by Sony Pictures Classics, "Her" with Joaquin Phoenix, Amy Adams and Scarlett Johansson, Amy Adams in "American Hustle," James Gandolfini and Julia Louis-Dreyfus in "Enough Said," Matthew McConaughey in "Dallas Buyer's Club," Bruce Dern in "Nebraska," Idris Elba in "Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom."

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With the 15% mandated cuts to energy use in the European Union countries and the shutoff of Russian gas supplies, three remaining German nuclear plants can be run for an extended period to take off some of the strain on the German economy. Sentiment for nuclear power is changing in Germany. A Spiegel opinion poll is cited in this WSJ editorial that shows 78% of Germans favor keeping the three remaining nuclear plants operating till summer 2023, and 67% say it is a good idea to keep them running for 5 years.  The issues of nuclear vs solar, or coal and gas vs solar is not a yes or no proposition anymore as shown in the negotiated measures to allow some coal and gas operations in the US in the Biden Climate Change bill that passed the US Senate on August 7, 2022. This is not merely a concession to a fossil fuel dependent state (West Virginia) and Senator Manchin, this is a realization that the transition can be better managed economically and the same results for renewable energy and climate change emissions goals can be met with a carefully planned  strategy that allows for LNG exports to Europe, and fossil fuel production flexibility in the face of the embargo on Russian fossil fuel supplies. ...

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Petrilli of the Fordham Institute calls it a national emergency. Former NY Mayor calls it "a five alarm fire with no elected officials responding," others call it a long education Covid. Two thirds of 4th graders cannot pass the ACT reading comprehension test in 2022 is a reflection of the ability to read and write at all grade levels. A separate look at Readers Letters in NYT on the Petrilli article is also shown on this page.

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Michael Boskin, the elder president Bush's chairman of the Council of Economc Advisors was instrumental in setting up the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Here he points to the dire need to open up trade between India and Pakistan. Trade today between the two countries is $2.7 billion. Under trade models Boskin says the trade could be 20 times larger, about $50 billion. This would increase benefits and wages in both countries and is badly needed and long overdue.

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The high cost of housing as affluent people from the northeast moved into southern Florida during the pandemic doubling the price of housing by 2024, is covered in this report in WSJ. This is pushing average Floridans making about $66,000 to leave the state or stay in far flung suburbs with long commutes over 2 hours a day. Unemployment at 2.7% is low yet making it in Florida and affording pricey housing is a struggle for many Florida residents.

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Institutional investors such as Canada Pension Board protest a move by Gassled, Norwegian gas pipeline company, to cut rates it charges Statoil for gas transport to points in Europe by 90%. This cuts long term return by half say institutional investors, who plan legal action.