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A Defense Department biannual report that is mandated by Congress points to little improvement in the last 6 months in Afghanistan. In 92 districts studied for the their support of the Afghan government or opposition to it, not one supported the government. In 44 districts the people were neutral in this evaluation. The number of districts sympathetic to the insurgency increased to 48 in March 2010 from 33 in December 2009. Clearly the Afghan government of Karzai has little support in the country and this remains the major question: whether this war can be successful in the face of this fact and its continuance, and whether the merits of expenditure of time, effort, resources and lives to keep a government like this in power makes sense for America's security interests. About $6.6 billion is allocated by Congress for the training of Afghan security forces. But the Afghan police force consists of mostly illiterate and poorly trained persons and virtually nonexistent judicial system. Combine this with corruption, incompetence and threats and this force is really ineffective. Overall the Afghan security forces once trained don't appear from this report to be able to sustain themselves in the face of an insurgency whose "operational capabilities and organizational reach are qualitatively and geographically expanding", and with "strength and ability of the shadow governance to discredit the authority of the Karzai government increasing."...

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Risks Katie Nixon of Northern Trust sees are in a sharp fall off in growth in China. She is less concerned about the risks of another flareup in the eurozone crisis. What worries her clients is how all this will end- the 2008 dropoff in growth followed by loose monetary policy by the Fed. Whether this will end in stagflation or a situation like that in Japan?

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Senior NSA officials say after six months of investigation the government may never know the extent of the data breach in the Snowden case and what documents were taken. The NSA faclity in Hawaii where Snowden worked was not equiped with software that monitored access to documents by employees and contractors.

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On November 17, 2008, as the Bush administration and Secretary Palson ponder their options including merging the 2 companies GM and Chrysler, firing old management and putting in new management, and someone to oversee the process of bankruptcy Chapter 11 with guaranatees such as debtor in possession financing and warranty guarantees by the government, and protections for the supplier base, so that an orderly bankruptcy takes place with clear goals of renegotiating terms with the unions, dealerships and debt holders. Under this process Chapter 7 liquidation would be clearly avoided and the process of recovery set in motion. Its interesting to note that Sorkin has outlined just how something like such Chapter 11 would work with all of the above steps taken. As the issue finally reaches closure with Secretary Paulson's decision expected at any time now its interesting to note Sorkin's comments about Wagoner's leadership saying that it was under Wagoner that the neglect of the things GM should have done ocurred and to think that he should be there running the company in this situation is laughable, yeas laughable. Something that echoes the public sentiment and expert opinion on this issue around the country....

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As the Bush administration and Secretary Paulson look at Chapter 11 though acarefully arranged and orchestrated process with government support oversight and backing, Sorkin of NYT outlines how this would happen. It would clearly avoid Chapter 7 and be an orderly and organized process with warranty backing and debtor in possession financing. And echoing a lot of public sentiment on this issue Sorkin calls Wagoner's effort to say with a straight face that he still should run the company is laughable. It was his neglect of some of the important decisions that needed to be made that have created this situation and no serious changes can be made with current management and board.

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The Eli Lilly settlement for drug Zyprexa for $1.2 billion to Zyprexa patients.

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How the new intelligence assessment was arrived at and the errors avoided this time from what happened with the 2005 intelligence estimate that concluded Iran was pursuing a nuclear weapons program.

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The GM management does not get it , the GM spokesman does not get it, the workers don't get it, says Andrew Sorkin from what he hears them say. GM faces many problems, too many dealerships, too many models and brands, and union benefits and retiree benefits from another world of post 50's economic expansion, that can only be solved by a government sponsored bankruptcy or GSB. GSB is a necessary part of the solution as chapter 11 makes solutions possible without dealerships suing as state laws protect dealerships, unions striking and management insisting on the status quo. In all he sees the 35 plants of GM and Chrysler cut in half, only the Chevrolet , Cadillac and Buick and Jeep brands retained and Dodge Ram pickups merged with Chevrolet, in a GM-Chrysler merger. He cites Deutsche Bank's estimates that reducing the brands to the 3 mentioned for GM would reduce costs by $5 billion annually and reducing the dealerships by another $4 billion. Buick would be retained because its a huge seller in China. The government would setup a warranty insurance fund to insure the warranties of all GM and Chrysler vehicles bought while they are in Chapter 11. And some of the rescue money would go into retraining and helping promote new industry....

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Instead of killing the NAFTA trade agreement Trump and his advisors prefer renegotiating the treaty. Priorities for the Trump administration are reducing the U.S. deficit with Mexico of $61 billion. Trade with Mexico and Canada is worth $1.1 trillion and the complex supply chains works such that product components cross borders more than once to become finished products. Mexico promotes its auto and other industries as duty free access to the U.S. for foreign investment. Special tariffs would reduce the trade deficit with Mexico and firms that moved production to Mexico would pay additional taxes. A provision that allows Mexican and Canadian companies to challenge U.S. regulations would also be removed. Rep. Brad Sherman (Democrat) says he supports the renegotiation so that duties of 4% are imposed to reduce the deficit to $25 billion.

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US Trade Representative Tai and India Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal will meet in New Delhi November 22-23 on Tai's visit to New Delhi, Seoul and Tokyo to strengthen trade and investment ties for Indo-Pacific region. Following Modi's meeting with Biden in Washington DC the discussions with Tai will reconvene the India US Trade Policy Forum in 2021, and push forward with the negotiations for the Investment Incentive Agreement to increase investment in development projects in India. All aspects of investment, trade and industry will be covered as India builds a closer relationship with US in its drive for economic development that also strives to achieve goals for renewable energy.

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Since the last Women's World Cup Soccer the Netherlands and other European teams have caught up with the US. The gap no longer exists as shown in the Netherlands US women's soccer game in which the Dutch dominated the first half and led 1-0. The game ended 1-1 but the myths surrounding the US women's soccer team had fallen. The Dutch coach said his team was in better fitness shape than the Americans.

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Yellen tells the governor of Guangdong that China's huge subsidies for solar, EV and other industries disrupts "the level playing field" America needs. In all previous administrations  of both parties American economic ministry heads stayed silent or said it in a way that they were ignored. A culture of government staying out spread like wild fire under Reagan and "free to choose" advocates such as Friedman who did not realize the grave dangers to American manufacturing and its workers inside America, and to the world's other manufacturing capable nations such as India with overconcentration in one location. It was America's misfortune that economists and business leaders in the US were not listening enabling China to ignore this. By offering huge government subisidized incentives China and Taiwan shifted manufacturing away from the US in semiconductors, solar, EV's. It started with Apple and is still going on with Tesla. Today economists such as Yellen say economic resilience and supply chains are at risk before they said it lowered cost for consumers and failed to wake up when advanced technologies were at stake, as economists never trained in manufacturing had no knowledge of how it works with learning curves and knowhow that is built over decades, once lost hard to regain. The message fellow Americans is that trust your instincts and common sense, and trust observation which is what the Renaissance in the 15th century was all about and which put Europe ahead of Asia, to the great misfortune of Asia. Japan, China, have learned these lessons well, America as an immigrant nation is different from Europe, and must use its good sense to keep open the opportunities for its people and workers, and the people and workers of all nations that are manufacturing capable. Yellen said- "Direct and indirect government support is currently leading to production capacity that significantly exceeds China's domestic demand, as well as what the global market can bear...Overcapacity can lead to large volumes of exports at depressed prices, and it can lead to overconcentration of supply chains, posing a risk to global economic resilience,"    ...

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Experts say the U.S. needs to continue waivers given to 8 countries for purchase of Iranian oil currently till April to avoid a price hike. The Trump administration banned purchase of oil from the Maduro government in Venezuela in late January. Iranian exports are at 1.1 million barrels a day down from 2.3 million barrels a day a year earlier.