LyrArc Article Gist
Jean Brunel, chief investment officer at GenSpring, says expect returns of 2-2.5% on bonds and 5% on stocks and not much higher in the next 5 years. He points out that with low rates the whole investment environment has changed. The consensus among investment managers is that it is a good idea to lower expectations and not chase risky returns in the next couple of years.

LyrArc Article Gist
Price declines in housing markets just after the mortgage crisis hit in August. Detroit and San Diego hardest hit.Also Phoenix, Las Vegas. Portland due to population shifts in western states and Seattle because of boom in industries there bucked the trend. Worst still to come as credit tightens.

LyrArc Article Gist
Monica Hesse gives this exceptional story of Gladys Ament, which is the story of American women as they voted in election after election after the 19th Amendment gave women the right to vote in 1920. In 2016 she is 96 years old and used an absentee ballot to vote for a first women president for the U.S.. Ament gives this touching and graceful account of a woman who lived through many presidents, and never failed to exercize her vote in every election held since the day she was born on Aug. 26, 1920. That day Tennessee became the 36th state to ratify the 19th Amendment giving it the majority needed to become the law of the land. This was the year Woodrow Wilson, a Democrat, was in office. Her story starts in a two room schoolhouse in Lonaconing, Maryland, population 2054, when America was largely rural and rapidly urbanizing. The girls did the housework and the boys worked in the coal country, and women were not considered to be the ones in the home to go to a college or university. She dated a man who worked for the phone company, and later was drafted in the war. She joined Montgomery Ward filling catalogue orders. Her first vote was for FDR in 1944, in reality for Eleanor Roosevelt. And then she voted for Harry Truman, who she liked for his plain talk manner. Then Eisenhower, Nixon, Humphrey, McGovern, Carter, as she fulfilled the role of a mother and teachers aide at a school for special needs children. Her husband was not sure her daughter Mary needed to follow the two sons to college, but she made sure Mary did even though tution money was tight. She loved the self-respect which came with working, she was patient. The opportunities came and it was Mary who pursued her education and became an administrator who also supervised men. Things had changed, nobody thought of it twice, what Gladys had struggled with was now the accepted way of things. Then came a granddaughter and by this time young women had more opportunities, and there were as many women in universities as men. Gladys voted for the first black president and then for a first woman president at 96, 96 years after the ratification of the 19th Amendment giving women the vote in America. After that election in which she really voted for Eleanor Roosevelt- who was all over the country making speeches and talking to people to bring hope during the Depression years- she could see the potential in a next woman as president. She had seen some of the 18 presidents who had led the country as good leaders and some not so good, some who were seen as good in their years in office but later seen as having done poorly, she could see that women could do just as well or better after all these years of her voting and learning. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Jakarta is sinking with 40% of the city and most of North Jakarta under sea level. By 2030 the city is likely to be under water at the pace with which it is sinking into the Java Sea. Jakarta's problem comes from years of overbuilding, migration from rural areas, with no adequate system for supplying piped water. Many of the wells illegally built by developers, with 97% of the city in concrete preventing resupply of aquifers from heavy rains, have aggravated the sinking. The aquifers acted as a kind of foundation for Jakarta. Climate change is another factor adding to the problem. As a result a city that gets heavy rains and rivers coming in from the mountains with water, is now flooded frequently, unlike an earlier period when the Dutch used canals and dikes to manage the water flow. Efforts to prevent developers from draining the aquifers on which Jakarta rests have failed. North Jakarta is the worst affected and this area has many of the poor slum areas of the city. Evicting the tenants living there to clear the debris and clean up the canals and rivers has failed. The former governor of Jakarta, Mr Purnama known as Ahok, of ethnic Chinese origin, lost the election to Islamic parties and their allies following his efforts to clean up the area and take action to replenish the aquifiers. This NYT report is based on interviews with residents of the kampungs or settlements of people from rural areas within North Jakarta. A Dutch hydrologist Mr Brinkman is a expert on Jakarta's water systems. He says eviction is not the answer by itself but some effort to move people is needed and North Jakarta needs to be restored to its original mangrove situation, which would allow replenishing of underground water. Giving Jakarta a more stable foundation. About 30 million people live in this fast growing city and a lot depends on how Indonesians can prevent the city from sinking further into the Java Sea. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
The 2018 U.S. Budget deal that passed the U.S. Senate on February 8 meets nearly all of the priorities set by Democrats in Congress for increases in spending, says Representative John Yarmuth of Kentucky, the senior Democrat in the House Budget Committee. Part of the deal are increases in funding for domestic programs favored by Democrats. As a result Democrats are having difficulty taking a stand on the budget and forcing a shutdown of government on the basis of a single issue, that of children who were brought unlawfully into the country by their parents but offered protection under president Obama's Dreamers legislation called DACA.  Reflecting this ambivalent position Representative Pelosi of San Francisco, made a spirited defense of the Dreamer legislation with a 8 hour nonstop speech, plans to vote against the budget deal, yet says the compromise was fair and helped achieve Democrats priorities on other issues that affect the whole country. Democrats from the most liberal section of the party plan to vote their conscience on the issue, and Pelosi called merely for a commitment from Speaker Ryan to have a vote on legislation that would address the issue of the Dreamers, children of unlawful immigrants. Speaker Ryan offered no commitment on Dreamers except to say any immigration legislation would have to be something president a Trump supports. In the previous vote that led to a government shutdown a settlement was reached between the two parties in a matter of days when Majority Leader McConnell of the Republicans committed to a debate on immigration. On the Republican side the Freedom Caucus members oppose lifting spending caps to address priorities in spending supported by Democrats and to some extent by president Trump, because it worsens the deficit. The budget deal lifts spending caps for this fiscal year for domestic and military spending by about $300 billion. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky emphasized this issue with his opposition to the budget deal and delayed the deal till the final vote in the Senate 71 in favor and 28 against.  ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Italian born Canadian Sergio Marchionne, a former tax consultant turned auto executive who joined Fiat in 2004, planned the acquisition of Fiat in 2009. GM's payout to Chrysler following a decision not to acquire Fiat, and the U.S. government's need to merge Chrysler with another auto company after a bailout, gave Marchionne the opportunity to acquire Chrysler on favorable terms. Hard bargaining with the government led to acquiring Chrysler for free, using the $2 billion from GM to show the government that it would make the needed investments to bring Chrysler back from bankruptcy. This decision, the bringing in of outside talent, and the revival of the auto industry following the bailout, has led to the success of Fiat Chrysler.  Sergio Marchionne had the right instincts to persuade the government that Fiat with its small cars including the Fiat 500 was the right company to run Chrysler, and supporting president Obama's fuel efficiency goals gave him the right credentials with the Obama administration. A chain smoker of cigarettes who also gulped down espressos, her was a workaholic sometimes carrying 5 smartphones. He passed away at the age of 66 from health complications. Ironically the Dodge Dart was presented as the car that would get 40 miles per gallon. Other efforts at fuel efficient automobiles have not happened in the way it was envisioned by the Obama administration. The Dart did not become popular. Only the redesigned Fiat made it as a hit in Europe. The plan to import small Fiats to the U.S. remained only on paper. As the auto industry revived Marchionne canceled plans to make nearly all of the Chrysler cars and shifted production to more popular Jeeps and Dodge Ram, a move followed by Ford and GM. Fuel efficiency issues from the bankruptcy period are still alive today with the decision to leave small car manufacturing to Japanese and German carmakers, and the efforts of the Trump administration to turn back the Obama administration fuel efficiency targets.  ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Tom Hanks and Robin Wright in the movie "Here" a technical experiment in deaging and new kind of cinematography different from the past. Robin Wright's vision of growing up as adults in the 1960's, the period John F. Kennedy was campaigning in 1956 and in 1960 in Wisconsin, with radio the main medium and life moving slowly. There is this image from a writer in Wisconsin about that time when John Kennedy turned up at a supermarket in suburbs of Wisconsin to talk to customers for his Wisconsin campaign, and with Robert Kennedy also in the store, Mrs Kennedy takes a microphone and talks to customers at the store about JFK's campaign.  A new spirit of social change was being felt in the air when Kennedy represented this not just for America but for the Free World across Asia, Latin America, and Africa. It is this optimism that America felt and reaches out for again. It is also a period of optimism in the US and the Free World, a spirit John Kennedy really captured. The FDR-Truman period laid behind the chapter of excesses of capitalism and Roosevelt's response, Truman set the Free World's response to the Soviets, Eisenhower period completed the Interstate Highway System but was stagnant in other respects. It is this Wisconsin campaign that put Kennedy on the map for the Democratic nomination in 1960 with a new feeling in the air about what America could really aspire to and aspire for. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
District court Judges are the first tier of the three tiered system of judiciary power. A series of US District Judge rulings stop the federal payments system, birthright citizenship, federal employees offered buyout plan, and other executive orders issued by DJT in first 72 hours in office. They were all designed to cut the federal bureuacracy in the US and gut agencies with overspending such as USAID $40 billion when rural America's needs are unmet, and tackle birthright citizenship which allows mothers to fly into the US and depart just to get citizenship for children. The White House plans to appeal these rulings to the next level the appellate courts in the US, all the way to the US Supreme Court. Some of the arguments against USAID $40 billion budget was that it funded bureaucrats pet projects, something that Senators such as Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky have fought against for 25 years. Coming after trillions of dollars in spending under the infrastructure Investment Act oversight over such spending is in the American tradition. No less than Harry Truman as Senator from Missouri made his mark by tracking down overspending and waste, during the Second World War. Another problem not discussed enough is that in today's world more can be done with good governance and leadership, avoiding unneeded wars, and investment from India, China, EU and US than can be done with $40 billion spread thinly over the whole world. Sri Lanka is just one example where its undoing is waging ethnic war, corruption, and India is leading its recovery in ways that USAID could never do. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
Simple changes in style-“I’m not planning on wearing a suit, and I don’t expect you to wear one.” Patel on Week 1, Feb 27 2025. Raises fitness requirements for FBI agents and gets his personal fitness trainer a pass into FBI. Oath of office taken on the Indian Bible the Bhagavad Gita held by Attorney General Pam Bondi. Also oath for the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, Explosives. Addressing crime in cities including Detroit, Cleveland, Minneapolis. Action to move 1500 FBI agents to these cities in a regionalization plan out of Washington DC. Regionalize the FBI throughout the Nation to make it serve the safety of cities and neighborhoods throughout these United States. It reflects the illegal fentanyl flows into the United States from foreign countries that led to 490,000 deaths in the US over 12 years on which previous action of administrations has clearly been a colossal failure. Following the people's mandate to make America's neighborhoods safe for children and families, protecting the social compact with its people of the elected government. The unwritten aspects of the US Constitution or of any sensible Constitution of any civilized nation. To focus the FBI on internal threats in America's cities and neighborhoods from drugs, gangs and fentanyl flows that illegally enter the country. And not on foreign threats during this period when this social compact in the US is threatened by fentanyl flows and 490,000 deaths over the last 12 years. ...

LyrArc Article Gist
A summary with graphs that show India US cooperation in five critical areas from trade and climate change to defense and manufacturing technologies, H-1B visas, in the Times of India. India has a trade surplus with the US and efforts are made to increase Indian exports and import new manufacturing technologies. In the Biden administration India has a serious partner as is evident in the discussion with prime minister Modi during his visit to US.

LyrArc Article Gist
The Climate Change Bill, Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, CHIPS and Science Act, gun control legislation have moved forward president Biden's program for Build Better America forward leading to a huge change in the perception of his administration. There may be a sense that Biden could do more in Congress in the way FDR and Truman changed America, and creating once more a beacon for the world shaken by the pandemic.

LyrArc Article Gist
NYT reporters Confessore, Rosenberg and Hakim show how Michael Flynn after leaving the Defense Intelligence Agency in 2014 over differences with the Obama administration on unattended warnings about the rise of Islamic State militants, decided to do consulting and use his own connections. This led to the Flynn Intel Group, and the controversial connections with Russia and Turkey under investigation. This article gives a detailed account of the period 2014-2016 and Flynn's business.

LyrArc Article Gist
The view that the war in Afghanistan should move forward as acounter insurgency effort like this one, does not see the partner in the Karzai government or the Afghan dislike of foreign troops on their soil as factors to be addressed seriously. It also does not address the difficult mountainous terrain in the country. It also does not look for alternative solutions that could be worked out with Pakistan for addressing the presence of AlQuaeda terrorist group in the border regions.

LyrArc Article Gist
Shows how the whole landsape of Iraq is changing in a kind of ethnic cleansing like that in the former Yugoslavia, and in Bosnia. And before that in India and Pakistan as British Empire in South Asia changed with ethnic cleansing in 1947. See the War of the World by Niall Ferguson and his talk at the National Press Club organized by the World Affairs Council shown on CSPAN on Dec31, 2006. Some of his E's refer to Ethnic factors, Eastern ascendency and the E for Empire referring to the descent of the western empires( European and the benevolen kind of American power if not empire). The numbers involved in the ethnic cleansing are huge, the UN report figure is 420,000. This approaches the kind of scale that make it part of redrawing of the map in a large part of the Middle East.

LyrArc Article Gist
How shares of British and American banks are being hit hard in the stock market. Barclays went down by 24 % in 1 month. And rumors are rife about huge losses at many banks, for Barclays the rumor is that it has losses of $10 billion that will be announced as writedowns.

LyrArc Article Gist
Export growth, Fed rate cuts and other efforts to promote lending, some smaller growth in job creation, and the smaller role of housing investment in the economy, should offset the credit crunch. The worst hit in the mortgage crisis represent a smallpart of consumption spending and cosumption may hold up.

LyrArc Article Gist
Bobby Jindal Governor of Louisiana, and the transformation he is shaping in Louisiana in his own words. Turning the state into a place of opportunity and an attractive place for business and a state with credentials in many other areas, public finances, ethics laws, education, employment, and forward looking policies.

LyrArc Article Gist
There were 500 resumes for a $13 an hour position as administrative assistant at a truck driver training school. The school at trucking company C.R. England, is in Burns Harbor, Indiana. Stacey Ross the head of recruiting found 300 applications in her email box, there was astack of resumes from the fax machine. A total of 500 people had applied for the job posted on Careerbuilder.com. Ms Block who had been unemployed for four months and was aformer accounts receivables manager at a company in Portage, Indiana, gets the job after filling out the application on the company website. The company tries to hire fair to middling talent and train them from within.