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Norris provides an insightful account into the research and thinking of Janet Yellen, the new chairwoman of the U.S. Federal Reserve. In her research work Fed chairwoman Yellen has placed importance on the long term unemployment rate and the difficulties workers unemployed for long period have in finding work. This is likely to determine Fed policy on interest rates as the unemployment rate inches closer to the Fed target of 6.5% set by Bernanke in Dec. 2012. Norris points out the emphasis Yelen has placed on this in speeches since being nominated to succeed Ben Bernanke at the Fed. In a recent speech Yellen emphasized that in the recession of the early 1980's median time unemployed people said they were unemployed was 12 weeks, which jumped to 25 weeks for about 6 months in 2010 and is at 17 weeks in the most recent jobs report. Another indicator Yellen has emphasized is labor's share of income in the nonfinancial corporate sector which remained between 66% and 61% from 1950 to early 2000's. This fell below 60% in 2005 and is at 57.1% barely budging from the 2011 figure. In papers written with George Ackerloff, Yellen has advanced the "fair-wage hypothesis," that workers do not do as good a job when wages are held down. Their research also shows its normal for workers in periods of recession to hold out against the lower salaries offered during recession periods, because these workers tend to fall behind newer workers hired with better wages later when the economy recovers. At the confirmation hearing Yellen made it clear that the Fed would do all it can to help the long term unemployed by creating a stronger job market, a job market where these workers would be drawn into work and employers provide job training as well as opportunities for advancement....

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Case-Shiller home price index shows 18.5 % drop year over year for December 2009, for single family homes in 20 major metropolitan areas. The Conference Board Index for consumer confidence dropped from 37.4 in January 2009 to 25 in February 2009. Of the 5000 households surveyed more 90% said they expected conditions would be the same or worse in the next 6 months. The Obama $275 billion plan for homeowners does not address the weakest cities in the market which are in places like Phoenix, Las Vegas, and much of Florida and Southern California, where prices have fallen 40% or more from their peak. This is because mortgages that are under water are not included, these are mortgages where more is owed on the house than the house is worth, and is ocurring faster in places where price declines are the steepest. One expert Martin Feldstein who is also on the Obama advisory panel has insisted since early 2008 that these homeowners under water have no rational incentive to continue making payments. What this does is to make consumers to postpone purchases like autos and hold back or cut back on all kinds of spending. In this global economy this means places like China's coastal regions which export to the US get hit hard and in turn exporters to china like Germany also get hit hard as what starts in the USA gets passed on theough the global economy from one region to another. Which also means US exports to Asian and other emerging market countries of tech goods and aircraft are in turn hit hard. As Republicans and Democrats follow their ideological leanings they cancel each other out in the debate, as Prof. Potter at Harvard an expert on economic strategy points out in a link, resulting in necessary actions not being taken and no clear direction. ...

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Smaller biotech firms typically have products in the development stage and are not making money. Now they are facing increasing financial hardship. Even in good times except for a few names like Genentech and Amgen, the others are struggling. They have a hard time raising money, and its coming at a higher price, 90% of equity instead of 50% like before for 5 or 10 or 20 million dollars. Older shareholders are diluted with new capital raised. And some are selling out. Others are going into bankruptcy liquidation, after wrenching periods of firing most of the staff. Even blue chip firms like Helicos of Cambridge, Massachusetts, which went public in 2007, and has backing of advisors like Steven Chu, the Nobel Prize laureate, are in trouble; with its DNA reader designed to produce custom tailored cancer treatments at $1 million a piece. It has not booked a sale, faces competition from a reader developed by two companies, Roche and Illumina of San Diego. It almost ran out of cash last year. Helicos shares $18 last year, are at 54 cents. According to Burrill and Company, a venture capital concern, 100 of the publicly traded biotechs this year may be lost as companies fail or get taken over. 120 of the 360 publicly traded biotechs have less than 6 months cash left, compared with 12 a year ago, says Burrill. Already 10 have declared bankruptcy according to Biotechnology Industry Organization. BIO is asking Congress to step in and for the government through the National Institutes of Health to provide matches for private investment in small startups with promising treatments. All this is happening as companies are spending large sums for mergers like the Pfizer Wyeth merger. ...

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Dubai's sewage system is not keeping up with the rest of the sewage system. For homes not connected to the sewage system the sewage is transferred by tanker trucks and sometimes tanker trucks will unload the sewage on desolate streets outside of town. Also treated sewage water is used in sprinklers in public parks in Dubai but this water may ot be healthy or have a bad odor so some residents ask their children to stay inside when the sprinklers go on. So where is the $300 billion thats supposedly going to be spent in the next 10 yeas and where is the money thats being spent now going for something as basic as sewage systems to be inadequately funded and tackled? It also shows the imbalances in development that go on side by side in the developig countries. In the rush for western style living a lot of other things may be happening or neglected. In China basic labor rights, food and drug safety, and pollution of the nation's water system, and contamination hazards were left untackled or ignored as a lot of money went into new infrastructure and western style living for those able to acquire it in the cities. Thus the substandard housing with neglect of safety inspections, supply of shoddy materials for building and the corruption which made a lot of this possible, especially painful when it came to collapsed school buildings in the Sichuan earthquake, is a recent reminder of these imbalances in the developing countries middle classes making a rush to acquire western standards of living. In Dubai sewage is rising by 25% a year and one sewage plant that is 30 years old is all that Dubai has to meet its expanding sewage needs!!!...

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Musharraf's efforts at economic growth were not broad enough or deep enough to create a measurable difference in the lives of the Pakistani people. And improvements in industry and agriculture may have been shallow compared to the potential. The wars or conflicts one or the other with India and the failure of political leaders may have been too big a distraction to achieve the significant effort needed to make a serious improvement in the lives of ordinary people and grow the middle class. Inflation is up by 24% year to year in July and rising, which is really an intolerable burden in a poor developing country. Now what little progress was made in Pakistan for the lives of ordinary people and the middle class is unraveling in the face of increase in the price of food, and fuel. And the the fall in the value of the Pakistan ruppee to Rs 75 for one American dollar, a 24% decline in value since January 2008 in only 8 months, shows a serious loss of confidence in the economy. The fall in the foreign exchange reserves is striking from $16 billion in November to $9.92 billion at this time. Pakistan appears to be heading in the direction of a serious refocussing of its economy, its politics, its educational institutions, and government and private industry, and its military in the direction of improving the lives of ordinary people, building industry and agriculture and building its infrastructure. If left unattended this crisis can only get worse and none of the past experience the old military approaches, the religious politics, the corruption in politics, the old political slogans, the conflict building with India, is going to be of much help in tackling the real day to day problems of improvement in industry, agriculture, infrastructure, and building better lives....

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The U.S. initial jobless claims for unemployment estimate for March 21 is about 3 million. How to keep layoffs of workers to a minimum and keep businesses from closing. These are the questions lawmakers and governments are addressing today. The British, Dutch and Denmark governments have plans to pick up most of the wage bill for businesses, that do not layoff employees, for as long as 3 months, and if needed longer. The U.S. government has a similar plan. Of the $1.6 trillion aid package being discussed in the U.S. Congress, $350 billion is allocated as loans to businesses which may be forgiven if used for payroll for workers.  The idea is to build a safety net quickly for workers. The U.S. plan is to give families direct aid of $1200 per person and $500 per child with checks sent to each home. A separate allocation in the package increases unemployment insurance from 26 weeks to 39 weeks. The direct aid to large industries and business is a way for these companies to avoid layoffs. Direct aid should be based on how much companies do to retain employees, a move that is in the interest of large companies which will need to have experienced employees once the situation returns to normal by the third or fourth quarters of 2020. This will also help companies return to normal activity quickly. ...

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More than 50% of Americans believe the government should do more to solve problems. According to a recent Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll by a margin of 53% to 42% Americans want government to "do more to solve problems". But there is lack of confidence in Congress and in companies. According to the National Opinion Research Center only a little more than 10% of the people have a great deal of confidence in Congress and only a little less than 20% have a great deal of confidence in major companies. So the regulation it is felt is better setup through expert packed commissions.

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The UN Security Council passes a resolution for initiating a peace process for Syria 15-0. Many differences remain to be resolved between Russia and the U.S., the Saudis do not see the process to be workable, Iran sees itself retaining influence in Syria, and the Russian bombing campaign in Syria, tensions between Russia and Turkey, create further complications for the process to be effective.

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Patterns of decline or increase of foreign born population in the USA by country in 2008 vs. 2007 to gauge how immigration patterns are affected by the global financial crisis. There were over 325,000 fewer people from Mexico and 120,000 more people from India. There are about 38 million foreign born people in the US with 1.6 million from India, and 11 million from Mexico.

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Dean Santiago Iniguez de Onzono of the IE Business School in Madrid, says the humanities and knowledge of history helps students be reflective, and have a better understanding of other countries and cultures. IE Business School sees itself as a bridge between Europe and Latin America. He points to the need for small groups and smaller classes for maximum personal interaction in business education.

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Ford CFO Lewis Booth says that Ford is serious about the $34.3 billion in debt on its balance sheet and is working on that, even as the situation improves. Ford is restoring profit sharing for workers- about $450 for hourly workers. Ford reported $2.7 billion profits in 2009 and is set to do so again in 2010, after $30 billion in losses from 2005 to 2008.

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Risks Katie Nixon of Northern Trust sees are in a sharp fall off in growth in China. She is less concerned about the risks of another flareup in the eurozone crisis. What worries her clients is how all this will end- the 2008 dropoff in growth followed by loose monetary policy by the Fed. Whether this will end in stagflation or a situation like that in Japan?

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China expands the trading range of the yuan to 1%. The yuan is set by the People's Bank of China, China's central bank, at 6.2879 yuan per U.S. dollar on March 14, 2012 or 15 to 16 U.S. cents to the yuan. The yuan rate is set daily by the PBOC, called the parity rate, and was previously allowed to trade in a 0.5% trading range.

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This WSJ editorial says the Indian government will have to do more to increase the growth rate. Rising inflationary pressures at 5% for core inflation are still present, with inflation in food prices running higher at 10%. Which may be the reason after a cut of 0.5%, Reserve Bank of India Governor Subbarao stated this would be all the country should expect for some time.

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The U.S. Supreme Court lets the Obama healthcare law stand in a 5-4 vote with Justice Roberts casting the deciding vote. The Court ruled that the government could impose the individual mandate that all people carry health care insurance not because of the commerce clause but because: The provision "need not be read to do more than impose a tax...This is sufficient to sustain it."

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The Journal editorial says Petraeus's experience would have been better utilized as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. The fear is that he may have been miscast or shunted aside at the CIA. Cartwright is expected to become Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. General John Allen who takes over from Petraeus in Afghanistan has no experience there. Panetta faces a challenge at Defense to reduce spending.

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New auto sales in Japan experienced a sharp decline of 51% in April 2011, higher than the 37% fall in March. Sales of Toyota fell 69% to 35,557 vehicles in April, Nissan's dropped 37%, and Honda's dropped 49%. About 500 suppliers in northeasern Japan are affected by the earthquake. Toyota president Akio Toyoda says the production will return to normal by November or December.

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The recommendations of a presidential task force on the U.S. NSA spying agency in its draft form include: changing the leadership of the spy agency to civilian from military, placing records collected from nearly every U.S. phone call under a frequently criticized NSA program to be held by a phone company or third party organization, and imposing stricter standards for allowing NSA permission to search data.

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Henrique de Castro, chief operaing officer, leaves Yahoo after only one year on the job following poor performance in generating advertising revenue in 2013. He was hired from Google by CEO Marissa Mayer. Yahoo's share of display ad revenue in the U.S. declined in 2013 to 5.8% from 6.8% in 2012. Google's increased to 39% and Facebook's share increased to 7% in the U.S.

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With Heathrow airport in London operating at 98% of capacity, Britain's government is considering two options- building a third runway expansion, or scrapping Heathrow and building a large new airport east of London. A commission will report on this by the end of of 2013. Passengers at UK airports are forecast to grow from 219 million passengers in 2011 to 315 million in 2030.

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More evidence that the liquidity provided by the ECBZ is not reaching small business and the other parts of the econmic system where it is needed. Banks are reluctant to lend for fear borrowers might default. Meanwhile the ECB mopped up $250 billion or $170 billion euros in overnight funds from the money market, by paying 0.8% instead of the overnight rate of 0.5%.

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How consumer products companies like Heinz, Kimberly Clark, Pepsico and ConAgra Foods are responding to the pay check cycle, with cash strapped consumers making their largest purchases at the beginning of the month, when paychecks or social security checks come in. Its a sign of how deep this recession is becoming and how cash strapped consumers are, that the paycheck cycle is playing such a significant role.

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Enrique Krause makes a passionate and reasoned argument that Mexico is not a failed state. And that the US bears responsibility for waht is happening, by being a source of the weapons and also the huge narcotics market that sustains Mexican drug cartels and their violence. The US can do things to help Mexico as it tries to cleanup Mexico from the influence of drug gangs.

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The US Airways and America West merger has not lived up to expectations. Both airlines operate together but are run practically separately and the employees feel that way, considering themselves on the east side or the west side. Not much of a merger, and President Dave Parker has failed to win labor confidence, not having signed labor contracts with his employees and operating under transitional arrangements.

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What else can the Fed and Treasury do after coordinated rate cuts with European nations, bailouts of wall street financial institutions, buyback of toxic assets? Making direct loans to homeowners facing foreclosure, the Hubbard and Feldstein proposals, McCain proposal. Economist Rob Shapiro adviser to Clinton, says the focus of the administration on Wall Street to the exclusion of homeowners is economically and politically myopic.